Recent Comments by bender

SportsFilter: The Tuesday Huddle

I'm going to vote for Ron Wright, but that is a solid effort by Mike Mayers (all the more impressive for only recording 2 outs in the 1st). Can someone build a baseball field in a cornfield in Iowa so "Moonlight" Heitman can get one more shot at glory?

posted by bender at 03:33 PM on July 26

SportsFilter: The Saturday Huddle

Gators LB Cristian Garcia helps stop sexual assault behind bar

posted by bender at 10:37 AM on July 23

CFL Pick 'Em, Week Five

Calgary by 5
Saskatchewan by 9
Edmonton by 9
Toronto by 10

posted by bender at 08:23 AM on July 20

CFL Pick 'Em, Week Four

Toronto by 5
Edmonton by 16
Montreal by 13
Saskatchewan by 14

posted by bender at 08:10 AM on July 13

Euro 2016 Pick 'Em Champion: Bender

Bender Like Pick' Em

Only if it can be the lead-in to the Jamie Vardy biopic, Leicester? I hardly knew her!

Also, I just noticed that I was in last place after group play, and yerfatma was in the lead, and well.. Presumably that means that increasing those scores as I noted would not result in me winning.

posted by bender at 11:05 PM on July 12

Euro 2016 Pick 'Em Champion: Bender

Thanks! And thanks, rcade, for more complicated calculations than the average pick 'em! Yes, I was sure that Portugal was done when Ronaldo went out, but apparently the whole theme of the tournament was that Portugal managed to do just enough to advance every single time. I even found myself feeling bad for Ronaldo when he came off, which is a far cry from when I laughed at him when he missed the penalty kick against Austria. Mostly, I'm thrilled that someone scored so we didn't have another penalty shootout!

I like grum's 75/20/5 breakdown for winners/scores/props, which is pretty close to where we were. I think that he's in the right area of weight for each of those categories, and I think he's also on to something with increasing the group play points, as there are so many more picks there. I liked, though, the milder escalation of points from round to next round that we had in this game, versus, for instance the one he laid out where points/game doubles each round until it quadruples to the final. A quick calculation on the scores per round from our game (excluding props):

----------Group----R16----Qtr----Semi----Final----Total
Winners--25%---17%---14%---11%-----8%-----75%
Score-------0%----8%-----7%----6%------4%-----25%

Of course the final is the most important game, and I understand that the following statement is a bit over-simplified (because I'm not going back to calculate everyone's different scores), but if our scoring system had the final round being worth double the semifinal round, it would have been worth 320 instead of 120. If all of the other scores were the same, that is enough points to potentially move any person on the scoreboard (except the last two, who only picked the group stage) to the top. That is a lot riding on one pick, which is a 50/50 proposition.

All of that is to say that I like the way the points broke down (and not just because I won!), except like grum suggests, I would increase the group play points, since those represent so many more games. If we doubled the group play points, for instance, to 40 (for 1st or 2nd place), 30 (for 3rd place advancers), and 20 (add for group winners), you end up with 40% for the group stage and 20%/17%/13%/10% per round combined between picks and scores, with 80% for picks and 20% for scores. I think that prop bets were probably at a good level.

posted by bender at 09:58 PM on July 12

Euro 2016 Pick 'Em: Final

France 1-2 Portugal
Ronaldo
Pepe, Nani, Gignac
10 shots on goal

posted by bender at 05:03 PM on July 09

SportsFilter: The Thursday Huddle

I'm with yerfatma and grum. You don't go leaping toward an airborne ball (in the box!) with your arms raised. Schweinsteiger went in recklessly and got burned.

posted by bender at 10:39 PM on July 07

CFL Pick 'Em, Week Three

Hamilton by 3
B.C. by 12
Ottawa by 4
Edmonton by 9

posted by bender at 05:08 PM on July 06

Euro 2016 Pick 'Em: Semifinals

Wales 1-0 Portugal, Bale
France 2-0 Germany, Payet

posted by bender at 09:57 AM on July 06

SportsFilter: The Tuesday Huddle

Iceland's soccer team returns home.

posted by bender at 11:46 PM on July 05

SportsFilter: The Thursday Huddle

Apparently, the Giants are planning to have Madison Bumgarner in the lineup tonight at Oakland. That's fun!

posted by bender at 09:13 PM on June 30

SportsFilter: The Thursday Huddle

New Nike women's tennis dress: "It's basically a glorified shirt." I can't believe any women would agree to wear that while playing at Wimbledon.

posted by bender at 07:38 PM on June 30

SportsFilter: The Thursday Huddle

Make that all five.

