October 04, 2018

SportsFilter NFL Pick 'Em Week 5: First Down Browns Edition: Week 5 of the NFL season kicks off tonight when the Colts visit the Patriots. In our contest, Tron7 stays in first at 268, followed by me quite a way back at 245. Truthhurts breaks into the top three at 240. Jagsnumberone wins the week with 94. Make your picks.

How This Works

SportsFilter is running a season-long NFL Pick 'Em contest and awarding a prize to the season's winner: an official NFL Game Football ($99.99 value).

To play, pick who you think will win and by how many points. You then get points based on the result:

Picked the winner? You get 5 points
Picked the winner and a spread within the margin of error? You get 3 more points
Picked the winner and the exact spread? You get 2 more points

What's the Margin of Error?

A window around the spread that's defined as the following:

spread - round(0.3 * spread) <= Margin of Error <= spread + round(0.3 * spread)

You get rewarded for being close to the spread. The bigger the spread, the bigger the margin of error, so you don't have to be as accurate predicting a blowout as a close game.

Examples:

Actual SpreadMargin Starts atMargin Ends at
111
435
759
11814
201426
So if you picked Miami by 15, here's how you'd fare given certain outcomes:
OutcomeYour score
Miami by 208 points (winner + spread within MoE)
Miami by 105 points (winner only)
Miami by 1510 points (winner + nailed spread)
Miami by 50 points

Stone Cold Lead Pipe Locks

You can choose any game as a stone cold lead pipe lock. This doubles the points you win for that game, but if that team doesn't win, you lose 10 points (even if you get the spread). You can make as many picks a lock as you like or pick no locks at all.

The Small Print

In order to receive the prize, you must respond to our email within 14 days of the winner announcement. Make sure you have a valid email address on SportsFilter or contact me within that time period. The prize does not include international shipping, so in that situation you can pay the cost or receive an equivalent cash prize over Paypal.

Hall of Champions

2016-17: Ufez Jones
2017-18: Tron7
2018-19: Tron7

This Week's Games

Green Bay at Chicago on NBC (Thursday)
L.A. Rams at Carolina on Fox (Sunday)
Washington at Philadelphia on Fox (Sunday)
Buffalo at N.Y. Jets on CBS (Sunday)
Atlanta at Minnesota on Fox (Sunday)
Baltimore at Miami on CBS (Sunday)
Kansas City at Jacksonville on CBS (Sunday)
Tennessee at Cleveland on CBS (Sunday)
Indianapolis at L.A. Chargers on CBS (Sunday)
Cincinnati at Seattle on CBS (Sunday)
San Francisco at Tampa Bay on Fox (Sunday)
N.Y. Giants at Dallas on Fox (Sunday)
Detroit at Arizona on Fox (Sunday)
Pittsburgh at New England on NBC (Sunday)
Houston at New Orleans on ESPN (Monday)
Denver at Oakland on ESPN (Monday)

Picks must be submitted in this discussion before the game's kickoff. So if you miss Thursday night's opener you can still choose the Sunday and Monday games.

posted by rcade to football at 06:35 PM - 30 comments

For the NFL pick 'em. New England by 17 and LOCK it

posted by jagsnumberone at 02:26 PM on October 04

NE by 14 LOCK

posted by truthhurts at 03:09 PM on October 04

Patriots are becoming whole again; Colts' injury report is grim. Belichick loves to beat on the Colts. It could be ugly. New England by 18 LOCK

posted by Howard_T at 03:38 PM on October 04

NE by 13 LOCK

posted by cixelsyd at 03:56 PM on October 04

The Capt. Andrew Luck twit page is not predicting glorious victory in the upcoming battle. Or even combat readiness.

posted by beaverboard at 04:47 PM on October 04

New England by 7 - LOCK

posted by tron7 at 05:41 PM on October 04

New England by 16 LOCK

posted by tahoemoj at 05:47 PM on October 04

NE by 12

posted by NoMich at 06:08 PM on October 04

NE by 13 (lock)

posted by grum@work at 06:15 PM on October 04

New England by 10 <-- lock
Atlanta by 3
Baltimore by 4
Denver by 3
Detroit by 3
Kansas City by 6
Cincinnati by 7 <-- lock
Carolina by 7 <-- lock
Tennessee by 3
L.A. Chargers by 3
Arizona by 3
L.A. Rams by 7
Philadelphia by 4
Dallas by 3
New Orleans by 3

posted by rcade at 06:40 PM on October 04

New England by 24

posted by tommytrump at 07:08 PM on October 04

Indy by 3

posted by 9mmHeater at 07:43 PM on October 04

Pats by 10

posted by holden at 07:49 PM on October 04

New England by 17

posted by ic23b at 08:13 PM on October 04

I'm not sure if the game has started yet or not, but I'll put in a pick anyway.

