November 01, 2018

SportsFilter NFL Pick 'Em Week 9: Nick Who Edition: The second half of the NFL season begins tonight when Oakland makes the trek to San Francisco to face undrafted quarterback Nick Mullens. In our Pick 'Em, Tron7 leads with 618, followed by Jagsnumberone 48 back and me 74 back. I take the week with 103. Make your picks.

How This Works

SportsFilter is running a season-long NFL Pick 'Em contest and awarding a prize to the season's winner: an official NFL Game Football ($99.99 value).

To play, pick who you think will win and by how many points. You then get points based on the result:

Picked the winner? You get 5 points
Picked the winner and a spread within the margin of error? You get 3 more points
Picked the winner and the exact spread? You get 2 more points

What's the Margin of Error?

A window around the spread that's defined as the following:

spread - round(0.3 * spread) <= Margin of Error <= spread + round(0.3 * spread)

You get rewarded for being close to the spread. The bigger the spread, the bigger the margin of error, so you don't have to be as accurate predicting a blowout as a close game.

Examples:

Actual SpreadMargin Starts atMargin Ends at
111
435
759
11814
201426
So if you picked Miami by 15, here's how you'd fare given certain outcomes:
OutcomeYour score
Miami by 208 points (winner + spread within MoE)
Miami by 105 points (winner only)
Miami by 1510 points (winner + nailed spread)
Miami by 50 points

Stone Cold Lead Pipe Locks

You can choose any game as a stone cold lead pipe lock. This doubles the points you win for that game, but if that team doesn't win, you lose 10 points (even if you get the spread). You can make as many picks a lock as you like or pick no locks at all.

The Small Print

In order to receive the prize, you must respond to our email within 14 days of the winner announcement. Make sure you have a valid email address on SportsFilter or contact me within that time period. The prize does not include international shipping, so in that situation you can pay the cost or receive an equivalent cash prize over Paypal.

Hall of Champions

2016-17: Ufez Jones
2017-18: Tron7
2018-19: Tron7

This Week's Games

Green Bay at Chicago on NBC (Thursday)
L.A. Rams at Carolina on Fox (Sunday)
Washington at Philadelphia on Fox (Sunday)
Buffalo at N.Y. Jets on CBS (Sunday)
Atlanta at Minnesota on Fox (Sunday)
Baltimore at Miami on CBS (Sunday)
Kansas City at Jacksonville on CBS (Sunday)
Tennessee at Cleveland on CBS (Sunday)
Indianapolis at L.A. Chargers on CBS (Sunday)
Cincinnati at Seattle on CBS (Sunday)
San Francisco at Tampa Bay on Fox (Sunday)
N.Y. Giants at Dallas on Fox (Sunday)
Detroit at Arizona on Fox (Sunday)
Pittsburgh at New England on NBC (Sunday)
Houston at New Orleans on ESPN (Monday)
Denver at Oakland on ESPN (Monday)

Picks must be submitted in this discussion before the game's kickoff. So if you miss Thursday night's opener you can still choose the Sunday and Monday games.

posted by rcade to football at 05:38 PM - 28 comments

49ers by 6

posted by truthhurts at 12:18 PM on November 01

LOCK San Francisco by 7 LOCK

posted by bender at 01:08 PM on November 01

I know the Raiders are also crap this year, but LOCK?!?!

posted by billsaysthis at 01:21 PM on November 01

The astronomers tell us that black holes are massive and consume everything they encounter. They probably believe in UFOs too. San Francisco by 11

posted by Howard_T at 01:33 PM on November 01

69ers (heh) by 2 (they're going to win it 5 - 3)

posted by NoMich at 01:38 PM on November 01

Is it a color rush game? All black and all gold? Or all silver and all red? I'd want to see what that looked like. For 5 minutes or so.

Off to go look in a German technical dictionary to see if there's a definition for "benderlockenraiderslump".

posted by beaverboard at 02:13 PM on November 01

Raiders by 3

posted by grum@work at 02:20 PM on November 01

I know the Raiders are also crap this year, but LOCK?!?!