posted by bender at 05:44 PM on June 30

SportsFilter: The Thursday Huddle

They have been talking about not allowing stopping and starting on penalty kick run-ups at Euro, yet I have just watched each of the first four Portuguese kick takers stop one step into their run up. What gives??

posted by bender at 05:43 PM on June 30

Euro 2016 Pick 'Em: Quarterfinals

rcade, you may want to rethink your German goal scorer.

posted by bender at 12:38 PM on June 30

Euro 2016 Pick 'Em: Quarterfinals

Poland 3-2 Portugal (a.e.t.), Blaszczykowski
Wales 0-2 Belgium, Hazard
Germany 1-1 Italy (Italy wins in shootout), Muller
France 2-1 Iceland, Payet

Man, I really want to pick Iceland, but I think France has the muster to finally knock them out, even if it's only on a last minute goal.

posted by bender at 08:38 AM on June 30

SportsFilter: The Tuesday Huddle

I will be posting a Euro 2016 update tomorrow morning ahead of Thursday's first quarterfinal.

Points for winning picks were 30 in the round of 16. My original plan was to make them 60 in the quarterfinal, 120 in the semifinal and 240 in the final (60 in the third-place game). This would put 480 points available for picking winning teams in each round until the last, when 300 is available.

Is this OK, or would players prefer a lower multiple of 1.5 or 1.75? I wanted to design the game in a way that people weren't out of it in the last two rounds because so many fewer points were available.

I agree that we want it to still be interesting in the final rounds, and that the more important games should be worth more, but it should also not be such that exceptional early picking is completely undone by missing the final pick. How about this, which adds 20, then 30, then 40:

Rd. of 16: 30 Quarters: 50 Semis: 80 Final: 120 3rd Place: 60

posted by bender at 10:00 AM on June 29

CFL Pick 'Em, Week Two

Ottawa by 16
Toronto by 9
B.C. by 9
Winnipeg by 11

This new season of coin-flip CFL picks has started off with a statistically-improbable 8 straight away picks. The odds were in my favor last week, but I'm guessing that picking against the hosts is probably not a long-term success strategy.

posted by bender at 09:48 AM on June 29

SportsFilter: The Monday Huddle

Does Iceland win Britain's place in the EU now?

posted by bender at 06:24 PM on June 27

SportsFilter: The Monday Huddle

Watch out for snipers, Saint-Denis. Spanish and Italian players have been hitting the turf left and right. Stay safe out there!

posted by bender at 01:54 PM on June 27

Copa America Pick 'Em Champion: Rcade

I definitely agree that picking winners should be worth a good bit more than props, though doubling each round might be excessive **unless** we want to pick the entire knockout round right after group play ends, NCAA tournament style. That style adequately rewards you for correctly looking into the future through the rounds, but when we get to pick each round knowing who will be playing, doubling the scores each round favors the current round over the previous ones. I'm not saying that the points can't increase at all, but if we get to pick each round, one correct pick in the final should not get more points than 4 correct picks in the quarterfinals.

posted by bender at 01:01 PM on June 27

Lionel Messi retires from Argentina after Copa America final loss to Chile

I, for one, will be very surprised if he is not on the field for Argentina in Russia in 2018.

posted by bender at 10:09 AM on June 27

Copa America Pick 'Em: Finals

This has been a very entertaining match--particularly after halftime! It's too bad it's going to be decided on penalties.

posted by bender at 10:44 PM on June 26

Copa America Pick 'Em: Finals

Argentina 3-2 Chile, Messi
Vidal, Beausjour, Medel
23:17

USA 2-0 Colombia, Pulisic

posted by bender at 12:07 AM on June 25

Euro 2016 Pick 'Em: Round of 16

Switzerland 0-1 Poland, Lewandowski
Wales 2-0 Northern Ireland, Bale
Croatia 1-2 Portugal (A.E.T.), Ronaldo
France 2-1 Republic of Ireland, Payet
Germany 3-0 Slovakia, Muller
Hungary 0-2 Belgium, Hazard
Italy 1-1 Spain (Italy wins shootout), Giovinco
England 2-1 Iceland (A.E.T.), Vardy

posted by bender at 11:56 PM on June 24

SportsFilter: The Friday Huddle

Will there be a Copa Finals/3rd Place round pick 'em?

posted by bender at 09:06 AM on June 24

Copa America Pick 'Em: Semifinals

Ever since they came back out of the locker room for the 2nd half of their opening match against Chile, Argentina has been head and shoulders better than everyone they have played. US might have been marginally better if we weren't missing the suspended players (maybe we would have gotten a couple of shots on goal or something), but we were facing a mountain. I'm hoping that the Chile team that crushed Mexico the other day can put up a fight in the final, but I'm not even sure about that--and I think Chile is a really good team.

