yerfatma's profile

yerfatma
61
Name: Tom Clancy
Homepage URL: http://thosecleverkids.com/blog
Location: Dover, NH
ZIP: 03820
Member since: January 30, 2002
Last visit: September 30, 2014

yerfatma has posted 284 links and 10822 comments to SportsFilter and 17 links and 1229 comments to the Locker Room and 1 column.

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Prediction Tracker

Great Predicitons I Have Heard

Great Predictions I Have Made


Recent Links

33 Short Stories about 33:

“I would be all over him, trying to deny him the ball, and all Larry was doing was yelling at his teammates, I’m open! Hurry up before they notice nobody is guarding me!” then he would stick an elbow in my jaw and stick the jumper in my face, then he would start in on my coach “Coach you better get this guy out and send in somebody who’s going to D me up, because its too easy when I’m wide open like this”

posted by yerfatma to baseball at 02:04 PM on September 26 - 4 comments

Annual Patriots trade key piece right before season move: Logan Mankins has been traded to the Bucs for Move TE Tim Wright and a fourth-round pick.

posted by yerfatma to football at 02:24 PM on August 26 - 7 comments

Red Sox owner Tom Werner has become a dark horse candidate to be baseball's next commissioner: Co-owner John Henry says, "Tom is one of the most popular owners because he's very passionate about baseball, has a sense of duty, as evidenced by his work with veterans and the Red Sox Foundation, and because he is trusted by everyone who knows him. You won't find a more popular person in the television industry." Left unsaid: the Red Sox and a few other teams don't want Selig's lieutenant Rob Manfred taking over because they feel he will make them pay their fair share of TV revenues.

posted by yerfatma to baseball at 01:58 PM on August 11 - 6 comments

Let's all root against the Diamonbacks: "But the Diamondbacks don’t play the game 'the right way', not even close. And they offered another painful reminder of that this weekend, retaliating for an accidental hit-by-pitch by beaming Andrew McCutchen squarely in the back."

posted by yerfatma to baseball at 07:12 PM on August 04 - 0 comments

Will Financial Fair Play kill youth development at larger clubs?: "They will, at some point, be sold on, a premium fee guaranteed by having attended finishing school at one of the world's elite clubs. Chelsea are essentially running a recruitment and development business completely unrelated to their first team . . . Investment in their youth structures is exempt from FFP. But the money the club raise by selling players is not. They are making their money work for them. As one observer put it to me Wednesday, they are 'gaming' FFP."

posted by yerfatma to soccer at 08:33 AM on August 01 - 1 comment

Recent Comments

SportsFilter: The Monday Huddle

A: Because Josh Reddick.

posted by yerfatma at 03:57 PM on September 29

Tackled Ohio State Student Was Wearing Secret Booze Panties

I don't understand: why did that make him run on the field?

posted by yerfatma at 02:19 PM on September 29

Jose Altuve Asks to Play, Risks Batting Title

"Pure Baseball Joy in a Pint-Size and Prolific Package".

posted by yerfatma at 10:11 AM on September 29

33 Short Stories about 33

OMG, Kevin Gamble, I forgot about him and what a sweet shot he had. The tail end of the halfway decent Celtics.

posted by yerfatma at 09:43 PM on September 27

SportsFilter: The Friday Huddle

Ronaldo is good. And fast. And good.

posted by yerfatma at 04:13 PM on September 26

SportsFilter: The Thursday Huddle

FanGraphs on Jeter's value. Touches on at least part of the question of what he was or was not worth. Includes a link to an analysis of his defensive value:

In the past 50 years, 507 different players have batted at least 5,000 times . . . sort by Positional-per-150-games, and you find Jeter in 57th place, around names like Cal Ripken, Rafael Furcal and Omar Vizquel. This is the positional adjustment, and Jeter gets major points for being a shortstop — a position of considerable difficulty.

