January 19, 2019

SportsFilter NFL Playoff Pick 'Em Conference Championship Round: Pick the winners of Sunday's conference championships -- Rams/Saints, Patriots/Chiefs -- and the game's spread along with five props. In the contest, the top three are new: Bender in first at 49, Gridironarizona 2 back in second and Ic23b 3 back in third.

How This Works

SportsFilter is running an NFL Pick 'Em contest for the playoffs and awarding a prize to the winner: Zubaz NFL camo print casual active pants for the team of your choice ($32.99 value).

To play, pick who you think will win and by how many points. You then get points based on the result:

Picked the winner? You get 5 points
Picked the winner and a spread within the margin of error? You get 3 more points
Picked the winner and the exact spread? You get 2 more points

There are also bonus categories to pick each week worth 5 points each.

What's the Margin of Error?

A window around the spread that's defined as the following:

spread - round(0.3 * spread) <= Margin of Error <= spread + round(0.3 * spread)

You get rewarded for being close to the spread. The bigger the spread, the bigger the margin of error, so you don't have to be as accurate predicting a blowout as a close game.

Examples:

Actual SpreadMargin Starts atMargin Ends at
111
435
759
11814
201426
So if you picked Miami by 15, here's how you'd fare given certain outcomes:
OutcomeYour score
Miami by 208 points (winner + spread within MoE)
Miami by 105 points (winner only)
Miami by 1510 points (winner + nailed spread)
Miami by 50 points

Stone Cold Lead Pipe Locks

You can choose any game as a stone cold lead pipe lock. This doubles the points you win for that game, but if that team doesn't win, you lose 10 points (even if you get the spread). You can make as many picks a lock as you like or pick no locks at all.

The Small Print

In order to receive the prize, you must respond to our email within 14 days of the winner announcement. Make sure you have a valid email address on SportsFilter or contact me within that time period. The prize does not include international shipping, so in that situation you can pay the cost or receive an equivalent cash prize over Paypal.

This Week's Games

Buffalo at Houston on ABC (Saturday)
Tennessee at New England on CBS (Saturday)
Minnesota at New Orleans on Fox (Sunday)
Seattle at Philadelphia on NBC (Sunday)

Picks must be submitted in this discussion before the game's kickoff. So if you miss Saturday's opener you can still choose the remaining games.

posted by rcade to football at 04:20 PM - 16 comments

Standings with Props

PlayerTotal ScoreThis Week
bender4936
gridironarizona4734
ic23b4631
tahoemoj4623
tron74651
jagsnumberone4525
truthhurts3830
tommytrump3315
rcade3226
werty3131
Howard_T3030
grum@work2813
NoMich2025
holden130
cixelsyd1227
rumple318
moder800

Last Week's Props

1. Passing yards: Brady, 343 (no winners)

2. Rushing yards: Michel, 129 (Howard_T)

3. Receiving yards: Thomas, 171 (jagsnumberone, tahoemoj, bender, werty)

4. Quarterback with interception: Rivers (NoMich, tron7, rumple), Foles (jagsnumberone), Brees (tommytrump)

5. Most points: New England, 41 (no winners)

This Week's Props

1. The quarterback with the most passing yards. +5 points

2. The player with the most rushing yards. +5 points

3. The player with the most receiving yards. +5 points

4. The team that will score the most points. +5 points

5. A player who will get a sack or partial sack. +5 points

posted by rcade at 04:26 PM on January 19

Rams by 3 <-- lock

Chiefs by 6 <-- lock

1. Passer: Drew Brees

2. Rusher: Todd Gurley

3. Receiver: Mike Thomas

4. Points: Rams

5. Sacker: Aaron Donald

posted by rcade at 05:05 PM on January 19

Wow, there's a lot of people bunched up at the top. Too bad I'm not one of them, but this is still exciting.