posted by bender at 10:21 AM on June 22

The 12th Annual chicobangs Memorial SpoFi CFL Pick 'Em

Hamilton Tiger-Cats by 4
Montreal Alouettes by 2
Ottawa Redblacks by 11
Calgary Stampeders by 7

posted by bender at 05:25 PM on June 21

Copa America Pick 'Em: Semifinals

Ah yes, thanks, Holden. I'll take Aranguiz, then.

posted by bender at 09:25 AM on June 21

Copa America Pick 'Em: Semifinals

Aguero

posted by bender at 09:22 PM on June 20

Copa America Pick 'Em: Semifinals

Argentina 3-1 USA, Agero
Chile 2-0 Colombia, Vidal

posted by bender at 08:58 PM on June 20

LeBron Brings a Championship to Cleveland

This has to be the greatest block in basketball history, right?

I'm no expert, but it's go my vote. He is just gliding down the court behind the play and then BOOM!

posted by bender at 11:26 AM on June 20

SportsFilter: The Monday Huddle

USMNT protests of Jones' and Wood's suspensions are denied.

posted by bender at 09:05 AM on June 20

Copa America Pick 'Em: Quarterfinals

I may have whiffed on the result of last night's match, but at least I had Vargas. Only 8 points, though...

posted by bender at 03:58 PM on June 19

SportsFilter: The Thursday Huddle

Man, don't sleep on the last few minutes or stoppage time of the Euro group matches. So many game-changing goals at the death!

posted by bender at 02:09 PM on June 16

Copa America Pick 'Em: Quarterfinals

USA 2-1 Ecuador, Cameron
Peru 0-0 Columbia (Peru wins on penalties), James
Argentina 3-1 Venezuela, Messi
Mexico 2-1 Chile, Vargas

I haven't gone to the beer store yet, but I think I'll get something from Flying Dog. Their Raging Bitch Belgian IPA is a solid choice, but maybe they have something seasonal.

posted by bender at 10:31 AM on June 16

Brazil Knocked Out of Copa Centenario by Handball Goal

That was badly mismanaged by the referee. He should've come to the sideline, talked to his assistant referee and perhaps the fourth official, and had all of the players stand back while they discussed it. He kept letting the players barge in, and it just fell apart. As it happens, it is clear that they were not sure if there was a handball, and as such, they made the right call in allowing the goal.

posted by bender at 08:16 AM on June 13

Brazil Knocked Out of Copa Centenario by Handball Goal

Peru?! Sure, that goal should not have counted, but when Brazil scores 0 goals combined against Ecuador and Peru, I'm struggling to find sympathy for them.

posted by bender at 11:06 PM on June 12

SportsFilter Euro 2016 Pick 'Em

Nice choice. Ever had HopSlam?

I have, though only once. It seems you have to be in the know to know how to score some during its brief annual window. That is an excellent beer for sure, but I actually prefer the Two Hearted--I seem to recall the HopSlam being a little sweeter than my taste. As an Ohio State alum, saying nice things about Michigan doesn't come naturally, but if you offer me anything from Bell's, I'm not going to object.

Speaking of nice hoppy IPAs, I'm not sure how far they distribute outside of the DC area (I'd be surprised if it's further than Maryland and Virginia), but DC Brau's Corruption sits next to Two Hearted at the top of my list of favorite IPAs.

posted by bender at 10:01 PM on June 10

SportsFilter: The Friday Huddle

ESPN2 just showed a terrorism drill in the Euro 2016 pregame, complete with fans running in terror, fake blood and masked gunmen firing assault rifles.

Way to set the mood.

Did they remember to take the bomb out of the stadium this time?

posted by bender at 09:46 PM on June 10

SportsFilter Euro 2016 Pick 'Em

That is Ďuris from Slovakia.

On edit, the comment box doesn't seem to like the s with a caron over it. It shows up in the preview, but it disappears when I post.

posted by bender at 09:01 AM on June 10

SportsFilter Euro 2016 Pick 'Em

I'll just pick all of the groups in order (1st, 2nd, 3rd, 4th) and strike through those eliminated.

Group A: Switzerland, France, Romania, Albania; Giroud (France)
Group B: England, Slovakia, Russia, Wales; Ďuri (Slovakia)
Group C: Germany, Ukraine, Poland, Northern Ireand; Reus (Germany)
Group D: Croatia, Czech Republic, Spain, Turkey; Rakitić (Croatia)
Group E: Belgium, Italy, Sweden, Ireland; Ibrahimovic (Sweden)
Group F: Portugal, Iceland, Austria, Hungary; Ronaldo (Portugal)

Bell's Two Hearted IPA, though I'm sure I'll get some origin-suitable beer to celebrate the finalists when the time comes.

posted by bender at 10:11 PM on June 09

SportsFilter: The Sunday Huddle

Fair enough. I have appreciated the efforts of USSoccer and American Outlaws in recent years to take action on this sort of thing.

posted by bender at 10:46 PM on June 05

SportsFilter: The Sunday Huddle

I'll credit Uruguay with a spirited 2nd half, coming back out of the locker room with 10 men. Ultimately, I think they got lost in their anger with the refs, though.

