November 08, 2018

SportsFilter NFL Pick 'Em Week 10: Nick Mullens That's Who Edition: The NFL week begins tonight with the Panthers at Steelers. In our NFL Pick 'Em, Tron7 keeps first at 673 but Truthhurts has cut 57 points off that lead with a week-leading 112. Jagsnumberone, whose always-pick-Jacksonville policy is again a detriment, is third at 637. Make your picks and never, ever count out Nicholas Clayton Mullens.

How This Works

SportsFilter is running a season-long NFL Pick 'Em contest and awarding a prize to the season's winner: an official NFL Game Football ($99.99 value).

To play, pick who you think will win and by how many points. You then get points based on the result:

Picked the winner? You get 5 points
Picked the winner and a spread within the margin of error? You get 3 more points
Picked the winner and the exact spread? You get 2 more points

What's the Margin of Error?

A window around the spread that's defined as the following:

spread - round(0.3 * spread) <= Margin of Error <= spread + round(0.3 * spread)

You get rewarded for being close to the spread. The bigger the spread, the bigger the margin of error, so you don't have to be as accurate predicting a blowout as a close game.

Examples:

Actual SpreadMargin Starts atMargin Ends at
111
435
759
11814
201426
So if you picked Miami by 15, here's how you'd fare given certain outcomes:
OutcomeYour score
Miami by 208 points (winner + spread within MoE)
Miami by 105 points (winner only)
Miami by 1510 points (winner + nailed spread)
Miami by 50 points

Stone Cold Lead Pipe Locks

You can choose any game as a stone cold lead pipe lock. This doubles the points you win for that game, but if that team doesn't win, you lose 10 points (even if you get the spread). You can make as many picks a lock as you like or pick no locks at all.

The Small Print

In order to receive the prize, you must respond to our email within 14 days of the winner announcement. Make sure you have a valid email address on SportsFilter or contact me within that time period. The prize does not include international shipping, so in that situation you can pay the cost or receive an equivalent cash prize over Paypal.

Hall of Champions

2016-17: Ufez Jones
2017-18: Tron7
2018-19: Tron7

This Week's Games

Green Bay at Chicago on NBC (Thursday)
L.A. Rams at Carolina on Fox (Sunday)
Washington at Philadelphia on Fox (Sunday)
Buffalo at N.Y. Jets on CBS (Sunday)
Atlanta at Minnesota on Fox (Sunday)
Baltimore at Miami on CBS (Sunday)
Kansas City at Jacksonville on CBS (Sunday)
Tennessee at Cleveland on CBS (Sunday)
Indianapolis at L.A. Chargers on CBS (Sunday)
Cincinnati at Seattle on CBS (Sunday)
San Francisco at Tampa Bay on Fox (Sunday)
N.Y. Giants at Dallas on Fox (Sunday)
Detroit at Arizona on Fox (Sunday)
Pittsburgh at New England on NBC (Sunday)
Houston at New Orleans on ESPN (Monday)
Denver at Oakland on ESPN (Monday)

Picks must be submitted in this discussion before the game's kickoff. So if you miss Thursday night's opener you can still choose the Sunday and Monday games.

posted by rcade to football at 12:24 PM - 23 comments

My NFL picks this week

Carolina by 3
Chicago by 6
New Orleans by 6
Atlanta by 10
Green Bay by 10 - LOCK
New England by 10 - LOCK
Indianapolis by 3
Kansas City by 14 - LOCK
New York Jets by 3
Washington by 3
Los Angeles Chargers by 11 - LOCK
Los Angeles Rams by 10 - LOCK
Philadelphia by 10
San Francisco by 4

posted by tron7 at 05:45 PM on November 06

For the NFL Pick 'em: Panthers are not an easy out, but Steelers apparently have put their problems behind them. Pittsburgh by 9

I won't have a lot of time to do my picks today. Son and I are doing a long planned walk of the Freedom Trail. We finally have mutual availability, it's a beautiful autumn day, so what can be better?