New Orleans by 5
Kansas City by 6

The quarterback with the most passing yards: P. Mahomes (KC)

The player with the most rushing yards: CJ Anderson (LAR)

The player with the most receiving yards: T. Hill (KC)

The team that will score the most points. Kansas City Chefs (great googly moogly)

A player who will get a sack or partial sack: J. Houston (KC)

posted by NoMich at 05:08 PM on January 19

Kansas City by 17

L.A. Rams by 9

Q.B. Mahomes

Rush Yds. Gurley

Rec. Yds. Hill

Points Kansas City

Sack Donald

posted by tommytrump at 05:15 PM on January 19

Saints by 10 LOCK
Chiefs by 3 LOCK

Most Passing Yards-Brees (Saints)
Rushing Yards-Gurley
Receiving Yards Hill Chiefs
Points Saints
Sack Jordan (Saints)

posted by truthhurts at 05:35 PM on January 19

New Orleans by 12 (LOCK)

Kansas City by 6 (LOCK)

Passing Yards- Brees

Rushing Yards- Damien Williams

Receiving Yards- Julian Edelman

Points- Kansas City

Sack- Justin Houston

posted by ic23b at 05:41 PM on January 19

Saints by 14

Chiefs by 3

1. The quarterback with the most passing yards. Brees

2. The player with the most rushing yards. Gurley

3. The player with the most receiving yards. Hill (KC)

4. The team that will score the most points. Saints

5. A player who will get a sack or partial sack. Donald

posted by grum@work at 08:04 PM on January 19

I can win this thing

New Orleans by 13 LOCK

NE by 17 LOCK

QB: Brady

Rushing: Michel

Recieving: Edelman

Points: New Orleans

Sack: Flowers

posted by rumple at 09:54 PM on January 19

L.A. Rams by 4

Kansas City by 10 LOCK

QB: Mahomes

RB: Gurley

RX: Hill (KC)

Points: KC

Sack: Donald (LAR)

posted by cixelsyd at 11:26 PM on January 19

Big storm in its early stages outside. Church has been canceled, so I can sleep in a little bit, but I will need to get up early enough to move the snow before it turns to ice. Once I get the snow blowing done it will be a great day for watching football. Great day for the pick 'em? We'll see.

In the dome, a screaming crowd behind you, and a young quarterback on the other side is a good combination to have. Add a veteran like Brees, and things don't look good for the Rams. New Orleans by 10 LOCK

Chiefs can run the ball, Mahomes can throw the ball, and Chiefs defense has been performing much better lately. It should be a blowout, at least on paper. On the other side you have a Patriots running game that moved at will against Chargers. This allowed Brady to pick out a receiver and almost be guaranteed a completion. Patriots defense has been vulnerable to the run, but the defensive backs are skilled. Chiefs seem to be nearly consensus pick. Who am I to argue? New England by 6 LOCK

Brady has a day for the ages..

Michel runs wild and makes it easy for Brady

Hill (KC) gets yards but not TDs.

New England breaks the scoreboard.

Hightower (NE) introduces himself rather violently to Mahomes.

Kick the damned ball and let's play.

posted by Howard_T at 11:51 PM on January 19

LA Rams - Lock
Kansas City - Lock

QB - Mahomes
RB - Gueley
WR - Kelce
Points - Kansas City
Sack - Houston

posted by tron7 at 01:02 AM on January 20

KC by 6 LOCK

LA by 4 LOCK

Passing: Maholmes

Rushing: Gurley

Receiving: Thomas

Points: Chefs

Sack: Donald

posted by tahoemoj at 01:45 AM on January 20

New Orleans by 6
Kansas City by 6

Passing: Drew Brees (NO)
Rushing: Damien Williams (KC)
Receiving: Michael Thomas (NO)
Points: New Orleans
Sack: Aaron Donald (LAR)

posted by gridironarizona at 02:32 AM on January 20

New Orleans by 6

Kansas City by 3

Passing yards: Brees

Rushing yards: Gurley

Receiving yards: Thomas

Most points: New Orleans

Sack: Flowers

posted by jagsnumberone at 02:37 AM on January 20

LOCK New Orleans by 10 LOCK
Kansas City by 3

Passing Yards - Drew Brees
Rushing Yards - Sony Michel
Receiving Yards - Michael Thomas
Points - New Orleans
Sack - Trey Flowers

posted by bender at 11:35 AM on January 20

Rams by 1 LOCK
Chiefs by 6 LOCK

Passing Yards - Mahomes (KC)
Rushing Yards - Gurley (LAR)
Receiving Yards - Hill (KC)
Points - Rams
Sack - Jones (KC)

posted by werty at 02:30 PM on January 20

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