Mexico fans yelling a homophobic slur

Seriously. When is Mexico going to grow up?

posted by bender at 10:09 PM on June 05

SportsFilter Copa America Centenario Pick 'Em

Group A: USA (Winner), Paraguay, James (Colombia)
Group B: Brazil (Winner), Peru, Valencia (Ecuador)
Group C: Uruguay (Winner), Mexico, Cavani (Uruguay)
Group D: Chile (Winner), Argentina, Messi (Argentina)
Starr Hill Northern Lights IPA

posted by bender at 09:41 PM on June 02

SportsFilter: The Monday Huddle

That sounds fine.

posted by bender at 07:00 PM on May 30

NHL Playoff Pick 'Em: Stanley Cup Round

1. San Jose
2. 6 games
3. 2 OT
4. Malkin
5. Couture
6. Couture
7. Couture
8. Couture
9. Malkin
10. Jones
Tiebreaker: 31

posted by bender at 06:57 PM on May 30

Premier League Fantasy 2015-16 final results

Right in the middle of the table, just like last year...

posted by bender at 10:09 AM on May 19

Manchester United Match Cancelled by Bomb Scare

Howard, I'm with you, and my objection isn't so much to the word ("kit," for example) itself, or to the British person using the only word he has known for it. It is to the American who--and I know a few and have heard others--has a closet full of football or baseball jerseys (or maybe even a hockey sweater) but feels that only the British term will do for describing his soccer apparel.

posted by bender at 11:00 PM on May 15

Manchester United Match Cancelled by Bomb Scare

Police say the device that was found at Manchester United's stadium before the match against Bournemouth in the Premier League was a training device that was left inside Old Trafford following an earlier security exercise.

I'm sure there are some very hard-working folks amongst stadium security and whoever else was involved, but if this account is accurate, that is hilarious (and sad -- Do the Germans have a word for that?).

posted by bender at 07:20 PM on May 15

Manchester United Match Cancelled by Bomb Scare

football, fixture, table, match and pitch or soccer, schedule, standings, game and field?

I'd leave pitch (though not with a particularly strong objection), which I would place as the equivalent of saying "lift" instead of "elevator" or "pissed" instead of "drunk", but I have no qualms with any of the others. Really, the only term that irks me is saying "kit" instead of "uniform".

posted by bender at 04:40 PM on May 15

NHL Playoff Pick 'Em, Round 3

Pittsburgh in 5
San Jose in 7

Goal scorer: Kucherov
Goalie: Jones
PP%: Pittsburgh
Penalties: Callahan
Team GPG: Pittsburgh

posted by bender at 04:36 PM on May 13

Joe Paterno (and Penn State) may have known about the sexual abuse of children by Jerry Sandusky as far back as 1976.

From grum's link:

He has lost friends. One of them, a former pro player who used to take him to Super Bowls, told him he didn't want him hanging around his football friends anymore, and humiliated him at a party. "He taped something to my ass and called it Sandusky's hole," he said. "It's absolutely horrible what he did to me. He's hurt me about as much as I've been hurt."

What the hell?!

posted by bender at 07:52 PM on May 07

NHL Playoff Pick 'Em, Round 2

I would like to take Nashville in 7.

posted by bender at 09:56 AM on April 28

SportsFilter: The Wednesday Huddle

Serie A goalkeeper does not dare to Zlatan.

posted by bender at 05:36 PM on April 27

NHL Playoff Pick 'Em, Round 2

Dallas in 6
San Jose in 6

Tampa in 6
Washington in 5

Ovechkin
Holtby
PP: Washington
Goals/Game: Dallas

posted by bender at 12:18 PM on April 27

SportsFilter's NHL Playoff Pick 'Em Starts Now

West:
Dallas in 5
St. Louis in 6
Anaheim in 7
San Jose in 6
Pavelski

East:
Washington in 5
NY Rangers in 6
NY Islanders in 6
Detroit in 6
Ovechkin

posted by bender at 10:30 AM on April 13

SportsFilter: The Thursday Huddle

Ernie Els had a rough first hole at Augusta today.

posted by bender at 05:12 PM on April 07

SportsFilter: The Monday Huddle

Nice job, NCAA, in setting up the blowouts in the semis so that we could have a classic of a title game!

posted by bender at 11:45 PM on April 04