December 13, 2018

SportsFilter NFL Pick 'Em Week 15: Miracle in Miami Edition: With only three weeks left in the NFL season, the Chargers visit the Chiefs tonight and two more early games are played Saturday. In SportsFilter's NFL Pick 'Em, Truthhurts climbs to a 44-point lead on a week-winning 64, followed by Tron7 and Ic23b. If you're having trouble believing you can still win this, keep this number in mind: 99.9%. It's the Patriots' win probability before the final play against Miami Sunday. Make your picks.

This Week's Games

L.A. Chargers at Kansas City on Fox (Thursday)
Houston at N.Y. Jets on CBS (Saturday)
Cleveland at Denver on CBS (Saturday)
Arizona at Atlanta on Fox (Sunday)
Detroit at Buffalo on Fox (Sunday)
Green Bay at Chicago on Fox (Sunday)
Oakland at Cincinnati on CBS (Sunday)
Dallas at Indianapolis on Fox (Sunday)
Miami at Minnesota on CBS (Sunday)
Tennessee at N.Y. Giants on CBS (Sunday)
Washington at Jacksonville on Fox (Sunday)
Tampa Bay at Baltimore on Fox (Sunday)
Seattle at San Francisco on Fox (Sunday)
New England at Pittsburgh on CBS (Sunday)
Philadelphia at L.A. Rams on Fox (Sunday)
New Orleans at Carolina on ESPN (Monday)

Last Week's Results

Tennessee 30, Jacksonville 9 (15 < 21 < 27)
N.Y. Jets 27, Buffalo 23 (3 < 4 < 5)
Cleveland 26, Carolina 20 (4 < 6 < 8)
Green Bay 34, Atlanta 20 (10 < 14 < 18)
Kansas City 27, Baltimore 24 (2 < 3 < 4)
Miami 34, New England 33 (1 < 1 < 1)
New Orleans 28, Tampa Bay 14 (10 < 14 < 18)
N.Y. Giants 40, Washington 16 (17 < 24 < 31)
Indianapolis 24, Houston 21 (2 < 3 < 4)
L.A. Chargers 26, Cincinnati 21 (3 < 5 < 7)
San Francisco 20, Denver 14 (4 < 6 < 8)
Dallas 29, Philadelphia 23 (4 < 6 < 8)
Oakland 24, Pittsburgh 21 (2 < 3 < 4)
Detroit 17, Arizona 3 (10 < 14 < 18)
Chicago 17, L.A. Rams 3 (10 < 14 < 18)
Seattle 21, Minnesota 7 (10 < 14 < 18)

Player Scores

9mmHeater's picks

Baltimore by 4 [lock], -10 points
Houston by 8 [lock], -10 points
Cleveland by 10 [lock], 10 points
Green Bay by 12 [lock], 16 points
New Orleans by 2 [lock], 10 points
Buffalo by 6 [lock], -10 points
Miami by 4 [lock], 10 points
Washington by 5 [lock], -10 points
Denver by 11 [lock], -10 points
L.A. Chargers by 8 [lock], 10 points
Arizona by 2 [lock], -10 points
Dallas by 6 [lock], 20 points
Pittsburgh by 7 [lock], -10 points
Chicago by 5 [lock], 10 points
Minnesota by 8 [lock], -10 points

bender's picks

Tennessee by 9 [lock], 10 points
Buffalo by 5, 0 points
Carolina by 8 [lock], -10 points
Atlanta by 7, 0 points
Kansas City by 14 [lock], 10 points
Miami by 3, 5 points
New Orleans by 10, 8 points
N.Y. Giants by 4, 5 points
Houston by 10 [lock], -10 points
L.A. Chargers by 14 [lock], 10 points
San Francisco by 3, 5 points
Dallas by 5, 8 points
Pittsburgh by 7, 0 points
Arizona by 4, 0 points
L.A. Rams by 6, 0 points
Seattle by 7 [lock], 10 points

