November 21, 2018

SportsFilter NFL Pick 'Em Week 12: Turkey Bowl Edition: Thanksgiving Day has a trio of NFC divisional showdowns: Chicago/Detroit, Washington/Dallas and Atlanta/New Orleans. In SportsFilter's NFL Pick 'Em, Tron7's lead has grown by 20 from a week-winning score of 68. Truthhurts stays in second and Ic23b climbs into third. Make your picks and remember that tryptophan is a performance altering drug.

How This Works

SportsFilter is running a season-long NFL Pick 'Em contest and awarding a prize to the season's winner: an official NFL Game Football ($99.99 value).

To play, pick who you think will win and by how many points. You then get points based on the result:

Picked the winner? You get 5 points
Picked the winner and a spread within the margin of error? You get 3 more points
Picked the winner and the exact spread? You get 2 more points

What's the Margin of Error?

A window around the spread that's defined as the following:

spread - round(0.3 * spread) <= Margin of Error <= spread + round(0.3 * spread)

You get rewarded for being close to the spread. The bigger the spread, the bigger the margin of error, so you don't have to be as accurate predicting a blowout as a close game.

Examples:

Actual SpreadMargin Starts atMargin Ends at
111
435
759
11814
201426
So if you picked Miami by 15, here's how you'd fare given certain outcomes:
OutcomeYour score
Miami by 208 points (winner + spread within MoE)
Miami by 105 points (winner only)
Miami by 1510 points (winner + nailed spread)
Miami by 50 points

Stone Cold Lead Pipe Locks

You can choose any game as a stone cold lead pipe lock. This doubles the points you win for that game, but if that team doesn't win, you lose 10 points (even if you get the spread). You can make as many picks a lock as you like or pick no locks at all.

The Small Print

In order to receive the prize, you must respond to our email within 14 days of the winner announcement. Make sure you have a valid email address on SportsFilter or contact me within that time period. The prize does not include international shipping, so in that situation you can pay the cost or receive an equivalent cash prize over Paypal.

Hall of Champions

2016-17: Ufez Jones
2017-18: Tron7
2018-19: Tron7

This Week's Games

Green Bay at Chicago on NBC (Thursday)
L.A. Rams at Carolina on Fox (Sunday)
Washington at Philadelphia on Fox (Sunday)
Buffalo at N.Y. Jets on CBS (Sunday)
Atlanta at Minnesota on Fox (Sunday)
Baltimore at Miami on CBS (Sunday)
Kansas City at Jacksonville on CBS (Sunday)
Tennessee at Cleveland on CBS (Sunday)
Indianapolis at L.A. Chargers on CBS (Sunday)
Cincinnati at Seattle on CBS (Sunday)
San Francisco at Tampa Bay on Fox (Sunday)
N.Y. Giants at Dallas on Fox (Sunday)
Detroit at Arizona on Fox (Sunday)
Pittsburgh at New England on NBC (Sunday)
Houston at New Orleans on ESPN (Monday)
Denver at Oakland on ESPN (Monday)

Picks must be submitted in this discussion before the game's kickoff. So if you miss Thursday night's opener you can still choose the Sunday and Monday games.

posted by rcade to football at 10:48 PM - 25 comments

Getting my NFL picks in early

Bears by 7
Cowboys by 10
Saints by 17 LOCK

posted by truthhurts at 11:48 AM on November 20

Early NFL Picks for this week.

Chicago by 7
Washington by 3
New Orleans by 10 - LOCK
Jacksonville by 6
Cleveland by 3
Indianapolis by 10 - LOCK
New England by 7 - LOCK
Philadelphia by 7
Tampa Bay by 3
Carolina by 3
Baltimore by 10 - LOCK
Los Angeles Chargers - LOCK
Denver by 3
Green Bay by 3
Houston by 11 - LOCK

posted by tron7 at 06:13 PM on November 20

Chicago by 6

Dallas by 14

NO by 24

posted by tahoemoj at 06:16 PM on November 21

I will be gone all day tomorrow, so have to get these done now.

