January 01, 2016

NFL Pick 'Em, Week 17: Last Chance Saloon Edition: The final week of the NFL season will crown a winner in SportsFilter's season-long Pick 'Em Contest. Grum@work leads by 2 points in the race to win The Duke, an official NFL football. The games all will be played Sunday. Make your picks, lock your locks and (with one exception) experience the agony of defeat.

posted by rcade to football at 07:32 PM - 31 comments

Current Standings

SportsFilter is holding an NFL Pick 'Em contest with a first prize of an NFL Official Game Ball.

PlayerTotalW1W2W3W4W5W6W7W8W9W10W11W12W13W14W15W16PlAvg
grum@work233111414151661320162197201627171614.562
ic23b2311491816151612181651412101721181614.438
tommytrump2261212202018121722120141291320131614.125
howard_t2241681615111222161091221101219151614.000
tron72221062312111412151221816231125121613.875
goyoucolts218137251120111316164111215191691613.625
goddam216121217151714162285161171318131613.500
ufez jones21416623137111616691418111026121613.375
cixelsyd20913418181514171574111691226101613.062
rcade20821915161415141110019916131791613.000
nomich20723920141513101114751213152061612.938
jagsnumberone2051771818614142010614156151871612.812
owlhouse20212131620111213141751212131418--1513.467
tahoemoj20018718131410111285131720141551612.500
billsaysthis20011121615171711149871113161761612.500
holden19121101620141116161101181118--81512.733
bender18119415121310131112331613111971611.312
yerfatma1712281613151415124414--3922--1412.214
rumple1668141713--51111144168--182071411.857
irish627155--5171110141691351713--817--1311.923
jjzucal1311561312151511181466----------1111.909
forrestv67185141416----------------------513.400
ying yang mafia659131516--12--------------------513.000
littlelebowski12------12------------------------112.000

With just one week to go, Grum@work holds on to the lead by 2 points over Ic23b and 7 over Tommytrump. Bender has a 19-point lead in the captivating Costanza.

Three games broke locks: Pittsburgh losing to Baltimore (Tommytrump, Bender, Cixelsyd, Jagsnumberone, Tron7), Seattle to St. Louis (NoMich, Rumple) and Carolina to Atlanta (Goyoucolts, Tahoemoj).

These exact margins were it: Buffalo by 10 (Grum@work, Ic23b, Tron7, Howard_t), Washington by 14 (Tommytrump), Denver by 3 (Tron7) and Baltimore by 3 (Grum@work).

Week 16 Results

Oakland by 3 over San Diego
Washington by 14 over Philadelphia
Atlanta by 7 over Carolina
Buffalo by 10 over Dallas
Detroit by 15 over San Francisco
Houston by 28 over Tennessee
Kansas City by 4 over Cleveland
Indianapolis by 6 over Miami
N.Y. Jets by 6 over New England
Chicago by 5 over Tampa Bay
Baltimore by 3 over Pittsburgh
New Orleans by 11 over Jacksonville
Arizona by 32 over Green Bay
St. Louis by 6 over Seattle
Minnesota by 32 over N.Y. Giants
Denver by 3 over Cincinnati

This Week's Games

New Orleans at Atlanta
N.Y. Jets at Buffalo
Detroit at Chicago
Baltimore at Cincinnati
Pittsburgh at Cleveland
Washington at Dallas
Tennessee at Indianapolis
New England at Miami
Philadelphia at N.Y. Giants
Jacksonville at Houston
San Diego at Denver
Oakland at Kansas City
Seattle at Arizona
St. Louis at San Francisco
Tampa Bay at Carolina
Minnesota at Green Bay

Make your picks and a spread for this week's games to score 1-3 points. Pick one game as a stone cold lead pipe lock (optional) and triple your score in victory or lose 3 points in defeat. Full contest rules here.

If SportsFilter is down and you need to submit your picks, you can send them in email to me.

