January 11, 2019

SportsFilter NFL Playoff Pick 'Em Divisional Round: Pick this weekend's winners -- Colts/Chiefs, Cowboys/Rams, Chargers/Patriots, Eagles/Saints -- and the game's spread. Pick five props. Prosper. After week one of the contest, Tahoemoj leads with 23 over Jagsnumberone at 20 and Tommytrump at 18.

How This Works

SportsFilter is running an NFL Pick 'Em contest for the playoffs and awarding a prize to the winner: Zubaz NFL camo print casual active pants for the team of your choice ($32.99 value).

To play, pick who you think will win and by how many points. You then get points based on the result:

Picked the winner? You get 5 points
Picked the winner and a spread within the margin of error? You get 3 more points
Picked the winner and the exact spread? You get 2 more points

There are also bonus categories to pick each week worth 5 points each.

What's the Margin of Error?

A window around the spread that's defined as the following:

spread - round(0.3 * spread) <= Margin of Error <= spread + round(0.3 * spread)

You get rewarded for being close to the spread. The bigger the spread, the bigger the margin of error, so you don't have to be as accurate predicting a blowout as a close game.

Examples:

Actual SpreadMargin Starts atMargin Ends at
111
435
759
11814
201426
So if you picked Miami by 15, here's how you'd fare given certain outcomes:
OutcomeYour score
Miami by 208 points (winner + spread within MoE)
Miami by 105 points (winner only)
Miami by 1510 points (winner + nailed spread)
Miami by 50 points

Stone Cold Lead Pipe Locks

You can choose any game as a stone cold lead pipe lock. This doubles the points you win for that game, but if that team doesn't win, you lose 10 points (even if you get the spread). You can make as many picks a lock as you like or pick no locks at all.

The Small Print

In order to receive the prize, you must respond to our email within 14 days of the winner announcement. Make sure you have a valid email address on SportsFilter or contact me within that time period. The prize does not include international shipping, so in that situation you can pay the cost or receive an equivalent cash prize over Paypal.

This Week's Games

Buffalo at Houston on ABC (Saturday)
Tennessee at New England on CBS (Saturday)
Minnesota at New Orleans on Fox (Sunday)
Seattle at Philadelphia on NBC (Sunday)

Picks must be submitted in this discussion before the game's kickoff. So if you miss Saturday's opener you can still choose the remaining games.

posted by rcade to football at 06:39 PM - 19 comments

Standings (With Props)


PlayerTotal ScoreThis Week
tahoemoj2323
jagsnumberone2020
tommytrump1818
ic23b1515
grum@work1515
bender1313
gridironarizona1313
holden1313
truthhurts88
rcade66
moder800
Howard_T00
werty00
NoMich-5-5
tron7-5-5
rumple-15-15
cixelsyd-15-15

Last Week's Props

1. Passing yards: Trubisky, 303 (no winners)

2. Rushing yards: Mack, 148 (no winners)

3. Receiving yards: Robinson, 143 (no winners)

4. Interception: Kenny Moore II (Ind.), Brandon Dunn (Hou), K.J. Wright (Sea), Adrian Phillips (LAC), Adrian Amos and Roquan Smith (Chi) (no winners)

5. Most points: Dallas, 24 (tahoemoj)

This Week's Props

1. The quarterback with the most passing yards. +5 points

2. The player with the most rushing yards. +5 points

3. The player with the most receiving yards. +5 points

4. A quarterback who will throw an interception. +5 points

5. The team that will score the most points. +5 points

posted by rcade at 07:05 PM on January 11

Kansas City by 10 <-- lock
Dallas by 3
L.A. Chargers by 3
New Orleans by 7 <-- lock

Passing: Mahomes

Rushing: Gordon

Receiving: Hill

Interception: Goff

Points: Kansas City

posted by rcade at 07:50 PM on January 11

Kansas City by 6 (LOCK)

L.A. Rams by 3

L,A, Chargers by 3

New Orleans by 7 (LOCK)

Passing: Brees

Rushing: Elliott

Receiving: Tyreek Hill

Interception: Tom Brady

Points: Kansas City

posted by ic23b at 08:10 PM on January 11

1. The quarterback with the most passing yards. +5 points Mahomes Chiefs
2. The player with the most rushing yards. +5 points Gurley Rams
3. The player with the most receiving yards. +5 points Hill Chiefs
4. A player who will get an interception. +5 points Johnson Rams
5. The team that will score the most points. +5 points Rams

Indianapolis at Kansas City Chiefs by 10 LOCK
Dallas at L.A. Rams Rams by 14 LOCK
L.A. Chargers at New England Chargers by 3
Philadelphia at New Orleans Saints by 10 LOCk

posted by truthhurts at 09:35 PM on January 11

Indianapolis by 3
L.A. Rams by 7
L.A. Chargers by 9
New Orleans by 3

1. The quarterback with the most passing yards: Rivers (LAC)

2. The player with the most rushing yards: Elliott (DAL)

3. The player with the most receiving yards: Hill (KC)

4. A quarterback who will throw an interception: Brady (NE)

5. The team that will score the most points: LAC

posted by grum@work at 10:40 PM on January 11

@truthhurts:

Prop #4 is player that will THROW an interception, not get an interception.

posted by grum@work at 10:42 PM on January 11

Kansas City by 4

L.A. Rams by 9 LOCK

L.A. Chargers by 8 LOCK

New Orleans by 7 LOCK

Pass: Mahomes (KC)

Rush: Gurley (Rams)

Receiving: Hill (KC)

Int: Brady (NE)

Most Points: LAC

posted by cixelsyd at 10:54 PM on January 11

Kansas City by 4
LA Rams by 10 (LOCK)
New England by 3
New Orleans by 7

Passing: Patrick Mahomes (KC)
Rushing: Todd Gurley (LAR)
Receiving: Tyreek Hill (KC)
INT Thrown: Andrew Luck (IND)
Points: LA Rams

posted by gridironarizona at 10:59 PM on January 11

moder8 and I can claim perfect scores for the first round --all zeros that is. It means absolutely nothing, but it looks nice. Maybe we could keep it going this week, but I will not be trying to do so.

Chiefs are a juggernaut on offense and nearly nonexistent on defense. Colts have an excellent offense and a fairly steady defense. Errors will determine the outcome here. Indianapolis by 7

Cowboys finally hit their potential in the latter half of the season, but they now run into what most consider the cream of the crop. Cowboys might keep it close, but Rams will prevail. Los Angeles (National Conference) by 13 LOCK

Forget about mobile quarterbacks, RPOs, and all the rest. This is a battle between a pair of pocket passers each of whom has an impressive arsenal of weapons. On paper, Chargers look to be the better team, but they have had to travel coast to coast twice, it looks to be pretty damn cold in Foxborough on Sunday, and Patriots are very familiar with the Chargers' defensive concepts and how to attack them. Overtime in this one would not surprise me. New England by 3

Eagles supposedly have been on life support for most of this season, but here they are in the divisional round. How many points have us SpoFites lost betting against them? The pundits keep coming up with reasons that they have a chance against the Saints. As my ex wife used to say, "Not happen, mistah". New Orleans by 16 LOCK

Now for the propositions.

Passing yards: Goff, Los Angeles Rams

Rushing yards: Michel, New England

Receiving yards: Hilton, Indianapolis

Interception: Mahomes, Kansas City

Most points: Indianapolis

posted by Howard_T at 11:24 PM on January 11

Some evil being has crept into my laptop and has caused the phrase 'New England' to become a link to advertising. I have looked to see if there is anything obvious running in the background, or if anything strange pops up on task manager, but my computer expertise is far from adequate. Unless you want to see ads, please do not click on those links. In the meantime, McAfee will be put to work.

posted by Howard_T at 11:45 PM on January 11

Kansas City by 9

LA Rams by 4

LA Chargers by 3

New Orleans by 10

QB with most yards: Drew Brees

Most rushing yards: Zeke Elliott

Most Receiving yards: Michael Thomas (N.O.)

QB with interception: Nick Foles

Most Points: New Orleans

posted by jagsnumberone at 03:03 AM on January 12

Howard: I'm not seeing that here, so it isn't coming from this site. Go into your browser and turn off any add-on or plug-in you don't need.

posted by rcade at 08:16 AM on January 12

Kansas City by 6
Dallas by 8
New England by 7
New Orleans by 10

1. The quarterback with the most passing yards: D. Brees (NOS)

2. The player with the most rushing yards: E. Elliot (DAL)

3. The player with the most receiving yards: T. Hill (KCC)

4. A quarterback who will throw an interception: P. Rivers (LAC)

5. The team that will score the most points: New Orleans

posted by NoMich at 09:19 AM on January 12

Kansas City by 8

L.A. Rams by 17

L.A. Chargers by 5

Philadelphia by 3

Mahomes

Elliot

Hill

Brees

Kansas City

posted by tommytrump at 10:50 AM on January 12

KC by 12

LARams by 7

LAChargers by 6

NO by 3

Maholmes

Elliot

Thomas (NO)

Goff

KC

posted by tahoemoj at 02:20 PM on January 12

KC by 6 -Lock

LA Rams by 10 - Lock

New England by 3 - lock

New Orleans by 13 - Lock

Mahomes

Marlon Mack

Tyreek Hill

Rivers

KC

posted by tron7 at 03:22 PM on January 12

Kansas City by 7
LOCK L.A. Rams by 7 LOCK
L.A. Chargers by 3
LOCK New Orleans by 10 LOCK

Drew Brees
Ezekiel Elliott
Michael Thomas
Patrick Mahomes
New Orleans

posted by bender at 03:31 PM on January 12

Hmmm negative 15. Maybe because I haven't watched a single game this year.

Indy by 10

Dallas by 7

NE by 9

NO by 3

Luck

Elliot

Hilton

Rivers

Indianapolis

posted by rumple at 03:44 PM on January 12

Chiefs by 5 LOCK
Rams by 3 LOCK
Chargers by 1 LOCK
Saints by 7 LOCK

Brees
Elliott
Thomas, NO
Luck
Saints

posted by werty at 04:21 PM on January 12

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