September 27, 2018

SportsFilter NFL Pick 'Em Week 4: Buffalo Did What Edition: Week 4 begins with a doozy of a Thursday night game in Vikings/Rams. In our pick 'em contest Tron7 takes the lead with 182, Bender drops to second with 176 and I hold onto third at 175. Truthhurt wins the week with 52. Make your picks and have a good thought for Old Man Gruden.

How This Works

SportsFilter is running a season-long NFL Pick 'Em contest and awarding a prize to the season's winner: an official NFL Game Football ($99.99 value).

To play, pick who you think will win and by how many points. You then get points based on the result:

Picked the winner? You get 5 points
Picked the winner and a spread within the margin of error? You get 3 more points
Picked the winner and the exact spread? You get 2 more points

What's the Margin of Error?

A window around the spread that's defined as the following:

spread - round(0.3 * spread) <= Margin of Error <= spread + round(0.3 * spread)

You get rewarded for being close to the spread. The bigger the spread, the bigger the margin of error, so you don't have to be as accurate predicting a blowout as a close game.

Examples:

Actual SpreadMargin Starts atMargin Ends at
111
435
759
11814
201426
So if you picked Miami by 15, here's how you'd fare given certain outcomes:
OutcomeYour score
Miami by 208 points (winner + spread within MoE)
Miami by 105 points (winner only)
Miami by 1510 points (winner + nailed spread)
Miami by 50 points

Stone Cold Lead Pipe Locks

You can choose any game as a stone cold lead pipe lock. This doubles the points you win for that game, but if that team doesn't win, you lose 10 points (even if you get the spread). You can make as many picks a lock as you like or pick no locks at all.

The Small Print

In order to receive the prize, you must respond to our email within 14 days of the winner announcement. Make sure you have a valid email address on SportsFilter or contact me within that time period. The prize does not include international shipping, so in that situation you can pay the cost or receive an equivalent cash prize over Paypal.

Hall of Champions

2016-17: Ufez Jones
2017-18: Tron7
2018-19: Tron7

This Week's Games

Green Bay at Chicago on NBC (Thursday)
L.A. Rams at Carolina on Fox (Sunday)
Washington at Philadelphia on Fox (Sunday)
Buffalo at N.Y. Jets on CBS (Sunday)
Atlanta at Minnesota on Fox (Sunday)
Baltimore at Miami on CBS (Sunday)
Kansas City at Jacksonville on CBS (Sunday)
Tennessee at Cleveland on CBS (Sunday)
Indianapolis at L.A. Chargers on CBS (Sunday)
Cincinnati at Seattle on CBS (Sunday)
San Francisco at Tampa Bay on Fox (Sunday)
N.Y. Giants at Dallas on Fox (Sunday)
Detroit at Arizona on Fox (Sunday)
Pittsburgh at New England on NBC (Sunday)
Houston at New Orleans on ESPN (Monday)
Denver at Oakland on ESPN (Monday)

Picks must be submitted in this discussion before the game's kickoff. So if you miss Thursday night's opener you can still choose the Sunday and Monday games.

posted by rcade to football at 05:14 PM - 27 comments

NFL Pick em:

Los Angeles Rams by 10 - LOCK
Cincinnati by 3
Tampa Bay by 6
Dallas by 3
Green Bay by 10 - LOCK
Philadelphia by 7
Indianapolis by 3
New England by 3
Jacksonville by 11 - LOCK
Oakland by 3
Seattle by 10 - LOCK
New Orleans by 6
Los Angeles Chargers by 10
Pittsburgh by 3
Kansas City by 3

posted by tron7 at 02:56 PM on September 27

NFL pick em for tonight (as I might not be able to enter my picks if the thread comes out later than now):

Los Angeles by 13 (bold=lock, as usual)

posted by grum@work at 04:26 PM on September 27

I'm finishing the player scores and standings.