Sort by Defense-per-150-games, and you find Jeter in 252nd place. In other words, he's right in the middle of the pack, near guys like Jeff Blauser, Andre Dawson and Willie McGee. He comes out at -1.5 runs on that scale. He's ahead of John Olerud. He's ahead of Mark Grace and Rickey Henderson and Moises Alou. Jeter has drawn the criticism that he's cost his team runs by playing a lousy shortstop, but overall he's still been a reasonably valuable defensive player. That's just because of his reliability at a difficult position.

posted by yerfatma at 09:58 AM on September 26

SportsFilter: The Thursday Huddle

Jeter isn't going to be remembered for a walk off single

Will that be the only thing he's remembered for? Of course not. But to think baseball fans won't remember that is silly. Ted Williams ended his career with a home run. He did so 15 years before I was born and I know that off the top of my head.

one of my long-standing dislikes about WAR metrics is how much it seems to favor, or even double-count, positional adjustments

What's the problem with valuing production more at SS than 1B? There are plenty of guys in the minors who could hit .250/.300/.400 and hide at 1B/DH in the majors; their problem is there are 60 or so people who can produce a bit to a whole lot better blocking them. I can understand disagreeing with the weights applied to the various positions, but it seems like a decent if rough way to level the comparison. It's a nod to scarcity: if you can generate a 100 OPS+ at any position that's nice, but if you can do it at a premium defensive position while not hurting the team, that's more valuable.

Is that what you're describing as "double-count[ing]" or is that a separate part? I suppose if defensive metrics were better than guesswork we could drop the adjustment but until then, it makes sense to me. And even with a perfect defensive metric, wouldn't you weight runs saved at SS/CF/C over runs saved at 1B? Hmm, maybe not, that doesn't make sense when I type it out. WAR does wind up doing double- or even triple-duty: firstly people want to use it to compare pitchers to position players and then, at least at FanGraphs, it seems to be the building block for player dollar values which is probably where the problem lies: the scarcity thing isn't that important on the field during a game, but it makes a huge difference when putting together a team.

posted by yerfatma at 09:01 AM on September 26

SportsFilter: The Wednesday Huddle

I think I buried the lede a bit with the short link. The article suggests Betts is, right now, a 3.3 WAR player just as a utility guy. That's at age 21 and puts him in the top 60 or so hitters this year with the potential to be a 4+ player if he were at 2B. It's not so much they shouldn't sacrifice him because the return wouldn't be that great, it's more like appreciate what he is instead of wishing for a slugger. He's definitely an interesting case; guys like Victorino, Zobrist and Sam Fuld have made me appreciate the non-star stars in baseball.

posted by yerfatma at 02:56 PM on September 25

Grand Jury Does Not Indict Tony Stewart in Accident

Aren't we talking about a sport derived from bootlegging liquor? And we are blaming weed for Ward's aggressiveness? HAVE YOU NO SHAME?

posted by yerfatma at 09:47 PM on September 24

Grand Jury Does Not Indict Tony Stewart in Accident

Love Tony Stewart's statement about how the person who's death he caused will be in his prayers. Whom, exactly, would we be thinking took precedence? Bullwinkle J. Moose? Ward's family laid a patch of a statement suggesting a civil suit is waiting at the pole.

posted by yerfatma at 07:53 PM on September 24

SportsFilter: The Wednesday Huddle

ESPN has suspended The BSG 3 weeks for something about Commandante Goodell.

posted by yerfatma at 07:52 PM on September 24

SportsFilter: The Tuesday Huddle

Same people allowing commentators to kill Charlie Strong while they have Mack Brown on the payroll. Guy this morning basically said Strong's problem was that he wasn't Mack Brown.

posted by yerfatma at 03:21 PM on September 24

SportsFilter: The Wednesday Huddle

A statistical case for keeping Mookie Betts.

posted by yerfatma at 12:10 PM on September 24

SportsFilter: The Tuesday Huddle

The 3 Most Ridiculous Things Ray Lewis Said During ESPN's 'Sunday NFL Countdown'

posted by yerfatma at 07:34 PM on September 23

SportsFilter: The Tuesday Huddle

Just gross: "The Political-Messaging Huckster Behind Roger Goodell's Awful Presser".

posted by yerfatma at 10:23 AM on September 23