No tigers here again. Just Lions and Bears Oh My. Chicago by 16 LOCK

No time for cliched remarks about western movies. Dallas by 9

If you are Atlanta, this is no day to pray to any of the Saints. New Orleans by 13 LOCK

Happy Thanksgiving to all.

posted by Howard_T at 07:57 PM on November 21

Detroit Lions by 3

Dallas by 10 (LOCK)

New Orleans by 23 (LOCK)

posted by ic23b at 09:53 PM on November 21

Don't get too comfortable up there tron, I'm coming after you!

Chicago by 7
Dallas by 10
New Orleans by 14

LOCK 'EM UP, CADEY! SCARED YET, TRON?!

posted by NoMich at 11:01 PM on November 21

Chicago by 7
Dallas by 3
New Orleans by 13
Jacksonville by 3
Cincinnati by 8
New England by 17
Philadelphia by 7
Tampa Bay by 7
Carolina by 9
Baltimore by 7
L.A. Chargers by 10
Pittsburgh by 13
Indianapolis by 14

Green Bay by 9
Houston by 11

posted by grum@work at 11:05 PM on November 21

Detroit Lions by 3

Dallas by 10 (LOCK)

New Orleans by 23 (LOCK)

Buffalo by 3

Cleveland by 10

New England by 10

Philadelphia by 10

Tampa Bay by 3

Carolina by 3

Baltimore by 14

L.A. Chargers by 10

Pittsburgh by 6

Indianapolis by 17 (LOCK)

Minnesota by 4

Houston by 7

posted by ic23b at 11:25 PM on November 21

Bears by 7
Cowboys by 10
Saints by 17 LOCK

posted by truthhurts at 12:10 AM on November 22

Detroit by 7
Dallas by 3
New Orleans by 7 <-- lock

posted by rcade at 08:27 AM on November 22

Chicago 7

Dallas 7 LOCK

New Orleans 10 LOCK

Buffalo 3

Cincinnati 4

New England 7

Philadelphia 7 LOCK

San Francisco 4

Carolina 6

Baltimore 7 LOCK

L.A. Chargers 6

Pittsburgh 9 LOCK

Indianapolis 3

Green Bay 7

Tennessee 9

posted by cixelsyd at 10:11 AM on November 22

Detroit by 10

Dallas by 7

New Orleans by 17 LOCK

posted by jagsnumberone at 11:58 AM on November 22

Posted this in yesterday's Huddle; reprinted for your reading pleasure.

I will be gone all day tomorrow, so have to get these done now.

No tigers here again. Just Lions and Bears Oh My. Chicago by 16 LOCK

No time for cliched remarks about western movies. Dallas by 9

If you are Atlanta, this is no day to pray to any of the Saints. New Orleans by 13 LOCK

Happy Thanksgiving to all.

posted by Howard_T at 01:42 PM on November 22

Whoops, too late for the first game.

LOCK Dallas by 7 LOCK
LOCK New Orleans by 17 LOCK

Happy Thanksgiving!

posted by bender at 01:53 PM on November 22

Forgot to say - Happy Thanksgiving to all!

posted by cixelsyd at 11:28 PM on November 22

LOCK Dallas by 7 LOCK
LOCK New Orleans by 17 LOCK
Buffalo by 4
LOCK Cincinnati by 10 LOCK
New England by 7
Philadelphia by 3
LOCK Tampa Bay by 9 LOCK
Carolina by 4
Baltimore by 6
LOCK L.A. Chargers by 9 LOCK
Pittsburgh by 7
Indianapolis by 4
Minnesota by 5
Houston by 4

posted by bender at 11:36 PM on November 22

So glad I sent NoMich those Michael Avenatti motivational DVD's. Looks like they were worth every penny.

posted by beaverboard at 07:45 AM on November 23

Fully stuffed with turkey, potatoes, stuffing, cranberry, and all the traditional goodies, and having finished off with apple pie, pumpkin pie, and lemon ginger cheese cake, I am ready to finish my picks.