LOCK New England by 14 LOCK

posted by bender at 08:34 PM on October 04

Buffalo by 4

Cincinnati by 15

Cleveland by 4

Green Bay by 1

Kansas City by 9

Denver by 8

Atlanta by 12

Carolina by 5

Oakland by 7

Minnesota by 13

San Francisco by 2

L.A. Rams by 15

Houston by 13

New Orleans by 9

posted by tommytrump at 09:05 PM on October 04

Tennessee by 6
Cincinnati by 11
Baltimore by 9
Green Bay by 13
Kansas City by 13

Denver by 6
Pittsburgh by 6
Carolina by 9
L.A. Chargers by 8
Philadelphia by 3
Arizona by 7
L.A. Rams by 14
Dallas by 3
New Orleans by 12

posted by grum@work at 09:43 PM on October 04

Now the rest of my picks:

Tennessee by 14

Cincinnati by by 12

Baltimore by 3

My poor Detroit Lions by 3

Kansas City by 6

Denver by 17

Pittsburgh by 4

Carolina by 7

L.A.Chargers by 12

Philadelphia by 2

San Francisco by 10

L.A. Rams by 6

Houston by 14

New Orleans by 12

posted by ic23b at 09:48 PM on October 04

New England by 12 <<< got that one in yesterday afternoon

Tennessee by 5
Cincinnati by 6
Baltimore by 5
Detroit by 4
Jacksonville by 4
N.Y. Jets by 5
Pittsburgh by 5
Carolina by 10
L.A. Chargers by 6
Philadelphia by 8
San Francisco by 5
Seattle by 5
Dallas by 4
New Orleans by 5

posted by NoMich at 09:47 AM on October 05

New England by 7 - LOCK - picked previously
Tennessee by 6
Cincinnati by 10 - LOCK
Baltimore by 10
Green Bay by 3
Kansas City by 3
Denver by 6
Pittsburgh by 6
Carolina by 10 - LOCK
L.A. Chargers by 7 - LOCK
Philadelphia by 6
San Francisco by 7
L.A. Rams by 10 - LOCK
Houston by 3
New Orleans by 6 - LOCK

posted by tron7 at 10:16 AM on October 05

>> NE by 13 LOCK (from yesterday)

Buffalo by 3

Cincinnati by 4

Baltimore by 3

Green Bay by 7

Kansas City by 4

Denver by 7

Atlanta by 4

Carolina by 7

L.A. Chargers by 10 LOCK

Philadelphia by 4

San Francisco by 4

L.A. Rams by 10 LOCK

Dallas by 7

New Orleans by 9

posted by cixelsyd at 10:19 AM on October 05

New England by 16 LOCK (wait, did I say 16?!...I meant 14)

Tennessee by 10 LOCK

Cincinnati by 13 LOCK

Baltimore by 9

Green Bay by 10

Kansas City by 6

Denver by 8

Atlanta by 4

Carolina by 13 LOCK

L.A. Chargers by 7

Minnesota by 6

San Francisco by 6

L.A. Rams by 10 LOCK

Houston by 4

New Orleans by 6

posted by tahoemoj at 11:39 AM on October 05

Tennessee by 13 (lock)

Cincinnati by 7 (lock)

Baltimore by 10 (lock)

Detroit by 3 (lock)

Kansas City by 7 (lock)

Denver by 4 (lock)

Atlanta by 1 (lock)

Carolina by 17 (lock)

L.A. Chargers by 6 (lock)

Minnesota by 10 (lock)

San Francisco by 5 (lock)

L.A. Rams by 16 (lock)

Houston by 4 (lock)