cixelsyd's picks

Tennessee by 4 [lock], 10 points
Buffalo by 6 [lock], -10 points
Cleveland by 3, 5 points
Green Bay by 7, 5 points
Kansas City by 10 [lock], 10 points
New England by 9, 0 points
New Orleans by 4, 5 points
N.Y. Giants by 7, 5 points
Houston by 4, 0 points
L.A. Chargers by 9 [lock], 10 points
San Francisco by 3, 5 points
Philadelphia by 7, 0 points
Pittsburgh by 9 [lock], -10 points
Arizona by 3, 0 points
L.A. Rams by 6, 0 points
Seattle by 4, 5 points

grum@work's picks

Tennessee by 7, 5 points
Buffalo by 6, 0 points
Carolina by 13 [lock], -10 points
Green Bay by 7, 5 points
Kansas City by 10 [lock], 10 points
New England by 17 [lock], -10 points
New Orleans by 14 [lock], 20 points
Washington by 7, 0 points
Houston by 9, 0 points
L.A. Chargers by 14 [lock], 10 points
Denver by 3, 0 points
Dallas by 9, 5 points
Pittsburgh by 17 [lock], -10 points
Detroit by 3, 5 points
L.A. Rams by 6, 0 points
Minnesota by 3, 0 points

Howard_T's picks

Tennessee by 6, 5 points
Cleveland by 7, 8 points
Kansas City by 13, 5 points
Houston by 14 [lock], -10 points
New England by 16, 0 points
N.Y. Giants by 9, 5 points
New Orleans by 17 [lock], 16 points
Green Bay by 3, 5 points
Buffalo by 8, 0 points
L.A. Chargers by 19 [lock], 10 points
Denver by 14 [lock], -10 points
Dallas by 10 [lock], 10 points
Pittsburgh by 7, 0 points
Detroit by 3, 5 points
L.A. Rams by 17 [lock], -10 points
Minnesota by 3, 0 points

ic23b's picks

Jacksonville by 3, 0 points
Buffalo by 3, 0 points
Carolina by 7, 0 points
Atlanta by 6, 0 points
Kansas City by 12 [lock], 10 points
New England by 17 [lock], -10 points
New Orleans by 24 [lock], 10 points
N.Y. Giants by 3, 5 points
Houston by 10, 0 points
L.A. Chargers by 13 [lock], 10 points
Denver by 10 [lock], -10 points
Dallas by 3, 5 points
Pittsburgh by 12, 0 points
Arizona by 7, 0 points
L.A. Rams by 6, 0 points
Seattle by 3, 5 points

jagsnumberone's picks

Jacksonville by 3, 0 points
Buffalo by 4, 0 points
Carolina by 7 [lock], -10 points
Green Bay by 3, 5 points
Kansas City by 10 [lock], 10 points
New England by 7 [lock], -10 points
New Orleans by 28 [lock], 10 points
N.Y. Giants by 3, 5 points
Houston by 11 [lock], -10 points
L.A. Chargers by 17 [lock], 10 points
Denver by 10 [lock], -10 points
Philadelphia by 3, 0 points
Pittsburgh by 10 [lock], -10 points
Detroit by 4, 5 points
L.A. Rams by 10, 0 points
Minnesota by 6, 0 points

NoMich's picks

Tennessee by 6, 5 points
Buffalo by 5, 0 points
Carolina by 6, 0 points
Green Bay by 6, 5 points
Kansas City by 7, 5 points
New England by 12 [lock], -10 points
New Orleans by 14 [lock], 20 points
N.Y. Giants by 6, 5 points
Houston by 8, 0 points
L.A. Chargers by 12 [lock], 10 points
Denver by 6, 0 points
Dallas by 10 [lock], 10 points
Pittsburgh by 13 [lock], -10 points
Arizona by 5, 0 points
L.A. Rams by 5, 0 points
Seattle by 6, 5 points

rcade's picks

Jacksonville by 3, 0 points
Buffalo by 6, 0 points
Carolina by 4, 0 points
Green Bay by 1, 5 points
Kansas City by 6, 5 points
New England by 7, 0 points
New Orleans by 7 [lock], 10 points
Washington by 6, 0 points
Houston by 5, 0 points
L.A. Chargers by 12 [lock], 10 points
Denver by 4, 0 points
Dallas by 3, 5 points
Pittsburgh by 9, 0 points
Detroit by 3, 5 points
L.A. Rams by 2, 0 points
Seattle by 4, 5 points