Rams by 13 <-- lock
Atlanta by 3
Chicago by 3
Dallas by 4
Green Bay by 7
Philadelphia by 7
Houston by 3
New England by 3
Jacksonville by 7
Cleveland by 3
Seattle by 7
New Orleans by 3
L.A. Chargers by 10 <-- lock
Pittsburgh by 3
Kansas City by 6

posted by rcade at 05:14 PM on September 27

LA Rams by 11

posted by NoMich at 05:17 PM on September 27

L.A. Rams by 13 LOCK

Atlanta by 4

Tampa Bay by 4

Dallas by 4

Green Bay by 7

Philadelphia by 3

Indianapolis by 6

Miami by 4

Jacksonville by 7

Oakland by 3

Seattle by 7

New Orleans by 7 LOCK

L.A. Chargers by 9 LOCK

Baltimore by 4

Kansas City by 6 LOCK

posted by cixelsyd at 05:34 PM on September 27

-4!

That's gotta be a record, right?

posted by grum@work at 06:22 PM on September 27

LA Rams by 3

Cincinnati by 3

Chicago by 6

Detroit by 4

Green Bay by 10

Philadelphia by 7

Houston by 6 LOCK

New England by 14 LOCK

Jacksonville by 17 LOCK

Oakland by 4

Seattle by 7 LOCK

New Orleans by 3

LA Chargers by 14 LOCK

Pittsburgh by 4

Kansas City by 10

posted by jagsnumberone at 06:33 PM on September 27

L.A. Rams by 10

Atlanta by 3

Chicago by 4

Detroit by 3

Green Bay by 6

Philadelphia by 17

Houston by 3

New England by 6

Jacksonville by 23

Oakland by 7

Seattle by 3

New Orleans by 3

L.A.Chargers by 12

Pittsburgh by 3

Kansas City by 10

posted by ic23b at 06:40 PM on September 27

Rams by 7

posted by truthhurts at 06:43 PM on September 27

Minnesota by 11

posted by tommytrump at 06:53 PM on September 27

Did I really score 0 last week? Not questioning the scoring cause I'm not getting a migraine trying to figure it on my own, and thankful for, Rcade, doing the scoring & hosting this.

Just curious is all. I know I didn't do well but 0? Dang.

Be back to post picks.

Thx

posted by 9mmHeater at 07:09 PM on September 27

-4! That's gotta be a record, right?

I know for sure that it's a pretty badass score.

L.A. Rams by 10 LOCK

Cincinnati by 6

Tampa Bay by 4

Dallas by 4

Green Bay by 8 LOCK

Philadelphia by 6

Indianapolis by 8

Miami by 13

Jacksonville by 14 LOCK

Cleveland by 3

Arizona by 3

New Orleans by 7

L.A. Chargers by 4 LOCK

Baltimore by 3

Kansas City by 14

posted by tahoemoj at 07:20 PM on September 27

Did I really score 0 last week?

I was still compiling scores this evening. It's complete now.

posted by rcade at 07:22 PM on September 27

LOCK LA Rams by 4 LOCK

posted by bender at 07:49 PM on September 27

Let me get the Thursday pick in now, and the rest will follow later.

The horny helmets clash; goat or fierce Norseman? The goat is in its own pen, and it would be a long sail for a longboat. Los Angeles (National Conference) by 8.

posted by Howard_T at 07:51 PM on September 27




Los Angeles by 13 (made pick in yesterday's huddle)
Atlanta by 6
Tampa Bay by 7
Detroit by 9
Green Bay by 10
Philadelphia by 9
Houston by 11
New England by 17
Jacksonville by 9
Oakland by 6
Arizona by 9
New Orleans by 14
L.A. Chargers by 9
Pittsburgh by 8
Kansas City by 13

posted by grum@work at 10:42 PM on September 27

Never know if missing every Thursday game thus far meant anything. I doubt it. Okay, time for some Southern Lady Luck. If I can find one.