New Orleans by 17 (lock)

posted by Goyoucolts at 12:25 PM on October 05

Lock New England by 14 LOCK
Tennessee by 7
Cincinnati by 4
Cleveland by 1
Green Bay by 7
Kansas City by 7
Denver by 5
LOCK Pittsburgh by 7 LOCK
LOCK Carolina by 10 LOCK
Oakland by 2
Philadelphia by 7
San Francisco by 6
Seattle by 3
LOCK Dallas by 11 LOCK
LOCK New Orleans by 10 LOCK

posted by bender at 12:42 PM on October 05

Tennessee by 6

Cincinnati by 10 - LOCK

Baltimore by 10

Green Bay by 3

Kansas City by 3

Denver by 6

Pittsburgh by 6

Carolina by 10 - LOCK

L.A. Chargers by 7 - LOCK

Philadelphia by 6

San Francisco by 7

L.A. Rams by 10 - LOCK

Houston by 3

New Orleans by 6 - LOCK

A very unoriginal pick, but I'll be busy capitalizing on the three day weekend and probably won't see any games apart from highlights on Sunday night/Monday morning.

posted by FLsportsman at 12:36 PM on October 06

Let's get on with the fun. Coach Bill the Hoodie forgot to read my picks, so I missed the spread on Thursday's game, but at least the Patriots got the easy win. Let's see what we can do with the rest of the table.

Broncos trot into the big city (well, across the bridge from the city anyway) The turbine-powered aircraft will try to strafe them. New York (American Conference) by 6

Fish found themselves out of water last week. In the land of the tigers they won't swim any better. Cincinnati by 10

Have the iron workers learned their craft? Birds don't think so. Atlanta by 8

Oversized people don't know how to handle big kitties. Carolina by 13

More cats, these against the Native American leadership. Kansas City by 9

Why do so many teams have feline names? Wouldn't the Detroit Dachshunds be appropriate? Green Bay by 17

There are too many avian names as well. Why not reptiles? I rather like the idea of the Baltimore Iguanas. Cleveland by 3

Bills may be returning to their regular form. Tennessee by 12

Old school West Coast AFL battle. This one used to really mean something. Los Angeles (American Conference) by 17

Ah! A team named after Dodge pickup trucks against another dreary bird. Seattle by 6

Norsemen against another bird. More banality Philadelphia by 10

Battle in the Lonestar State. Surely there is more than one star among the many players on the teams. Houston by 14 LOCK

Native Americans will tangle with those who are sanctified. The Heavens breathlessly await the outcome. New Orleans by 17 LOCK

posted by Howard_T at 08:22 PM on October 06

Looks like I need some solid picks pretty soon, or....No Football for Me!

Browns by 4

Jags by 6

Bills by 2

Carolina by 12 Lock

Broncos by 5

Steelers by 3

Packers by 5

Bengals by 4

Raiders by 8

Niners by 1

Philly by 7 Lock

Rams by 5 Lock

Texans by 6

Saints by 11 Lock

posted by 9mmHeater at 08:35 PM on October 06

Tennessee at Buffalo Titans by 6
Miami at Cincinnati Bengals by 3
Baltimore at Cleveland Ravens by 7
Green Bay at Detroit Packers by 7
Jacksonville at Kansas City Chiefs by 10
Denver at N.Y. Jets Broncos by 10
Atlanta at Pittsburgh Steelers by 5
N.Y. Giants at Carolina Panthers by 10 LOCK
Oakland at L.A. Chargers Chargers by 8 LOCK
Minnesota at Philadelphia Eagles by 8
Arizona at San Francisco 49ers by7
L.A. Rams at Seattle Rams by 17 LOCK
Dallas at Houston Cowboys by 10
Washington at New Orleans Saints by 7 LOCK

posted by truthhurts at 03:02 AM on October 07

New England by 17 LOCK (earlier)

Tennessee by 7 LOCK

Cincinnati by 6 LOCK

Cleveland by 3

Detroit by 3

Jacksonville by 9

Denver by 4 LOCK

Atlanta by 5

Carolina by 7

LA Chargers by 10 LOCK

Philadelphia by 4

Arizona by 3

LA Rams by 17 LOCK

Houston by 3

New Orleans by 10 LOCK

posted by jagsnumberone at 04:51 AM on October 07

edited

posted by FLsportsman at 03:01 PM on October 08

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