tahoemoj's picks

Tennessee by 6, 5 points
Buffalo by 10, 0 points
Carolina by 7, 0 points
Green Bay by 13, 8 points
Kansas City by 17 [lock], 10 points
New England by 20 [lock], -10 points
New Orleans by 16 [lock], 16 points
N.Y. Giants by 10 [lock], 10 points
Houston by 6, 0 points
L.A. Chargers by 18 [lock], 10 points
Denver by 6, 0 points
Dallas by 4, 8 points
Pittsburgh by 12 [lock], -10 points
Arizona by 3, 0 points
L.A. Rams by 8 [lock], -10 points
Seattle by 6, 5 points

tommytrump's picks

Tennessee by 12 [lock], 10 points
N.Y. Jets by 7 [lock], 10 points
Carolina by 4 [lock], -10 points
Atlanta by 9 [lock], -10 points
Kansas City by 10 [lock], 10 points
New England by 14 [lock], -10 points
New Orleans by 20 [lock], 10 points
N.Y. Giants by 4 [lock], 10 points
Houston by 5 [lock], -10 points
L.A. Chargers by 15 [lock], 10 points
Denver by 10 [lock], -10 points
Philadelphia by 11 [lock], -10 points
Pittsburgh by 17 [lock], -10 points
Detroit by 12 [lock], 16 points
L.A. Rams by 8 [lock], -10 points
Seattle by 8 [lock], 10 points

tron7's picks

Jacksonville by 3, 0 points
Buffalo by 3, 0 points
Cleveland by 3, 5 points
Green Bay by 17 [lock], 16 points
Kansas City by 6, 5 points
New England by 7 [lock], -10 points
New Orleans by 8 [lock], 10 points
N.Y. Giants by 3, 5 points
Houston by 7, 0 points
L.A. Chargers by 13 [lock], 10 points
Denver by 7, 0 points
Dallas by 3, 5 points
Pittsburgh by 13 [lock], -10 points
Arizona by 3, 0 points
L.A. Rams by 7 [lock], -10 points
Seattle by 3, 5 points

truthhurts's picks

Tennessee by 10, 5 points
Buffalo by 4, 0 points
Cleveland by 3, 5 points
Green Bay by 10 [lock], 16 points
Kansas City by 10, 5 points
New England by 10 [lock], -10 points
New Orleans by 14 [lock], 20 points
N.Y. Giants by 7, 5 points
Houston by 7, 0 points
L.A. Chargers by 20 [lock], 10 points
Denver by 7, 0 points
Dallas by 7, 8 points
Pittsburgh by 17 [lock], -10 points
Detroit by 4, 5 points
L.A. Rams by 7, 0 points
Seattle by 3, 5 points

Standings

PlayerTotal ScoreThis Week
truthhurts101864
tron797431
ic23b87925
Howard_T84639
rcade84345
jagsnumberone836-5
bender82851
tahoemoj82742
cixelsyd76840
grum@work76530
NoMich63645
tommytrump6336
9mmHeater3736
FLsportsman2080
holden1660
Goyoucolts1220
Boaz800
rumple280

Picks must be submitted in this discussion before the game's kickoff. So if you miss Thursday night's opener you can still choose the Sunday and Monday games.

posted by rcade to football at 02:17 PM - 23 comments

Will be out of town tomorrow so this is my NFL pick for Thursday.