49ers won't find any gold in Florida. Tampa Bay by 17

For the championship of Ohio Cincinnati by 9

Deflated hopes meet hopeless from the start Philadelphia by 3

Can a warm weather team survive in the severe cold? Jacksonville by 7

The history of dirty deeds between Jets and Patriots fills volumes. New England by 10

Baltimore is sometimes called Charm City. Raiders will be anything but charmed by their welcome there. Baltimore by 23 LOCK

Big cats like to devour big birds. Carolina by 10

At least it's not a really long trip for the Cardinals. Los Angeles (American Conference) by 16 LOCK

Little horses like to gallop on the grass. Fish don't do so well with that. Indianapolis by 7

Will the altitude cause any problem for the Steelers? Maybe the altitude, but not the Broncos. Pittsburgh by 6

Two who have shown flashes of success, but no consistency. It's a divisional game, so it will be competitive. Minnesota by 3

The former offensive coordinator welcomes a former linebacker who was one of his best red zone receivers. Tennessee by 13

posted by Howard_T at 04:56 PM on November 23

Jacksonville at Buffalo Bills by 7
Cleveland at Cincinnati Bengals by 7
New England at N.Y. Jets Patriots by 10 LOCK
N.Y. Giants at Philadelphia Eagles by 10
San Francisco at Tampa Bay Buccaneers by 3
Seattle at Carolina Panthers by 7
Oakland at Baltimore Ravens by 17 LOCK
Arizona at L.A. Chargers Chargers by 20 LOCK
Pittsburgh at Denver Steelers by 10
Miami at Indianapolis Colts by 14 LOCK
Green Bay at Minnesota Vikings by 7
Tennessee at Houston Titans by 7

posted by truthhurts at 12:07 AM on November 24

Sent to rcade's tweety box earlier in the week: Saints, Bears, Cowboys, all by 11

Jacksonville by 2

Cincinnati by 10

New England by 20

N.Y. Giants by 2

San Francisco by 12

Seattle by 6

Baltimore by 20

L.A. Chargers by 19

Pittsburgh by 18

Indianapolis by 11

Minnesota by 4

Houston by 11

posted by tommytrump at 12:18 PM on November 24

Playing for Pride...

Ravens by 17 LOCK

Niners by 3 LOCK

Philly by 8 LOCK

Bengals by 5 LOCK

Pats by 15 LOCK

Carolina by 6 LOCK

Chargers by 9 LOCK

Fish by 6 LOCK

Broncos by 4 LOCK

Packers by 2 LOCK

Texans by 12 LOCK

posted by 9mmHeater at 04:35 PM on November 24

From earlier in thread:

Detroit by 10

Dallas by 7

New Orleans by 17 LOCK

and now:

Jacksonville by 10 LOCK

Cincinnati by 3 LOCK

New England by 13 LOCK

Philadelphia by 10 LOCK

Tampa Bay by 6 LOCK

Carolina by 4

Baltimore by 9 LOCK

LA Chargers by 23 LOCK

Pittsburgh by 4

Miami by 3

Minnesota by 7

Houston by 5

posted by jagsnumberone at 05:09 AM on November 25

Jacksonville by 13 LOCK

Cincinnati by 7

New England by 10

Philadelphia by 6

Tampa Bay by 4

Carolina by 3

Baltimore by 17 LOCK

L.A. Chargers by 10 LOCK

Pittsburgh by 17 LOCK

Indianapolis by 13 LOCK

Minnesota by 6

Houston by 6

posted by tahoemoj at 11:52 AM on November 25

Jacksonville by 7
Cincinnati by 3
New England by 7 <-- lock
Philadelphia by 6
San Francisco by 3
Carolina by 3
Baltimore by 10
L.A. Chargers by 10 <-- lock
Pittsburgh by 7
Indianapolis by 6
Minnesota by 3
Houston by 7

posted by rcade at 12:07 PM on November 25

Jacksonville by 5
Cincinnati by 10
New England by 14
Philadelphia by 6
Tampa Bay by 5
Carolina by 6
Baltimore by 13
L.A. Chargers by 14
Pittsburgh by 5
Indianapolis by 6
Minnesota by 7
Houston by 7

posted by NoMich at 01:13 PM on November 25

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