I have locked my Thursday Night pick every week! Why stop now?

posted by bender at 02:51 PM on November 01

Raiders by 2

posted by jagsnumberone at 03:37 PM on November 01

49ers by 7

posted by cixelsyd at 03:47 PM on November 01

San Francisco by 3

posted by tron7 at 04:56 PM on November 01

Oakland by 10

If Chucky can't beat a third-string quarterback ...

posted by rcade at 05:45 PM on November 01

Oakland by 6

Chicago by 17

Kansas City by 28 (LOCK)

Miami by 4

Minnesota by 19 (My Detroit Lions have giving up for the year)

Atlanta by 7

Carolina by 3

Pittsburgh by 3

Houston by 6

L.A.Chargers by 3

L.A.Rams by 6

New England by 16

Dallas by 4

posted by ic23b at 05:51 PM on November 01

San Francisco by 3 (picked previously)
Chicago by 7 - LOCK
Kansas City by 10 - LOCK
Miami by 3
Minnesota by 6
Washington by 4
Carolina by 7 - LOCK
Baltimore by 3
Denver by 4
L.A. Chargers by 3
L.A. Rams by 7
New England by 3
Dallas by 3

posted by tron7 at 05:59 PM on November 01

San Francisco by 7

Chicago by 3

Kansas City by 14 LOCK

Miami by 3

Minnesota by 6

Washington by 7

Carolina by 7

Pittsburgh by 4

Denver by 3

L.A. Chargers by 6

New Orleans by 3

Green Bay by 7

Dallas by 4

posted by cixelsyd at 06:21 PM on November 01

Rcade

I got the Oakland Colts game correct this past week so I think I get 5 more points

Thanks

posted by truthhurts at 06:41 PM on November 01

Oakland by 8

Chicago by 13 LOCK

Kansas City by 27 LOCK

N.Y. Jets by 3

Minnesota by 13 LOCK

Atlanta by 6

Carolina by 12 LOCK

Baltimore by 3

Houston by 13

Seattle by 6

New Orleans by 5

Green Bay by 3

Dallas by 13

posted by tahoemoj at 06:46 PM on November 01

If Chucky can't beat a third-string quarterback ...

To me, that's the reason to pick the Niners. Rosters regardless, I expect Gruden to get outcoached. He has not shown that he has what it takes to prevail in the current NFL on either a coaching or personnel basis. And at this point, there's no way that Oakland's team cohesion and esprit de corps is the equal of SF's.

Belichick's last season in Cleveland was a tortured mess, and right now, Oakland's situation is a bunch worse.

[I'm still pissed at Garoppolo for first not knowing how to avoid injury (2016 Kiko Alonso tackle), and then inviting it (2018 Chiefs game). He's got a lot of potential, but if he remains an uncoachable idiot in that area, he won't have much of a career.]

posted by beaverboard at 06:52 PM on November 01

San Francisco by 15

posted by tommytrump at 07:43 PM on November 01

Chicago by 11
Kansas City by 17

Miami by 3
Minnesota by 9
Washington by 7
Carolina by 17
Pittsburgh by 6
Houston by 6
L.A. Chargers by 7
L.A. Rams by 3
New England by 3
Tennessee by 3

posted by grum@work at 10:22 PM on November 01

Chicago by 28

Kansas City by 17 ) N.Y. Jets by 7

Detroit by 7

Atlanta by 7

Carolina by 7

Pittsburgh by 7

Houston by 17

Seattle by 7

L.A. Rams by 7

New England by 7

Tennessee by 7

posted by tommytrump at 10:08 PM on November 02

Chicago at Buffalo Bears by 10 LOCK
Kansas City at Cleveland Chiefs by 17 LOCK
N.Y. Jets at Miami Miami by 6
Detroit at Minnesota Vikings by 10 LOCK
Atlanta at Washington Redskins by 3
Tampa Bay at Carolina Panthers by 10 LOCK
Pittsburgh at Baltimore Ravens by 3
Houston at Denver Broncos by 7
L.A. Chargers at Seattle Chargers by 8 LOCK
L.A. Rams at New Orleans Saints by 3
Green Bay at New England Patriots by 10 LOCK
Tennessee at Dallas Cowboys by 10

posted by truthhurts at 03:38 PM on November 03

Well Sh*T.... I guess it's gotta go balls to the wall for me. We all know how rarely that works.

