October 05, 2017

NFL Pick 'Em Week 5: Cam Newton's Spoiled Yogurt Edition: Week 5 of the NFL season begins tonight when New England visits Tampa Bay. SportsFilter's NFL Pick 'Em has a new leader: Rumple at 292, passing Ufez Jones at 270. Jjzucal is in third at 255. Howard_T wins the week with 85. Make your selections.

How This Works

SportsFilter is running a season-long NFL Pick 'Em contest and awarding a prize to the season's winner: an official NFL Game Football ($99.99 value).

To play, pick who you think will win and by how many points. You then get points based on the result:

Picked the winner? You get 5 points
Picked the winner and a spread within the margin of error? You get 3 more points
Picked the winner and the exact spread? You get 2 more points

What's the Margin of Error?

A window around the spread that's defined as the following:

spread - round(0.3 * spread) <= Margin of Error <= spread + round(0.3 * spread)

You get rewarded for being close to the spread. The bigger the spread, the bigger the margin of error, so you don't have to be as accurate predicting a blowout as a close game.

Examples:

Actual SpreadMargin Starts atMargin Ends at
111
435
759
11814
201426
So if you picked Dallas by 15, here's how you'd fare given certain outcomes:
OutcomeYour score
Dallas by 208 points (winner + spread within MoE)
Dallas by 105 points (winner only)
Dallas by 1510 points (winner + nailed spread)
Miami by 50 points

Stone Cold Lead Pipe Locks

You can choose any game as a stone cold lead pipe lock. This doubles the points you win for that game, but if that team doesn't win, you lose 10 points (even if you get the spread). You can make as many picks a lock as you like or pick no locks at all.

The Small Print

In order to receive the prize, you must respond to our email within 14 days of the winner announcement. Make sure you have a valid email address on SportsFilter or contact me within that time period. The prize does not include international shipping, so in that situation you can pay the cost or receive an equivalent cash prize over Paypal.

This Week's Games

Atlanta at Philadelphia on NBC (Thursday)
Pittsburgh at Cleveland on CBS (Sunday)
Cincinnati at Indianapolis on CBS (Sunday)
Tennessee at Miami on Fox (Sunday)
San Francisco at Minnesota on Fox (Sunday)
Houston at New England on CBS (Sunday)
Tampa Bay at New Orleans on Fox (Sunday)
Jacksonville at N.Y. Giants on Fox (Sunday)
Buffalo at Baltimore on CBS (Sunday)
Kansas City at L.A. Chargers on CBS (Sunday)
Seattle at Denver on Fox (Sunday)
Washington at Arizona on Fox (Sunday)
Dallas at Carolina on Fox (Sunday)
Chicago at Green Bay on NBC (Sunday)
N.Y. Jets at Detroit on ESPN (Monday)
L.A. Rams at Oakland on ESPN (Monday)

Picks must be submitted in this discussion before the game's kickoff. So if you miss Thursday night's opener you can still choose the Sunday and Monday games.

posted by rcade to football at 04:51 PM - 30 comments

NFL pick 'em for Thursday night game. New England by 10.

posted by jagsnumberone at 02:28 AM on October 05

Oof, I'd love it to be so. Pats by 3, me in bed by 10.

posted by yerfatma at 10:46 AM on October 05

For the NFL picks thread: Patriots by 7 (lock).

posted by Goyoucolts at 02:03 PM on October 05

They'll beat the Bucs if they can outscore 'em. That's the weekly 2017 story line. Jameis should be looking at film of the NE secondary and saying "I want some of that".

posted by beaverboard at 02:07 PM on October 05

Tampa Bay by 7

Buffalo by 3

N.Y. Jets by 4

Detroit by 6

Indianapolis by 7

Tennessee by 7

N.Y. Giants by 6

Philadelphia by 8

Pittsburgh by 3

Oakland by 9 LOCK

L.A. Rams by 3

Green Bay by 7

Kansas City by 6

Minnesota by 9 LOCK

posted by cixelsyd at 04:55 PM on October 05

Tampa Bay by 6
Cincinnati by 5
Cleveland by 5
Detroit by 6
Indianapolis by 4
Tennessee by 5
N.Y. Giants by 5
Philadelphia by 6
Pittsburgh by 7
Baltimore by 6
Seattle by 12
Green Bay by 6
Houston by 6
Chicago by 4

posted by NoMich at 05:12 PM on October 05

New England by 3
Buffalo by 4
Cleveland by 3
Carolina by 1
Indianapolis by 3
Miami by 3
N.Y. Giants by 4
Philadelphia by 10 <-- lock
Pittsburgh by 10 <-- lock
Oakland by 4
L.A. Rams by 7
Dallas by 7
Kansas City by 4 <-- lock
Minnesota by 10 <-- lock