Kansas City by 6

posted by ic23b at 11:06 PM on December 12

Chiefs by 3

posted by truthhurts at 11:46 AM on December 13

Kansas City by 4

Houston by 6 LOCK

Cleveland by 3

Atlanta by 7 LOCK

Buffalo by 4

Chicago by 3

Cincinnati by 7

Dallas by 7 LOCK

Minnesota by 7 LOCK

N.Y. Giants by 4

Jacksonville by 4

Baltimore by 7 LOCK

Seattle by 9 LOCK

New England by 7

L.A. Rams by 4

New Orleans by 4

posted by cixelsyd at 02:26 PM on December 13

Kansas City by 3
Houston by 17
Cleveland by 6
Atlanta by 6
Buffalo by 3
Chicago by 7
Cincinnati by 6
Dallas by 7
Miami by 9
Tennessee by 7
Washington by 13
Baltimore by 7
Seattle by 7
New England by 3
L.A. Rams by 11
New Orleans by 17

posted by grum@work at 02:36 PM on December 13

Kansas City by 4
Arizona by 7
Detroit by 7
Chicago by 7
Cincinnati by 7
Dallas by 7
Minnesota by 7
Tennessee by 7
Jacksonville by 7
Baltimore by 7
Seattle by 7
Pittsburgh by 7
L.A. Rams by 7
New Orleans by 7

posted by rcade at 04:05 PM on December 13

I could have not played last week and done better/smh.

Kansas City by 3 LOCK

posted by jagsnumberone at 04:26 PM on December 13

L.A. Chargers by 6

posted by NoMich at 04:38 PM on December 13

99.9%. It's the Patriots' win probability before the final play against Miami Sunday.

What's the pick version of having Gronk play safety?

Kansas City by 3
Houston by 3 - LOCK
Denver by 3
Atlanta by 10 - LOCK
Buffalo by 3
Chicago by 3
Cincinnati by 8
Indianapolis by 3
Minnesota by 10 - LOCK
N.Y. Giants by 6
Jacksonville by 3
Baltimore by 6 - LOCK
Seattle by 7
Pittsburgh by 7
L.A. Rams by 10 - LOCK
New Orleans by 7 - LOCK

posted by tron7 at 04:40 PM on December 13

LOCK Kansas City by 10 LOCK
LOCK Houston by 14 LOCK
Denver by 3
LOCK Atlanta by 13 LOCK
Buffalo by 2
LOCK Chicago by 11 LOCK
Cincinnati by 5
Dallas by 5
Minnesota by 4
Tennessee by 4
Jacksonville by 7
Baltimore by 4
Seattle by 4
New England by 5
LOCK L.A. Rams by 10 LOCK
New Orleans by 7

posted by bender at 05:45 PM on December 13

Made it home in time so here we go.

Kansas City by 6

Houston by 7

Cleveland by 3

Atlanta by 10 (LOCK)

Buffalo by 4

Chicago by 13

Oakland by 3

Dallas by 3

Minnesota by 14

N.Y.Giants by 6

Jacksonville by 3

Baltimore by 17

Seattle by 10 (LOCK)

New England by 6

L.A. Rams by 10

New Orleans by 13

posted by ic23b at 05:56 PM on December 13

Kansas City by 12 Lock

posted by tommytrump at 06:54 PM on December 13

Chargers by 5 LOCK

posted by 9mmHeater at 06:55 PM on December 13

Houston by 21

Denver by 7

Atlanta by 21

Detroit by 14

Green Bay by 7

Cincinnati by 7

Indianapolis by 7

Miami by 7

Tennessee by 7

Jacksonville by 4

Tampa Bay by 7

Seattle by 17

New England by 7

L.A. Rams by 7

New Orleans by 21

Lock 'em all up, rcade !!

posted by tommytrump at 07:50 PM on December 13

How did I have a bad week and still move up one place in the standings? It don't make no good sense.

This is a real test for Phillip Rivers and the Chargers. It might be more of a test for the Chiefs. Can their defense withstand Rivers? Can their offense do enough against a decent defense to offset Rivers ? Kansas City by 7

This one has easy win written all over it. Trouble is, auto correct might change things. Houston by 9

Browns didn't let me down last week, but Broncos did. Broncos are at home in the mile high. Denver by 10

No no, Buccaneers, that's not a parrot to put on your shoulder, it's a Raven, a member of the corvid family, and they bite. Baltimore by 13 LOCK

Birds of a feather flock together. These 2 have different feathers, so there will be no flocking around. Atlanta by 16 LOCK

Cowboys spend an afternoon breaking in young horses. Dallas by 6

Dolphins are full of themselves after opening their early Christmas gift last week. Vikings are the Grinch. Minnesota by 14 LOCK