Important note: The rules don't specify a first-place tiebreaker, so one is necessary: Predict the total points that will be scored in the Minnesota/Green Bay game on Sunday night. If players who tie for first pick the same total, the one who posted it first is the winner.

Check your score last week on the results spreadsheet at Google Docs.

posted by rcade at 07:35 PM on January 01

When making your picks, don't forget the tiebreaker you also must predict.

posted by rcade at 07:38 PM on January 01

Atlanta by 7

N.Y. Jets by 7

Detroit by 7

Cincinnati by 14 - LOCK

Pittsburgh by 10

Washington by 3

Indianapolis by 3

New England by 7

Philadelphia by 4

Houston by 10

Denver by 3

Kansas City by 4

Arizona by 7

St. Louis by 11

Carolina by 8

Minnesota by 9 - 42

posted by cixelsyd at 09:24 PM on January 01

Atlanta by 13
N.Y. Jets by 10
Detroit by 5
Cincinnati by 18
Pittsburgh by 10
Washington by 10
Tennessee by 5
New England by 14
N.Y. Giants by 10
Houston by 10
Denver by 13
Kansas City by 5
Arizona by 7
San Francisco by 5
Carolina by 4
Green Bay by 5 - 48 points

posted by NoMich at 10:07 PM on January 01

Atlanta by 9
N.Y. Jets by 7
Chicago by 7
Cincinnati by 10
Pittsburgh by 13
Washington by 5
Indianapolis by 7
New England by 10
N.Y. Giants by 13
LOCK Houston by 23 LOCK
Denver by 6
Kansas City by 6
Arizona by 11
St. Louis by 4
Carolina by 7
Green Bay by 3, 43 points

posted by bender at 10:29 PM on January 01

Bills by 7
Patriots by 13 - Lock
Saints by 3
Bears by 3
Giants by 9
Redskins by 14
Titans by 6
Bengals by 4
Steelers by 13
Texans by 7
Chiefs by 13
Broncos by 10
Panthers by 10
Seahawks by 7
Rams by 3
Packers by 13, 56 points

posted by grum@work at 10:40 PM on January 01

Atlanta by 13

N.Y. Jets by 6

Detroit by 10

Cincinnati by 17

Pittsburgh by 17

Washington by 10

Indianapolis by 7

New England by 14

New York Giants by 6

Houston by 3

Denver by 10

Kansas City by 10

Arizona by 3

St Louis by 13

Carolina by 17 (lock)

Minnesota by 3, 37 points.

posted by ic23b at 10:53 PM on January 01

Detroit by 7

Cincinnati by 15

Pittsburgh by 19

Washington by 3

Indianapolis by 13

New England by 17

Philadelphia by 6

Jacksonville by 7

Denver by 10

Kansas City by 7

Arizona by 15

St. Louis by 3

Carolina by 27 (lock)

Minnesota by 10 (27 points)

posted by Goyoucolts at 11:17 PM on January 01

Always a tough week to predict, with playoff bound teams resting players and out of contention teams worried about making their flights/lol. Here's hoping for a 40 point week/lol.

Atlanta by 3

NY Jets by 10

Chicago by 7

Cincinnati by 4

Pittsburgh by 17--Lock

Washington by 14

Tennessee by 3

New England by 14

NY Giants by 10

Jacksonville by 2

Denver by 13

Kansas City by 11

Arizona by 6

St. Louis by 5

Carolina by 20

Green Bay by 10 with 34 total points

posted by jagsnumberone at 12:30 AM on January 02

ATL 6

BUF 11

CHI 6

CIN 17

PIT 4

DAL 10

IND 6

NE 4

NYG 7

HOU 14 LOCK

DEN 3

KC 6

ARZ 21

STL 6

CAR 3

GB 3 - 31 pts

posted by Irish627 at 02:28 AM on January 02

Here's hoping for a 40 point week/lol.