posted by rcade at 05:55 PM on October 05

Tampa Bay by 3
LOCK Cincinnati by 13 LOCK
Cleveland by 3
Detroit by 4
Indianapolis by 7
Miami by 7
N.Y. Giants by 2
LOCK Philadelphia by 10 LOCK
LOCK Pittsburgh by 14 LOCK
Oakland by 6
Seattle by 4
Green Bay by 6
Kansas City by 8
Minnesota by 4

posted by bender at 05:59 PM on October 05

New England by 2 over Tampa Bay
Buffalo by 3 over Cincin
NYJets by 2 over Cleveland
Detroit by 5 over Carolina
Indianapolis by 1 over San Francisco
Tennessee by 6 over Miami
LA Chargers by 3 over NYGiants
Philadelphia by 10 over Arizona
Pittsburgh by 7 over Jacksonville
Baltimore by 7 over Oakland
Rams by 35 over Seattle (Go Rams! Seattle sucks!) ... LOCK
Dallas by 3 over Green Bay
Kansas City by 7 over Houston
Chicago by 3 over Minnesota

posted by moder8 at 06:00 PM on October 05

New England by 8

posted by truthhurts at 06:12 PM on October 05

New England by 7, rest later...

posted by MeatSaber at 06:13 PM on October 05

New England by 7
Buffalo by 7
N.Y. Jets by 7
Carolina by 7
San Francisco by 7
Tennessee by 7
N.Y. Giants by 7
Philadelphia by 7
Pittsburgh by 7
Baltimore by 7
L.A. Rams by 7
Green Bay by 7
Kansas City by 7
Minnesota by 7

posted by grum@work at 06:15 PM on October 05

New England at Tampa Bay on CBS (Thursday) TB by 3
Buffalo at Cincinnati (Sunday) BUF by 3
N.Y. Jets at Cleveland (Sunday) NYJ by 4
Carolina at Detroit (Sunday) DET by 3
San Francisco at Indianapolis (Sunday) IND by 3
Tennessee at Miami (Sunday) TEN by 3
L.A. Chargers at N.Y. Giants (Sunday) NYG by 3
Arizona at Philadelphia (Sunday) PHI by 7
Jacksonville at Pittsburgh (Sunday) PIT by 7 LOCK
Baltimore at Oakland (Sunday) BAL by 3
Seattle at L.A. Rams (Sunday) SEA by 7
Green Bay at Dallas (Sunday) GB by 3
Kansas City at Houston (Sunday) KC by 4
Minnesota at Chicago (Monday) MIN by 6

posted by werty at 06:16 PM on October 05

A good week (I have no idea how it happened) has placed me into the upper middle class of mediocrity. My chances of taking the lead are about the equivalent of those that several NFL teams have of winning the Super Bowl. My pick for tonight just changed after hearing that a certain tight end for Patriots will not play. Such fun.

Tampa Bay by 7
Indianapolis by 10
Buffalo by 3
Philadelphia by 9 LOCK
New York (National Conference) by 14
Pittsburgh by 16 LOCK
New York (American Conference) by 12
Detroit by 8
Miami by 6
Oakland by 3
Seattle by 5
Green Bay by 10
Kansas City by 12 LOCK
Minnesota by 6

posted by Howard_T at 06:26 PM on October 05

New England by 17

Cincinnati by 3

Cleveland by 3

Detroit by 6

San Francisco by 3

Miami by 4

NYG by 10

Arizona by 4

Pittsburgh by 10

Oakland by 10

L.A. Rams by 4

Green Bay by 14

Kansas City by 7

Minnesota by 3

posted by ic23b at 06:34 PM on October 05

Tampa by 3. The rest TBD when the baby stops crying.

posted by tahoemoj at 07:49 PM on October 05

NE by 7

posted by rumple at 07:55 PM on October 05

Pats by 8.

posted by Ufez Jones at 08:02 PM on October 05

New England by 7

posted by tron7 at 08:27 PM on October 05

Buffalo at Cincinnati (Sunday) Cincinnati by 7
N.Y. Jets at Cleveland (Sunday) Jets by 7
Carolina at Detroit (Sunday) Carolina by 3
San Francisco at Indianapolis (Sunday) San Fran by 10
Tennessee at Miami (Sunday) Tennessee by 7
L.A. Chargers at N.Y. Giants (Sunday) Giants by 10
Arizona at Philadelphia (Sunday) Philly by 10
Jacksonville at Pittsburgh (Sunday) Pittsburg by 14
Baltimore at Oakland (Sunday) Oakland by 3
Seattle at L.A. Rams (Sunday) Rams by 10
Green Bay at Dallas (Sunday) Dallas by 14
Kansas City at Houston (Sunday) KC by 14
Minnesota at Chicago (Monday) Minnesota by 5

posted by Boaz at 07:23 AM on October 06

New England by 7
Buffalo by 4
N.Y. Jets by 4
Detroit by 7 - LOCK
Indianapolis by 6
Tennessee by 4
N.Y. Giants by 3
Philadelphia by 8 - LOCK
Pittsburgh by 10 - LOCK
Oakland by 3
L.A. Rams by 4
Green Bay by 6
Kansas City by 6
Minnesota by 3

