January 06, 2017

NFL Playoff Pick 'Em: Wild-Card Edition: SportsFilter is holding a prediction contest for the NFL postseason. Pick each week's playoff winners, the spread and some bonus categories.

How This Works

SportsFilter is running an NFL Pick 'Em contest for the playoffs and awarding a prize to the winner: an NFL Endzone Rush T-shirt for the team of your choice ($13.99 value).

To play, pick who you think will win and by how many points. You then get points based on the result:

Picked the winner? You get 5 points
Picked the winner and a spread within the margin of error? You get 3 more points
Picked the winner and the exact spread? You get 2 more points

What's the Margin of Error?

A window around the spread that's defined as the following:

spread - round(0.3 * spread) <= Margin of Error <= spread + round(0.3 * spread)

You get rewarded for being close to the spread. The bigger the spread, the bigger the margin of error, so you don't have to be as accurate predicting a blowout as a close game.

Examples:

Actual SpreadMargin Starts atMargin Ends at
111
435
759
11814
201426
So if you picked Dallas by 15, here's how you'd fare given certain outcomes:
OutcomeYour score
Dallas by 208 points (winner + spread within MoE)
Dallas by 105 points (winner only)
Dallas by 1510 points (winner + nailed spread)
Miami by 50 points

Stone Cold Lead Pipe Locks

You can choose any game as a stone cold lead pipe lock. This doubles the points you win for that game, but if that team doesn't win, you lose 10 points (even if you get the spread). You can make as many picks a lock as you like or pick no locks at all.

The Small Print

In order to receive the prize, you must respond to our email within 14 days of the winner announcement. Make sure you have a valid email address on SportsFilter or contact me within that time period. The prize does not include international shipping, so in that situation you can pay the cost or receive an equivalent cash prize over Paypal.

This Week's Games

Oakland at Houston (Saturday)
Detroit at Seattle (Saturday)
Miami at Pittsburgh (Sunday)
New York Giants at Green Bay (Sunday)

Picks must be submitted in this discussion before the game's kickoff. So if you miss Saturday's opener you can still choose the remaining games.

posted by rcade to football at 02:10 PM - 26 comments

The scoring rules are the same as the regular season contest.

This week's games:

Oakland at Houston
Detroit at Seattle
Miami at Pittsburgh
New York Giants at Green Bay

Pick the winner and the game's spread.

Also choose these four props for five points each:

1. Quarterback with most passing yards

2. Player with most rushing yards

3. Player with most receiving yards

4. Player with an interception

posted by rcade at 02:12 PM on January 06

Houston by 7

Detroit by 7

Pittsburgh by 18

New York by 11

Manning

Bell

Beckham

Rodgers-Cromartie

posted by tommytrump at 02:27 PM on January 06

Houston by 3
Seattle by 7
Pittsburgh by 13
Green Bay by 4
Matthew Stafford
Le'Veon Bell
Doug Baldwin
Quintin Demps

posted by bender at 02:42 PM on January 06

Oakland by 3
Seattle by 6
Pittsburgh by 15
Green Bay by 9
Rodgers
Ajayi
Beckham
Clinton-Dix

posted by Ufez Jones at 02:56 PM on January 06

[denial] Haven't seen a final regular season result, so I will just assume that I have a shiny, new football on the way to my doorstep. [/denial]

Houston by 3

Seattle by 10

Pittsburgh by 8

Green Bay by 6

Roethlisberger

Bell (Pitt)

Beckham

HaHaHaHa Clinton-DixDix

posted by tahoemoj at 02:56 PM on January 06

Houston by 14

Seattle by 17

Pittsburgh by 10

Green Bay by 17

1. Rogers

2. Bell

3. Baldwin

4. Sherman

posted by rumple at 04:27 PM on January 06

Oakland by 6
Seattle by 17
Pittsburgh by 13
New York Giants by 3

1. Manning
2. Bell
3. Beckham
4. Karl Joseph

posted by billsaysthis at 04:33 PM on January 06

Houston by 6

The Mighty Detroit Lions by 3

Pittsburgh by 10

Green Bay by 6

Rogers

Ajayi

Jordy Nelson

Quintin Demps

posted by ic23b at 04:53 PM on January 06

Houston by 7

Seattle by 7

Pittsburgh by 10

New York Giants by 7

1. Manning

2. Bell

3. Beckham

4. Demps

posted by cixelsyd at 05:32 PM on January 06

Oakland by 3
Seattle by 13
Pittsburgh by 7
Green Bay by 4

1. Ben Roethlisberger
2. Le'veon Bell
3. Antonio Brown
4. Quentin Demps

posted by holden at 05:40 PM on January 06

HOU by 6
SEA by 10
PITT by 8
GBP by 12

1. Quarterback with most passing yards: A. Rogers (GBP)
2. Player with most rushing yards: J. Ajayi (MIA)
3. Player with most receiving yards: A. Brown (PIT)
4. Player with an interception: H. H. Clinton-Dix (GBP)

posted by NoMich at 05:45 PM on January 06

Houston by 3
Seattle by 3
Pittsburgh by 10 - LOCK
Green Bay by 10 - LOCK

1. Rodgers
2. Leveon Bell
3. Davante Adams
4. Reggie Nelson

posted by tron7 at 06:26 PM on January 06

I didn't do the pick 'em during the regular season, but I'm noticing some bolded lines/"lock" picks; are we doing the "lock" thing in the playoffs? Just in case, the bolding below is solely for readability, and not a lock on any pick.