Lions by 4 LOCK

Browns by 4

Ravens by 11 LOCK

Bucs by 6 LOCK

Fish by 15 LOCK

Skins by 8 LOCK

Bears by 2 LOCK

Texans by 6 LOCK

Hawks by 5 LOCK

Rams by 6 LOCK

Packers by 1 LOCK

Cowgirls by 7 LOCK

posted by 9mmHeater at 01:00 AM on November 04

Oakland by 2 (earlier, unfortunately, lol)

Chicago by 3

Kansas City by 17 LOCK

NY Jets by 4

Minnesota by 10 LOCK

Washington by 6

Carolina by 7

Pittsburgh by 10

Houston by 7

LA Chargers by 3

New Orleans by 3

New England by 7

Dallas by 6

posted by jagsnumberone at 02:14 AM on November 04

Chucky can't beat a third-string quarterback. He made Nick Mullens look like Y.A. Tittle.

Chicago by 7 <-- lock
Kansas City by 13 <-- lock
N.Y. Jets by 3
Minnesota by 7
Washington by 3
Carolina by 9 <-- lock
Pittsburgh by 3
Houston by 3
Seattle by 3
New Orleans by 3
New England by 7
Dallas by 7

The Rams undefeated season ends here.

posted by rcade at 10:55 AM on November 04

rcade, just pointing out again that last week I picked the colts to win not the raiders, meaning I should have 5 more points

posted by truthhurts at 11:34 AM on November 04

LOCK San Francisco by 7 LOCK
Chicago by 4
LOCK Kansas City by 17 LOCK
LOCK Miami by 9 LOCK
Detroit by 3
Atlanta by 4
LOCK Carolina by 7 LOCK
Baltimore by 3
Houston by 4
LOCK Seattle by 9 LOCK
New Orleans by 2
New England by 5
Dallas by 3

posted by bender at 11:38 AM on November 04

Oh man am I ever late with the picks. Yesterday was the 261st annual convention of the Episcopal Diocese of New Hampshire. I'm a delegate, so I had to go. That took the whole day away, and since I had to get up early, it messed up the evening as well. I just got home from church about an hour ago, had to feed the cats, and get my own breakfast. I believe that I am finally caffeinated enough to get this done.

The Bills have become something of a symbol of ineptitude, while the Bears are improving. Chicago by 14 LOCK

The pirate ship is in shoal water. Carolina by 16 LOCK

Will the Browns players find inspiration from the departure of their head coach and offensive coordinator? Highly unlikely, friends. Kansas City by 11 LOCK .

Native Americans have quietly crept up on the NFC. Falcons know that they are coming, but can do nothing about it. Washington by 9

Here's a throwback to the old days of the NFL, but there's no return to glory for either team. Miami by 10

NFC North produces lots of bruises. This game produces some sorry kitties. Minnesota by 13

One team is beginning to get it right, while the other is beginning to get it wrong. Pittsburgh by 6

Chargers were originally named for the warhorses of the medieval knights; nothing to do with electricity. The horses won't bolt at the sight of birds. Los Angeles (American Conference) by 4

Texans are playing where they will need all the cattle they can round up. They can't get enough. Denver by 3

Today in the Episcopal Church, as well as in the Roman Catholic an Lutheran churches, it is All Saints Sunday. This is when the deceased are remembered and honored. The football Saints are anything but dead, but must still be honored. New Orleans by 8

Is there a quarterback in the house? There are 2 rather good ones, but which will prevail? New England by 4

I have no idea how this is going to turn out. Cowboys are at home, so perhaps that will decide it. Dallas by 9

posted by Howard_T at 11:58 AM on November 04

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