Perfection is 54 points, so might as well shoot for the moon.

posted by grum@work at 07:50 AM on January 02

Atlanta by 3

N.Y. Jets by 7

Detroit by 2

Cincinnati by 11

Pittsburgh by 11

Washington by 11

Indianapolis by 6

New England by 23

N.Y. Giants by 4

Houston by 18

Denver by 12

Kansas City 9

Arizona by 7

San Francisco by 8

Carolina by 5

Minnesota by 6 46

posted by tommytrump at 09:15 AM on January 02

New Orleans by 10
N.Y. Jets by 13
Detroit by 6
Cincinnati by 17
Pittsburgh by 11
Washington by 4
Indianapolis by 10
New England by 13
N.Y. Giants by 8
Houston by 11
Denver by 9
Kansas City by 13 (lock)
Arizona by 9
St. Louis by 12
Carolina by 3
Green Bay by 6 - 37 total points

posted by Ufez Jones at 01:04 PM on January 02

I have worn a tie only once in the past 4 years, so breaking a tie should not matter to me. This presumes that it might actually make a difference to me in the final standings. It will take a hell of a week to catch the savants who are ahead of me. Here we go:

New York (National Conference) by 16
Houston by 12
New York (American Conference) by 4
Chicago by 9
New England by 6
Cincinnati by 10
Washington by 8
Atlanta by 7
Pittsburgh by 14
Indianapolis by 10
Tampa Bay by 3
Denver by 17 with a LOCK for the Rocky Mountains
Kansas City by 14
St. Louis by 6
Arizona by 3
Minnesota by 7

Total score Sunday night will be 55.

posted by Howard_T at 01:35 PM on January 02

Atlanta by 8

Buffalo by 4

Chicago by 6

Cincinnati by 13

Pittsburgh by 16

Washington by 10

Indianapolis by 6

New England by 18: lock

N.Y. Giants by 6

Jacksonville by 3

Denver by 9

Kansas City by 12

Seattle by 9

St. Louis by 6

Carolina by 12

Green Bay by 15, 48 pts

posted by goddam at 01:57 PM on January 02

Perfection is 54 points, so might as well shoot for the moon.

So you're telling me there's a chance! (That I don't win the Costanza)

posted by bender at 02:44 PM on January 02

Atlanta by 7

Buffalo by 10

Chicago by 17

Baltimore by 3

Pittsburgh by 24 LOCK

Washington by 7

Tennessee by 10

Miami by 6

Philadelphia by 3

Jacksonville by 10

Denver by 7

Kansas City by 10

Seattle by 3

San Francisco by 3

Tampa Bay by 7

Green Bay by 17

posted by rumple at 02:17 AM on January 03

Atlanta by 7
NYJ by 3
Washington by 10
Indianapolis by 13
Carolina by 10
Chicago by 3
Pittsburgh by 17 - lock
Green Bay by 3
Kansas City by 7
New England by 7
NYG by 3
Cinci by 13
Houston by 7
Seattle by 3
Denver by 10
St louis by 3

posted by tron7 at 11:57 AM on January 03

Atlanta by 10
N.Y. Jets by 13
Chicago by 3
Cincinnati by 18
Pittsburgh by 7
Washington by 21
Tennessee by 3
New England by 24
N.Y. Giants by 6
Houston by 11
Denver by 10
Kansas City by 17
Arizona by 7
San Francisco by 3
Carolina by 21
Green Bay by 10

posted by billsaysthis at 12:25 PM on January 03

Atlanta by 9

N.Y. Jets by 17

Detroit by 3

Cincinnati by 4

Pittsburgh by 31 LOCK

Washington by 10

Tennessee by 2

New England by 13

N.Y. Giants by 3

Houston by 6

Denver by 10

Kansas City by 13

Arizona by 3

St. Louis by 10

Carolina by 2

Minnesota by 6

Total points of 46 tonight, just in case I make the Costanza close.