Only three locks and I probably forced a couple of those. A lot of close matchups this week.

posted by tron7 at 10:27 AM on October 06

FOLK!!!!!

Tampa Bay By 3

Buffalo by 10

N.Y. Jets by 13

Carolina by 3

San Francisco by 10

Tennessee by 7

L.A. Chargers by 8

Philadelphia by 10 LOCK

Pittsburgh by 7

Baltimore by 9 LOCK

L.A. Rams BY 3

Green Bay BY 7

Houston BY 3

Chicago BY 2

posted by tahoemoj at 12:44 PM on October 06

Pats by 8 (as posted above)
Cincinnati by 4
N.Y. Jets by 6
Detroit by 3
San Francisco by 3
Miami by 4
L.A. Chargers by 5
Philadelphia by 8 (lock)
Pittsburgh by 13 (lock)
Oakland by 6
L.A. Rams by 4 (fuck Stan Kroenke)
Green Bay by 9
Kansas City by 6
Minnesota by 8

posted by Ufez Jones at 01:36 PM on October 06

New England by 8
Buffalo by 3
N.Y. Jets by 3
Detroit by 7
San Francisco by 4
Tennessee by 7
N.Y. Giants by 3
Philadelphia by 7
Pittsburgh +10 LOCK
Oakland by 3
Seattle by 10
Green Bay by 7
Kansas City by 10 LOCK
Minnesota by 7

posted by truthhurts at 11:20 PM on October 06

Cincinnati by 13
J-E-T-S by 5 LOCK
Carolina by 14 (better question: how many questions will Cam take?)
San Francisco by 3
Tennessee by 6
N.Y. Giants by 3
Philadelphia by 6 LOCK
Pittsburgh by 17 LOCK
Oakland by 14
L.A. Rams by 20 LOCK
Green Bay by 3
Kansas City by 6
Chicago by 3

posted by jjzucal at 02:00 AM on October 07

New England by 7 (posted above)
Buffalo by 6
Cleveland by 3
Detroit by 6
Indianapolis by 3
Tennessee by 10
L.A. Chargers by 7
Arizona by 4
Pittsburgh by 7 *lock*
Oakland by 7
Seattle by 6
Green Bay by 7
Kansas City by 12
Minnesota by 14 *lock*

posted by MeatSaber at 08:23 AM on October 07

How the hell am I in the lead? Let's see if we can fix that:

NE by 7 (above)

Cincinnati by 6

Cleveland by 4

Carolina by 10

Indianapolis by 7

Tennessee by 7

N.Y. Giants by 6

Philadelphia by 7

Pittsburgh by 13 LOCK

Oakland by 14 LOCK

Seattle by 10 LOCK

Green Bay by 10

Houston by 3

Chicago by 3

posted by rumple at 01:55 PM on October 07

New England by 10 (in Wed.'s huddle)

Cincinnati by 3

Cleveland by 4

Detroit by 7 LOCK

Indianapolis by 6

Tennessee by 17 LOCK

NY Giants by 2

Philadelphia by 9 LOCK

Jacksonville by 3

Oakland by 10 LOCK

Seattle by 4

Dallas by 3

Houston by 4

Minnesota by 7 LOCK

posted by jagsnumberone at 04:33 AM on October 08

Buffalo by 7

N.Y. Jets by 13 (lock)

Detroit by 10 (lock)

Indianapolis by 6 (lock)

Miami by 3

N.Y. Giants by 4 (lock)

Philadelphia by 7

Pittsburgh by 10 (lock)

Baltimore by 17 (lock)

L.A. Rams by 1

Green Bay by 11 (lock)

Kansas City by 13 (lock)

Minnesota by 20 (lock)

posted by Goyoucolts at 12:58 PM on October 08

New England by 11

Philadelphia by 6

Buffalo by 5

Carolina by 7

Pittsburgh by 9

New York Giants by 4

New York Jets by 3

Indianapolis by 2

Tennessee by 8

Oakland by 10

Seattle by 12

Kansas City by 13

Minnesota by 1

posted by tommytrump at 07:56 AM on October 13

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