Fish by 2

Texans by 8

Bengals by 13

Packers by 4

Lions by 6

Jags by 15 LOCK

Bears by 5 Lock

Philly by 8 Lock

Cards by 7

Browns by 8 Lock

Chargers by 5

Giants by 2

Ravens by 7

Broncos by 3

posted by 9mmHeater at 07:23 AM on September 29

And thx, for the reply, Rcade. I'll try to be a bit more patient in the future.

posted by 9mmHeater at 07:24 AM on September 29

Atlanta by 6

Tampa Bay by 6

Detroit by 6

Green Bay by 14

Philadelphia by 6

Houston by 6

New England by 17

Jacksonville by 14

Cleveland by 4

Seattle by 17

New Orleans by 6

L.A. Chargers by 17

Baltimore by 6

Kansas City by 17

posted by tommytrump at 11:33 AM on September 29

Cincinnati at Atlanta Falcons by 4
Tampa Bay at Chicago Bears by 8
Detroit at Dallas Cowboys by 6
Buffalo at Green Bay Packers by 14 LOCK
Philadelphia at Tennessee Eagles by 6
Houston at Indianapolis Colts by 10
Miami at New England Patriots by 10 LOCK
N.Y. Jets at Jacksonville Jaguars by 10 LOCK
Cleveland at Oakland Browns by 4
Seattle at Arizona Seahawks by 10
New Orleans at N.Y. Giants Giants by 7
San Francisco at L.A. Chargers Chargers by 17 LOCK
Baltimore at Pittsburgh Ravens by 7
Kansas City at Denver Chiefs by 8

posted by truthhurts at 05:40 PM on September 29

LOCK L.A. Rams by 4 LOCK
Atlanta by 3
Chicago by 3
LOCK Dallas by 12 LOCK
Green Bay by 5
Philadelphia by 4
LOCK Indianapolis by 9 LOCK
New England by 6
Jacksonville by 7
Oakland by 5
Arizona by 4
New Orleans by 4
San Francisco by 5
Pittsburgh by 3
Kansas City by 7

posted by bender at 10:51 PM on September 29

Sneaking the rest of my picks in while biting my fingernails watching Penn State vs Ohio State. The Thursday pick was recorded previously, and the billy goats didn't let me down. Here are the rest.

Cincinnati by 6

Because Da Bears. Chicago by 10

Back to earth for Matt Patricia Dallas by 14

Can it happen again? Nah Green Bay by 17 LOCK

Another member of the Belichick coaching tree doesn't bud. Philadelphia by 20 LOCK

Picking Texans because I simply hate the Irsay family. Houston by 8

I have little faith in this one, but I'm going with my homies. New England by 4

Please don't do it to me again, dog-ass Jets. Jacksonville by 13 LOCK

Once per season is enough. Oakland by 19

The rainy Northwest vs the desert Southwest. I'll stay dry. Arizona by 10

Could there be a shootout in the Meadowlands? New Orleans by 6

No Jimmies on this dessert. Los Angeles (American Conference) by 13

Nothing much to say about this one. Pittsburgh by 16 LOCK

The Denver fans love their Broncos, but all that I met are not optimistic. Kansas City by 21 LOCK

posted by Howard_T at 11:03 PM on September 29

LA Rams by 11 <<< nailed that one on Thursday

Atlanta by 5
Chicago by 8
Detroit by 5
Green Bay by 6
Philadelphia by 7
Indianapolis by 6
New England by 5
Jacksonville by 12
Oakland by 5
Seattle by 8
New Orleans by 6
L.A. Chargers by 11
Baltimore by 6
Kansas City by 5

posted by NoMich at 10:02 AM on September 30

Cincinnati by 3

Tampa Bay by 10 - LOCK

Dallas by 3

Green Bay by 10

Philadelphia by 7

Indianapolis by 7

New England by 3 - LOCK

Jacksonville by 7 - LOCK

Oakland by 3

Seattle by 10

New Orleans by 7

Los Angeles Chargers by 3

Pittsburgh by 7

Denver by 7

posted by FLsportsman at 11:59 AM on September 30

And thx, for the reply, Rcade. I'll try to be a bit more patient in the future.

That's alright. I need to get back to posting the weeks' update on Wednesdays.

posted by rcade at 11:59 AM on September 30

After this Bucs game I'll go back to picking against them to give them a bit of luck, or at least for me to feel better about being blown out.

(Though, Jameis Winston will be as starting QB next week!)

posted by FLsportsman at 02:42 PM on September 30

Wow... will it be Bears +40? :'(

posted by FLsportsman at 03:04 PM on September 30

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