Oakland at Houston - Oakland by 3
Detroit at Seattle - Seattle by 10
Miami at Pittsburgh - Miami by 7
New York Giants at Green Bay- Green Bay by 10

1. Quarterback with most passing yards: Aaron Rodgers (GBP)
2. Player with most rushing yards: Jay Ajayi (MIA)
3. Player with most receiving yards: Odell Beckham (NYG)
4. Player with an interception: Richard Sherman (SEA)

posted by hincandenza at 10:17 PM on January 06

Houston by 3
Seattle by 10
Pittsburgh by 9
New York Giants by 6

1. Quarterback with most passing yards: E. Manning (NYG)

2. Player with most rushing yards: J.Ajayi (MIA)

3. Player with most receiving yards: O.Beckham (NYG)

4. Player with an interception: H.H.Clinton-Dix (GB)

posted by grum@work at 11:39 PM on January 06

I'm sure my regular season mediocrity will continue as we journey through the playoffs. Here goes nothing:

Terrible QB with some experience vs rookie QB with none. Houston by 10.
Lions brought this upon themselves by gagging during the regular season. Seattle by 9.
'Fins took out Steelers once. They won't do it again. Pittsburgh by 14.
Giants like to swagger and boast, but Green Bay just likes to win. Green Bay by 14.

Mr. Golden Arm (most passing yards): Roethlisberger (PIT)
Mr. Golden Legs (most rushing yards): Leveon Bell (PIT)
Mr. Golden Hands (most receiving yards): Jordy Nelson (GBP)
Mr. Golden Theft (Interceptor): Al-Hajj Shabazz (PIT)

posted by Howard_T at 11:47 PM on January 06

Oakland by 3

Detroit by 7

Pittsburgh by 17 LOCK

Green Bay by 4

QB-Big Ben

RB- Lat. Murray

WR-Antonio Brown

INT-Kareem Jackson

posted by jagsnumberone at 12:49 AM on January 07

Houston by 7
Seattle by 7
Pittsburgh by 10
Green Bay by 6

1. Aaron Rodgers
2. Thomas Rawls
3. Jordy Nelson
4. Micah Hyde

posted by MeatSaber at 09:11 AM on January 07

Didn't think about locks for the playoff pick 'em. If they are in effect, my picks are updated as follows:

Houston by 3
Seattle by 7
LOCK Pittsburgh by 13 LOCK
Green Bay by 4
Matthew Stafford
Le'Veon Bell
Doug Baldwin
Quintin Demps

posted by bender at 12:00 PM on January 07

Since he wrote this: The scoring rules are the same as the regular season contest.

I assume that locks are in effect for the playoffs as well.

posted by NoMich at 12:48 PM on January 07

Oakland by 5
Seattle by 9 - LOCK
Pittsburgh by 9 - LOCK
Green Bay by 5

1. Eli Manning
2. Jay Ajayi
3. Odell Beckham Jr.
4. Quintin Demps

posted by cl at 02:02 PM on January 07

Locks are allowed.

Houston by 7 <-- lock
Seattle by 4
Pittsburgh by 9 <-- lock
Green Bay by 3

1. Matthew Stafford

2. Le'Veon Bell

3. Jordy Nelson

4. Richard Sherman

posted by rcade at 02:53 PM on January 07

in that case I'm gonna lock Green Bay and Pittsburgh.

posted by Ufez Jones at 03:35 PM on January 07

Houston by 5
Seattle by 9 LOCK
Pittsburgh by 8 LOCK
Green Bay by 7

1. M. Stafford
2. J. Ajayi
3. Jordy Nelson
4. Micah Hyde

posted by beaverboard at 04:25 PM on January 07

Sorry, I'm a little confused by the lock rule (as I didn't play the regularly season pick 'em). It doubles your scored points for that matchup when you pick it and are right, but do you have to have the team and spread exactly or lose 3 points, or just get at least the team right to get the doubled score? E.g., if I had picked the Texans by 3 as a lock, I'd have gotten the team right but completely missed the spread; do I then get 2 points (1 point x 2) or do I lose 3 points?

posted by hincandenza at 10:43 PM on January 07

A lock doubles your points in victory and only gives you a penalty in defeat.

Wins are worth 5 (no spread), 8 (spread within margin) and 10 (exact score). So if you lock that game you double those points.

There's no points for the spread in a loss. You get -10 if you locked it and 0 otherwise.

posted by rcade at 10:42 AM on January 08

Put a *LOCK* on my Pittsburgh by 9 selection, please.

posted by grum@work at 12:29 PM on January 08

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