November 15, 2018

SportsFilter NFL Pick 'Em Week 11: Simultaneous Possession Edition: Week 11 of the NFL begins tonight when Green Bay visits Seattle. Tron7 stays in first at 740, with Truthhurts in second 26 back and Jagsnumberone third. Make your picks.

How This Works

SportsFilter is running a season-long NFL Pick 'Em contest and awarding a prize to the season's winner: an official NFL Game Football ($99.99 value).

To play, pick who you think will win and by how many points. You then get points based on the result:

Picked the winner? You get 5 points
Picked the winner and a spread within the margin of error? You get 3 more points
Picked the winner and the exact spread? You get 2 more points

What's the Margin of Error?

A window around the spread that's defined as the following:

spread - round(0.3 * spread) <= Margin of Error <= spread + round(0.3 * spread)

You get rewarded for being close to the spread. The bigger the spread, the bigger the margin of error, so you don't have to be as accurate predicting a blowout as a close game.


Actual SpreadMargin Starts atMargin Ends at
So if you picked Miami by 15, here's how you'd fare given certain outcomes:
OutcomeYour score
Miami by 208 points (winner + spread within MoE)
Miami by 105 points (winner only)
Miami by 1510 points (winner + nailed spread)
Miami by 50 points

Stone Cold Lead Pipe Locks

You can choose any game as a stone cold lead pipe lock. This doubles the points you win for that game, but if that team doesn't win, you lose 10 points (even if you get the spread). You can make as many picks a lock as you like or pick no locks at all.

The Small Print

In order to receive the prize, you must respond to our email within 14 days of the winner announcement. Make sure you have a valid email address on SportsFilter or contact me within that time period. The prize does not include international shipping, so in that situation you can pay the cost or receive an equivalent cash prize over Paypal.

Hall of Champions

2016-17: Ufez Jones
2017-18: Tron7
2018-19: Tron7

This Week's Games

Green Bay at Chicago on NBC (Thursday)
L.A. Rams at Carolina on Fox (Sunday)
Washington at Philadelphia on Fox (Sunday)
Buffalo at N.Y. Jets on CBS (Sunday)
Atlanta at Minnesota on Fox (Sunday)
Baltimore at Miami on CBS (Sunday)
Kansas City at Jacksonville on CBS (Sunday)
Tennessee at Cleveland on CBS (Sunday)
Indianapolis at L.A. Chargers on CBS (Sunday)
Cincinnati at Seattle on CBS (Sunday)
San Francisco at Tampa Bay on Fox (Sunday)
N.Y. Giants at Dallas on Fox (Sunday)
Detroit at Arizona on Fox (Sunday)
Pittsburgh at New England on NBC (Sunday)
Houston at New Orleans on ESPN (Monday)
Denver at Oakland on ESPN (Monday)

Picks must be submitted in this discussion before the game's kickoff. So if you miss Thursday night's opener you can still choose the Sunday and Monday games.

posted by rcade to football at 02:30 PM - 23 comments

I'm still looking to make sure I got all the picks.

posted by rcade at 02:31 PM on November 15

Green Bay by 7
Atlanta by 6
Carolina by 13
Tennessee by 9
Tampa Bay by 6
Houston by 11
Pittsburgh by 7
Baltimore by 3
Arizona by 3
L.A. Chargers by 7
New Orleans by 14
Chicago by 9
Kansas City by 7

posted by grum@work at 02:39 PM on November 15

You'll want to fix the scoring for the Atlanta/Cleveland game. I'm pretty sure Cleveland didn't win 2-0.

Since no one actually took Cleveland for the win, it doesn't matter in the standings...

posted by grum@work at 02:43 PM on November 15

My picks were in the Tuesday huddle

posted by tron7 at 03:06 PM on November 15

Seattle by 7

posted by NoMich at 03:15 PM on November 15

Seattle by 6

Atlanta by 4

Carolina by 10 LOCK

Tennessee by 6 LOCK

Tampa Bay by 4

Washington by 6

Pittsburgh by 9 LOCK

Baltimore by 7

Arizona by 4

L.A. Chargers by 6 LOCK

New Orleans by 7 LOCK

Chicago by 5

Kansas City by 7

posted by cixelsyd at 03:20 PM on November 15

Seattle by 4

Atlanta by 13

Carolina by 12

Indianapolis by 3

N.Y.Giants by 3

Houston by 7

Pittsburgh by 4

Baltimore by 7

Arizona by 6

L.A.Chargers by 13

New Orleans by 17

Chicago by 3

L.A.Rams by 3

posted by ic23b at 03:39 PM on November 15

Seahawks by 7

posted by truthhurts at 03:54 PM on November 15

Seattle by 3
Atlanta by 6
Carolina by 8
Indianapolis by 3
N.Y. Giants by 3
Houston by 4
Pittsburgh by 6
Baltimore by 7
Arizona by 3
L.A. Chargers by 7
New Orleans by 7 - LOCK
Chicago by 6
L.A. Rams by 3

posted by tron7 at 04:30 PM on November 15

Another solidly middle-of-the-road week for me. I'm starting to become the human embodiment of mediocrity. And I'm totally cool with that.

Green Bay by 4

Dallas by 6

Carolina by 5

Tennessee by 7

N.Y. Giants by 4

Houston by 10

Pittsburgh by 14

Baltimore by 3

Arizona by 10

L.A. Chargers by 13

New Orleans by 17

Chicago by 8

L.A. Rams by 6

posted by tahoemoj at 04:47 PM on November 15

Seattle by 17

posted by tommytrump at 05:41 PM on November 15

I somehow have maintained a place in the top 5. This means that I am obviously not at my usual standard of utter futility. What is wrong with me?

