I know this string is probably dead but I am a huge Boston fan and by any measure David Ortiz is nowhere close to the HOF. Here are the numbers that would keep him out: ( BA / HR / RBI) Ortiz .283 / 214 / 731 Looks Good .300 / 400 / 1000 Locked Up .325 / 500 / 1500 Also in his 997 career games he has played just 231 in the field (the rest at DH) and the hall is historically very judgemental of Closer/DH types who play in a limited capacity. You don't need all three of the above catagories but as a guy who only hits I would think that he would need to meet at least one (which even if you figure 40 HR per year is at least 5 years off).
In the present tense, Ortiz is as good as anyone. But he hasn't always been like this, and he'll have to have at least five more years of playing the way he is now for the HoF conversation to even begin. Oh, and even Simmons makes a point of mentioning the steroid thing. Big Papi is a power hitter who late into his career got just-this-much better. Thanks to the actions (and non-actions) of others, that automatically means he'll be part of the steroid discussion, regardless of how he's conducted himself on or off the field. You can chalk that up to the fact that Messrs. Bonds, McGwire, Sosa, Palmeiro, Giambi et al have not been honest or forthcoming about what they used and how, but that steroid cloud is one more thing he'll have to overcome to get into any discussion about all-time anything.
Weedy: that's part of what makes the comparison such a bitch, really- probably more than any of the other major American sports, basketball lets you get in the face of your opponent and give them that look. Had Bird's personality been transplanted into the body of a baseball player, I don't think you'd say he'd have that 'stone cold look'- you just can't give it to someone 60'6" away the same way you can to someone when you're shooting a pullup J over them. Ortiz could journey to Bird's level in two ways: First - he has to keep it up for a few more years. Not necessarily the 4 walk-off homers per year thing, but just consistently be one of the top three hitters in the game. Second - he has to charge the mound, threaten a teammate and make disparaging remarks about the other team. Fun!
Holden - I think he uses that. He should. It's terrifyingly accurate.