Detroit is on the St. Clair River, between Lake Huron and Lake Erie. Buffalo is on the Niagara River, between Lake Erie and Lake Ontario. Does the winner receive possession of Lake Erie? Buffalo by 5

This one could wrap up the NFC North for Bears. Chicago by 13 LOCK

Raiders may now be renamed the Orphans: Bengals may be renamed with names unprintable. Cincinnati by 6

Native Americans coaching is being questioned by the players. If the team receives federal subsidies, will the coaches be questioned by the FBI? Jacksonville by 14

Two teams with nicknames representing very large people. Is a Titan bigger than a Giant, or is it the other way around? Tennessee by 3

Seahawks have finally taken flight; 49ers should finally take cover. Seattle by 17 LOCK

Patriots attempt an ill-conceived multiple lateral play as a last gasp effort. Steelers intercept a lateral, but then fumble the ball. Patriots pick it up and return it 63 yards for the winning score. New England by 7

The bald eagle is still a threatened species. So is the Philadelphia Eagle. Los Angeles (National Conference) by 16 LOCK

Saints continue the march to the NFC South title. New Orleans by 10

posted by Howard_T at 08:09 PM on December 13

I see that 9mm and I were the only smart ones in the room last night. However, the Heater had the nards to actually lock his pick up. high five, brother!

posted by NoMich at 08:41 AM on December 14

Texans by 10 lock Browns by 3

posted by truthhurts at 04:12 PM on December 14

Arizona at Atlanta Falcons by 10 LOCK
Detroit at Buffalo Bills by 3
Green Bay at Chicago Bears by 6
Oakland at Cincinnati Bengals by 7
Dallas at Indianapolis Colts by 3
Miami at Minnesota Vikings by 7
Tennessee at N.Y. Giants Giants by 7
Washington at Jacksonville Jaguars by 10 LOCK
Tampa Bay at Baltimore Ravens by 7
Seattle at San Francisco Seahawks by 3
New England at Pittsburgh Patriots by 3
Philadelphia at L.A. Rams Rams by 10 LOCK
New Orleans at Carolina Saints by 14 LOCK

posted by truthhurts at 01:27 AM on December 15

Houston by 7
Denver by 5

posted by NoMich at 10:04 AM on December 15

Negative 5 last week...lock Thursday's loss...forget about Saturday's game's until it's too late...It's desperation, "Hail Mary" time.

Kansas City by 3 LOCK (earlier in thread, unfortunately)

Houston/NY Jets- no pick

Cleveland/Denver-no pick (at least, I didn't lose any points/lol)

Atlanta by 7 LOCK

Buffalo by 4 LOCK

Chicago by 5 LOCK

Cincinnati by 3 LOCK

Dallas by 3 LOCK

Minnesota by 7 LOCK

NY Giants by 2 LOCK

Jacksonville by 6 LOCK (and take the "over" since everyone thinks this will be very low scoring-Kessler gets hurt and Bortles comes in and the teams exchange broken plays after broken plays for a 35-29 win for the Jags/lol)

Baltimore by 10 LOCK

Seattle by 7 LOCK

Pittsburgh by 4 LOCK

LA Rams by 14 LOCK

New Orleans by 7 LOCK

posted by jagsnumberone at 12:54 PM on December 16

Back at ya, NoMich.

It's a shame my dumb ass missed making the REST of the damn picks this week, tho! LOL

And, in honesty, I've been locking every single game for about 5 weeks now I think. But, I still appreciate making up 50% of the 'smart' ones here on the Chargers. :-)

posted by 9mmHeater at 04:18 AM on December 17

Ha! Just saw where you nailed my Texans for a perfect spread too.

Alas....no Lock once more. Appreciate the good Karma for my Texans tho, bro.

posted by 9mmHeater at 04:21 AM on December 17

Hehe....ummm Saints by 9 LOCK

posted by 9mmHeater at 04:27 AM on December 17

Dammit. Down in Vegas for a hearing last week, no time to lollygag on my favorite community sports blog.

New Orleans by 14 LOCK

posted by tahoemoj at 03:11 PM on December 17

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