posted by tahoemoj at 12:46 PM on January 03

Atlanta by 3
N.Y. Jets by 10
Detroit by 6
Cincinnati by 3
Pittsburgh by 9
Washington by 7
Indianapolis by 3
New England by 17 <-- lock ness monster
N.Y. Giants by 13
Houston by 5
Denver by 13
Kansas City by 10
Arizona by 7
St. Louis by 9
Carolina by 14
Minnesota by 3 <-- total points 51

posted by rcade at 01:00 PM on January 03

New Orleans by 10
Buffalo by 7
Chicago by 3
Cincinnati by 6
Pittsburgh by 27
Dallas by 3
Indianapolis by 13
New England by 20
N.Y. Giants by 10
Houston by 10
Denver by 7
Kansas City by 15
Arizona by 7
San Francisco by 7
Carolina by 14
Green Bay by 20

posted by holden at 01:21 PM on January 03

Score after all of the early games completed (with one caveat -- see below):

PlayerTotalW1W2W3W4W5W6W7W8W9W10W11W12W13W14W15W16W17PlAvg
grum@work2421114141516613201621972016271791714.235
ic23b23714918161516121816514121017211861713.941
tommytrump236121220201812172212014129132013101713.882
tron7233106231211141215122181623112512111713.706
howard_t22916816151112221610912211012191551713.471
goddam2241212171517141622851611713181381713.176
goyoucolts2231372511201113161641112151916951713.118
cixelsyd2191341818151417157411169122610101712.882
ufez jones219166231371116166914181110261251712.882
nomich216239201415131011147512131520691712.706
jagsnumberone215177181861414201061415615187101712.647
rcade212219151614151411100199161317941712.471
tahoemoj209187181314101112851317201415591712.294
billsaysthis204111216151717111498711131617641712.000
owlhouse20212131620111213141751212131418----1513.467
holden19921101620141116161101181118--881612.438
bender1951941512131013111233161311197141711.471
rumple1748141713--51111144168--1820781511.600
yerfatma1712281613151415124414--3922----1412.214
irish627164--5171110141691351713--817--91411.714
jjzucal1311561312151511181466------------1111.909
forrestv67185141416------------------------513.400
ying yang mafia659131516--12----------------------513.000
littlelebowski12------12--------------------------112.000

If your lock has not finished playing, your score is 3 points higher than this table reflects.

posted by rcade at 04:19 PM on January 03

Grum leads the season by 2. He and Ic23b both have Denver by 10, so here are the games that will decide the fate of the top two:

grum@work:
Chiefs by 13
Panthers by 10
Seahawks by 7
Rams by 3
Packers by 13, 56 points

ic23b:
Kansas City by 10
Carolina by 17 (lock)
Arizona by 3
St Louis by 13
Minnesota by 3, 37 points

Tommytrump trails by 7 but still has an outside shot. Here are his picks:

Denver by 12
Carolina by 5
Kansas City 9
Arizona by 7
San Francisco by 8
Minnesota by 6, 46 points

posted by rcade at 04:39 PM on January 03

Week 17 results

Detroit by 4 over Chicago
New Orleans by 3 over Atlanta
Philadelphia by 5 over N.Y. Giants
Houston by 24 over Jacksonville
Buffalo by 5 over N.Y. Jets
Miami by 10 over New England
Indianapolis by 6 over Tennessee
Pittsburgh by 16 over Cleveland
Cincinnati by 8 over Baltimore
Washington by 11 over Dallas
Kansas City by 6 over Oakland
Seattle by 30 over Arizona
Carolina by 28 over Tampa Bay
Denver by 7 over San Diego
San Francisco by 3 over St. Louis

Scores after the afternoon games:

PlayerTotalW1W2W3W4W5W6W7W8W9W10W11W12W13W14W15W16W17PlAvg
grum@work24711141415166132016219720162717141714.529
ic23b245149181615161218165141210172118141714.412
tommytrump240121220201812172212014129132013141714.118
tron7239106231211141215122181623112512171714.059
goyoucolts23613725112011131616411121519169181713.882
howard_t236168161511122216109122110121915121713.882
goddam22912121715171416228516117131813131713.471
ufez jones2281662313711161669141811102612141713.412
cixelsyd2231341818151417157411169122610141713.118
nomich2212392014151310111475121315206141713.000
jagsnumberone219177181861414201061415615187141712.882
rcade215219151614151411100199161317971712.647
tahoemoj2121871813141011128513172014155121712.471
billsaysthis2111112161517171114987111316176111712.412
holden20521101620141116161101181118--8141612.812
owlhouse20212131620111213141751212131418----1513.467
bender2011941512131013111233161311197201711.824
rumple1828141713--51111144168--18207161512.133
yerfatma1712281613151415124414--3922----1412.214
irish627169--5171110141691351713--817--141412.071
jjzucal1311561312151511181466------------1111.909
forrestv67185141416------------------------513.400
ying yang mafia659131516--12----------------------513.000
littlelebowski12------12--------------------------112.000

Assuming there are no errors, here's how the contest shakes out:

Grum got a late point when he got the margin right and team wrong in San Francisco's defeat of St. Louis. The season comes down to the Sunday night game. If Green Bay wins, Grum is victorious. If Minnesota wins by 1 or more than 4, Grum is victorious. If Minnesota wins by 3, Ic23b is victorious. If Minnesota wins by 2 or 4, the tiebreaker decides the contest: If the combined score is 47 or more, Grum wins. If 46 or less, Ic23b wins.

Broken locks: New England (Grum@work, Tommytrump, Goddam, Rcade)

Nailed it: Washington by 11 (Tommytrump), San Francisco by 3 (Rumple, Billsaysthis), Denver by 7 (Rumple, Holden), Indianapolis by 6 (Irish627, Tommytrump, Goddam), Pittsburgh by 16 (Goddam), Kansas City by 6 (Bender, Irish627) and New Orleans by 3 (Grum@work)

posted by rcade at 07:55 PM on January 03

Congratulations, Grum!

(I somehow deleted two of my predictions while editing my post this week, but thankfully it would't have mattered.)

posted by Goyoucolts at 12:40 AM on January 04

Pending verification, these are the final standings:

PlayerTotalW1W2W3W4W5W6W7W8W9W10W11W12W13W14W15W16W17PlAvg
grum@work24711141415166132016219720162717141714.529
ic23b246149181615161218165141210172118151714.471
tommytrump242121220201812172212014129132013161714.235
tron7239106231211141215122181623112512171714.059
howard_t239168161511122216109122110121915151714.059
goyoucolts23713725112011131616411121519169191713.941
goddam22912121715171416228516117131813131713.471
ufez jones2281662313711161669141811102612141713.412
cixelsyd2251341818151417157411169122610161713.235
nomich2212392014151310111475121315206141713.000
jagsnumberone219177181861414201061415615187141712.882
rcade216219151614151411100199161317981712.706
tahoemoj2141871813141011128513172014155141712.588
billsaysthis2111112161517171114987111316176111712.412
holden20521101620141116161101181118--8141612.812
owlhouse20212131620111213141751212131418----1513.467
bender2011941512131013111233161311197201711.824
rumple1828141713--51111144168--18207161512.133
yerfatma1712281613151415124414--3922----1412.214
irish627169--5171110141691351713--817--141412.071
jjzucal1311561312151511181466------------1111.909
forrestv67185141416------------------------513.400
ying yang mafia659131516--12----------------------513.000
littlelebowski12------12--------------------------112.000

posted by rcade at 09:57 AM on January 04

At least I finished ahead of one other player, triumph!

posted by billsaysthis at 10:42 AM on January 04

Nice work, grum. And congratulations to bender on a well-deserved Costanza!

Thanks for running this rcade.

posted by tahoemoj at 12:22 PM on January 04

This is quite astounding to me.

After my dead-last 7 point performance in week 12, I was 18 points back of first place and with about 10 people in front of me at the time. I figured I'd just play out the string and see if I can finish in the top half of the full-time players.

posted by grum@work at 03:41 PM on January 04

Top score for the last week, and I still finished 10 points back of the next 17-week player, not to mention behind two other players who missed one and two weeks, respectively...

posted by bender at 07:05 PM on January 04

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