posted by Howard_T at 08:42 AM on November 08

LOCK Pittsburgh by 4 LOCK

posted by bender at 11:56 AM on November 08

Truthhurts' score last week has been increased by 5 because he got the Indianapolis win correct.

posted by rcade at 12:25 PM on November 08

Pittsburgh by 4

Chicago by 7 LOCK

New Orleans by 4 LOCK

Atlanta by 6 LOCK

New England by 10 LOCK

Indianapolis by 3

Kansas City by 7

N.Y. Jets by 7

Washington by 4

L.A. Chargers by 13 LOCK

Green Bay by 7 LOCK

L.A. Rams by 10 LOCK

Philadelphia by 7 LOCK

San Francisco by 10 LOCK

posted by cixelsyd at 12:48 PM on November 08

Steelers by 5

posted by truthhurts at 01:08 PM on November 08

Carolina by 11

posted by tommytrump at 01:10 PM on November 08

Well, eff me sideways. I forgot to make picks for the Sunday/Monday games last week. /sigh

For tonight:
Stillers by 5

posted by NoMich at 01:19 PM on November 08

Pittsburgh by 3
Chicago by 6
New Orleans by 3
Atlanta by 7 <-- lock
New England by 7
Jacksonville by 3
Kansas City by 10 <-- lock
N.Y. Jets by 7
Washington by 3
L.A. Chargers by 7 <-- lock
Green Bay by 7
L.A. Rams by 3
Philadelphia by 7
San Francisco by 6

posted by rcade at 01:59 PM on November 08

Pittsburgh by 6
Chicago by 7
New Orleans by 14
Atlanta by 10
New England by 13

Jacksonville by 3
Kansas City by 14
Buffalo by 3
Washington by 6
L.A. Chargers by 14
Green Bay by 19
L.A. Rams by 11

Philadelphia by 9
San Francisco by 7

posted by grum@work at 02:21 PM on November 08

Mullens treading the hallowed ground once trod by Blaine Gabbert.

posted by beaverboard at 02:25 PM on November 08

Pittsburgh by 7

And FYI, my always pick Jacksonville didn't hurt me last week (they were on a bye/lol.) Duuuuvvvallll!!! We get back to winning this week. Hopefully.

posted by jagsnumberone at 02:28 PM on November 08

Pittsburgh by 12 (LOCK)

Chicago by 13 (LOCK) (My Detroit Lions have already gave up)

New Orleans by 10 (LOCK)

Atlanta by 17 (LOCK)

New England by 21 (LOCK)

Indianapolis by 6

Kansas City by 20 (LOCK)

N.Y.Jets by 6

Tampa Bay by 3

L.A.Chargers by 17 (LOCK)

Green Bay by 12 (LOCK)

L.A.Rams by 8

Philadelphia by 9

N.Y. Giants by 3

posted by ic23b at 03:11 PM on November 08

Pittsburgh by 8 LOCK

posted by tahoemoj at 07:29 PM on November 08

Chicago by 5

New Orleans by 6

Atlanta by 17

New England by 9

Indianapolis by 10

Kansas City by 18

N.Y. Jets by 8

Washington by 4

L.A. Chargers by 6

Green Bay by 11

Seattle by 12

Philadelphia by 20

San Francisco by 13

posted by tommytrump at 07:53 PM on November 08

Steelers by 12 LOCK

posted by 9mmHeater at 08:13 PM on November 08

BTW. If anyone who picked Pitt cares to view my last week results... consider yourself jinxed. Lol

posted by 9mmHeater at 08:29 PM on November 08

And FYI, my always pick Jacksonville didn't hurt me last week (they were on a bye/lol.)

I admire your policy. Every time I pick against the Jags I feel shame.

Does anyone else always pick their team to win on principle?

posted by rcade at 08:15 AM on November 09

Does anyone else always pick their team to win on principle?

No, but whenever I do pick against the Bengals, they win. Also, I never start anyone playing against them in my fantasy league. Lots of points on my bench this year.