Laundry in the dryer and it needs to come out. Dinner needs to be prepared, and I haven't even started yet. Had to call the outfit that takes care of the heating system today because the heat wasn't working (bad circulator pump), so I've been chasing that most of the afternoon. Picking for tonight only, with more later.

Packers have been unimpressive, even with Aaron Rodgers at QB. Seattle has been unimpressive, period. The game is in Seattle, so that counts. Seattle by 12

posted by Howard_T at 06:21 PM on November 15

Seattle by 3

posted by jagsnumberone at 06:38 PM on November 15

Green Bay by 3
Dallas by 3
Carolina by 7
Tennessee by 3
Tampa Bay by 6
Houston by 7
Pittsburgh by 10 (sigh)
Cincinnati by 7
Arizona by 7 <-- lock
L.A. Chargers by 10 <-- lock
New Orleans by 3
Chicago by 6
L.A. Rams by 4

posted by rcade at 07:42 PM on November 15

LOCK Seattle by 5 LOCK
Atlanta by 3
Carolina by 6
Tennessee by 5
Tampa Bay by 4
Washington by 7
Pittsburgh by 7
Baltimore by 2
Arizona by 2
LOCK L.A. Chargers by 13 LOCK
LOCK New Orleans by 10 LOCK
Chicago by 5
Kansas City by 3

posted by bender at 07:56 PM on November 15

My week 10 Picks from the Tuesday November 6th huddle

Carolina by 3, 0 points
Chicago by 6, 5 points
New Orleans by 6, 5 points
Atlanta by 10, 0 points
Green Bay by 10 - LOCK, 10 points
New England by 10 - LOCK, -10 points
Indianapolis by 3, 10 points
Kansas City by 14 - LOCK, 16 points
New York Jets by 3, 0 points
Washington by 3, 5 points
Los Angeles Chargers by 11 - LOCK, 16 points
Los Angeles Rams by 10 - LOCK, 10 points
Philadelphia by 10, 0 points
San Francisco by 4, 0 points

Week total - 67
Overall total - 740

posted by tron7 at 10:20 AM on November 16

Dallas at Atlanta Falcons by 10
Carolina at Detroit Panthers by 4
Tennessee at Indianapolis Colts by 3
Tampa Bay at N.Y. Giants Giants by 3
Houston at Washington Texans by 10
Pittsburgh at Jacksonville Steelers by 10 LOCK
Cincinnati at Baltimore Ravens by 7
Oakland at Arizona Cardinals by 7
Denver at L.A. Chargers Chargers by 14 LOCK
Philadelphia at New Orleans Saints by 10 LOCK
Minnesota at Chicago Bears by 3
Kansas City at L.A. Rams Chiefs by 5

posted by truthhurts at 11:46 AM on November 16

Atlanta by 11

Carolina by 11

Indianapolis by 11

Tampa Bay by 21

Houston by 11

Pittsburgh by 11

Cincinnati by 1

Oakland by 7

L.A. Chargers by 11

Philadelphia by 11

Chicago by 11

Kansas City by 5

posted by tommytrump at 07:06 PM on November 16

Saturday morning and I'm working on my second cup of coffee. Busy day today. Helping out at a funeral for a friend this morning. Couldn't get to the grocery store yesterday, so that has to be done today. Finally my wife and I are going to the Celtics game tonight. Have to get the picks in when I can.

AFC North match that used to be important. Baltimore by 9

Pirates in New York? Well, New Jersey anyway. Tampa Bay by 8

Falcons have figured it out, Cowboys not so much. Atlanta by 13

A fight between two cats to see who gets to use the litter box first. Carolina by 11

Can the Jaguars stop the juggernaut from the Steel City? Pittsburgh by 14 LOCK

A lot of Texans have been successful in Washington, but they were all politicians. Washington by 7

We New Englanders would rather not speak of the Titans recent success. Tennessee by 16 LOCK

Here's another old school AFL match that once meant much to both sides. It is still important to one. Los Angeles (American Conference) by 17 LOCK

One of these two has to win. Arizona by 16

This one is for serious money. New Orleans by 4

And here's another one of great importance. Chicago by 3

This could be the best of the season. If you cite the source of your work, it's not plagiarism. Los Angeles (National Conference) by 6

posted by Howard_T at 10:13 AM on November 17

Seattle by 3 (earlier in thread)

Atlanta by 7

Carolina by 3

Indianapolis by 4

NY Giants by 7

Washington by 3

Jacksonville by 6 (Yeah, I know, and I don't care, hell why don't we just LOc...uh, nevermind on that/lol.)

Cincinnati by 7

Arizona by 4

LA Chargers by 5

New Orleans by 7

Minnesota by 10 LOCK

LA Rams by 3

posted by jagsnumberone at 04:36 AM on November 18

Week total - 67
Overall total - 740

Correct. The standings are now current and your lead restored. If you did choose to take a week off I don't know that anyone would complain.

posted by rcade at 10:36 AM on November 18

Seattle by 7 <<< from Thursday

Atlanta by 5
Carolina by 7
Indianapolis by 5
N.Y. Giants by 4
Washington by 7
Pittsburgh by 7
Baltimore by 5
Arizona by 6
L.A. Chargers by 7
New Orleans by 12
Chicago by 6
L.A. Rams by 5

posted by NoMich at 10:41 AM on November 18

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