May 19, 2014

SportsFilter: The Monday Huddle:

A place to discuss the sports stories that aren't making news, share links that aren't quite front-page material, and diagram plays on your hand. Remember to count to five Mississippi before commenting in anger.

posted by huddle to general at 06:00 AM - 3 comments

Sean Ingle's article in The Guardian contends the Premier League is as predictable as any other league and this season wasn't so surprising. It's based on a "dominance index" that compares the success of the top 4 teams in a season across European leagues, but it doesn't seem to account for changes in the top 4 teams across seasons. Am I missing something?

posted by yerfatma at 08:44 AM on May 19

Scudamore remains Premier League chief executive as league review determines "no disciplinary action is required or justified." Other commentators disagree.

posted by billsaysthis at 03:36 PM on May 19

Am I missing something?

No, you're on the right track. The formula used is based on the "top four" from the previous five seasons, so it's a trend analysis. It doesn't take into account that the top four from ten years ago might be somewhat different today - i.e. it doesn't look at the performances of individual clubs. Also, why just the top four? If you chose two, it would skew the figures significantly for Spain and Portugal, for instance.

A better analysis is needed if you really wanted to prove something that fans implicitly understand anyway.

posted by owlhouse at 09:55 PM on May 19

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