Chicago by 3

New Orleans by 17 LOCK (see note above)

Atlanta by 13 LOCK

New England by 14 LOCK

Indianapolis by 6

Kansas City by 24 LOCK

N.Y. Jets by 8

Washington by 7

L.A. Chargers by 13 LOCK

Green Bay by 14 LOCK

L.A. Rams by 10 LOCK

Philadelphia by 13

N.Y. Giants at San Francisco...ugh, really?! San Fran, I guess. Let's say by 10

posted by tahoemoj at 12:07 PM on November 09

Carolina at Pittsburgh Steelers by 5
Detroit at Chicago Bears by 14 LOCK
New Orleans at Cincinnati Saints by 10 LOCK
Atlanta at Cleveland Falcons by 7 LOCK
New England at Tennessee Patriots by 10 LOCK
Jacksonville at Indianapolis Colts by 3
Arizona at Kansas City Chiefs by 20 LOCK
Buffalo at N.Y. Jets Jets by 14 LOCK
Washington at Tampa Bay Redskins by 7
L.A. Chargers at Oakland Chargers by 10 LOCK
Miami at Green Bay Packers by 14 LOCK
Seattle at L.A. Rams Rams by 17 LOCK
Dallas at Philadelphia Eagles by 10
N.Y. Giants at San Francisco 49ers by 7

posted by truthhurts at 11:30 AM on November 10

It's Saturday night, and for a change I have little to do other than watch Bruins vs Maple Leafs. I've watched very little hockey so far this season, mostly because of basketball and football. Speaking of football, we have some picks to make.

Let's start with the AFC championship - of New York, that is. Buffalo by 12

Senior Navy Petty Officers host members of the Roman Catholic hierarchy. Chiefs confess nothing. Kansas City by 16 LOCK

Atlanta is finally playing well, but they are in the dog pound. Atlanta by 10 LOCK

Jacksonville, Indianapolis, and Philadelphia have the most letters (12) in single word NFL city names. Two of them meet here. Jacksonville by 10

No tigers in this one, Just Bears and Lions. Oh my! Chicago by 17 LOCK

Patriots finally get to play in the daylight. Will they know what to do? New England by 7

Native Americans go to visit some pirates. They may surrender much plunder. Tampa Bay by 11

Up the Mississippi to the Ohio go the marching Saints. The trip will turn a handsome profit. New Orleans by 14 LOCK

Another old time AFL rivalry with nothing but the past to make it noteworthy. Los Angeles (American Conference) by 18 LOCK

Packers' offense was somewhat exposed by Patriots' defense last week. Miami isn't all that great. Green Bay by 13it

Seahawks supposedly play well at home, but this time the Rams are the opponent. Los Angeles (National Conference) by 16

Rumblings of discontent are heard coming from Dallas. This week won't help matters any. Philadelphia by 14 LOCK

A transcontinental trip for the G-men is not exactly what they need.San Francisco by 7

posted by Howard_T at 08:44 PM on November 10

Pittsburgh by 7 (earlier in thread and on Wed's huddle)

Chicago by 6

New Orleans by 7

Atlanta by 10 LOCK

New England by 6

Jacksonville by 17 LOCK

Kansas City by 27 LOCK

NY Jets by 3 LOCK

Washington by 7

LA Chargers by 14 LOCK

Green Bay by 7 LOCK

LA Rams by 10 LOCK

Philadelphia by 7 LOCK

San Francisco by 5

posted by jagsnumberone at 04:16 AM on November 11

Pittsburgh by 5 <<< got that on Thursday

Chicago by 7
New Orleans by 7
Atlanta by 5
New England by 9
Indianapolis by 5
Kansas City by 14
N.Y. Jets by 6
Washington by 4
L.A. Chargers by 14
Green Bay by 6
L.A. Rams by 6
Philadelphia by 6
N.Y. Giants by 5

posted by NoMich at 10:36 AM on November 11

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