May 24, 2007

NHL Stanley Cup Finals Pick 'Em: You know what to do.

posted by DrJohnEvans to fantasy at 10:49 AM - 56 comments

Conference Finals Standings As always, please double-check your picks and points.

SpoFiteBUF-OTTANA-DETBonus 1Bonus 2Bonus 3PointsTotal Points
HATER 187BUF6DET7NumminenCheliosKalinen113
The Crafty SousepawBUF7ANA5ConnollyBriereRedden213
rumpleOTT6ANA5S. Nied.ProngerPahlsson27
Ying Yang MafiaBUF5DET6FranzenBriereNylander16
Stanley Cup Final Pick 'Em Anaheim vs. Ottawa The Bonus Pick the Conn Smythe Trophy winner. The "It's not scoring that makes it exciting, but scoring chances" Bonus Pick the average goals per game for the Cup Final. We'll round to the nearest tenth. See you in June.

posted by DrJohnEvans at 10:49 AM on May 24

You know what to do. Well, it's quite obvious from the standings that I don't know what to do. Anaheim in 6 Scott Neidermeyer 5.2 Wouldn't it be simpler to pick the total goals scored in the finals? If we go that way, I'll take 31. Or are we counting overtime minutes towards a GAA-like value? So 5 goals scored in a triple-overtime game would be the equivalent of 2.5goals/game, instead of 5goals/game? Am I being to technical?

posted by grum@work at 12:06 PM on May 24

Ducks in 6 games Conn Smythe winner: J.S. Giguere (goalie always the safe bet) 4.6 goals per game

posted by HATER 187 at 12:26 PM on May 24

Sens in 6 Alfredo total goals 27 average 4.5

posted by garfield at 12:29 PM on May 24

Holy shit I can't believe I'm actually going to write this. I really can't. It hurts to think it. But I know I think it's the right call: Ottawa in 6. ... Just give me a sec. (sob) I have to.. (sob)... Recover.... Conn Smythe.... Shit... Here we (sob) go again: Daniel Alfredsson. goals - 4.2. On Edit: Geez, garf, I didn't even see yours before mine. We (sob) agree.

posted by WeedyMcSmokey at 12:31 PM on May 24

I didn't want to do total number of goals, because that ties in too closely with your "number of games" pick. I wanted to keep it as independent from the other picks as possible. I wasn't planning on including overtime minutesójust goals per game, not goals per 60 minutes. I think enough overtime-prediction is worked into goals-per-game anyway. Low-scoring games are more likely to go into multiple overtime periods than barnburners would be, so your picking tendencies towards overtime are still reflected somewhat in a goals-per-game pick. So I would say goals per game, not 60 minutes. Unless there's a groundswell of opinion against it... ?

posted by DrJohnEvans at 12:34 PM on May 24

weedy, lets just say I'm not looking forward to the next decade of heckling. DJE, goals per game rather than goals per 60 mins is my preference.

posted by garfield at 12:48 PM on May 24

Ottawa 6 Alfredsson 4.7

posted by holden at 01:05 PM on May 24

Ottawa in 5 Spezza 3.9

posted by tahoemoj at 01:16 PM on May 24

Anaheim in 5 Scott Neidermeyer 4.0

posted by 86 at 01:22 PM on May 24

Ottawa in 5 Alfredsson 5.2

posted by apoch at 01:23 PM on May 24

Ooh, yeah. And apparently Muckler has a house in Incline Village on the north shore of Tahoe (home to me.) Should the Sens bring the cup home, rumor has it it will pay a visit to a local sports bar where Mucks spends a lot of time. Gonna post a picture of myself and Lord Stanley, hopefully.

posted by tahoemoj at 01:24 PM on May 24

Alfredsson, as much as I hate to admit it, deserves the Conn Smythe. As for the winner, my mind says Ottawa but my heart says Anaheim... and considering how screwed over Canadian teams have been in the last two finals ANA in 7. 4.6 GPG

posted by mkn at 01:51 PM on May 24

Ducks in 5 Andy McDonald 5.0 GPG Go 'Gate! On edit: there should be more bonus points this round. I just realized I can't win, and I think that applies to most of the contestants...

posted by The Crafty Sousepaw at 02:01 PM on May 24

Ottawa 5 Alfredsson 4.1

posted by trox at 02:06 PM on May 24

Anaheim in 6 Ryan Getzlaf 4.4 PPG From garfield: Sens in 6 Alfredo total goals 27 average 4.5 Alfredo Griffin?

posted by wfrazerjr at 02:10 PM on May 24

Is that a Family Guy reference or the first base coach of the Angels? Not much of a resemblance to the Swede in either case. I suppose I should refrain from abbreviations and nicknames of rival team's players, but I never really was into 'supposed to'.

posted by garfield at 02:34 PM on May 24

One lousy point. Throw in the Wings losing and me not actually being qualified for the Costanza after missing a round and this has become a very depressing PickEm.

posted by Ying Yang Mafia at 02:51 PM on May 24

Ducks in 5 Pronger 4.9

posted by rumple at 04:23 PM on May 24

I can't believe I'm not in last place, despite my absolute lack of confidence in the Sens so far. I've picked against them in every round, and every round, they've mocked me. Screw you guys, anyway. The Fearsome Waterfowl of the Greater Los Angeles - Anaheim Basin in 6 Chris "Conn Smythe" Pronger 5.4 goals per game

posted by The_Black_Hand at 05:03 PM on May 24

Hens in 6. Heatley. 5.3.

posted by NoMich at 06:14 PM on May 24

Ducks in 7. Giguere. 3.7 (eh, so I missed the last two rounds. oh well.)

posted by boredom_08 at 07:53 PM on May 24

Holy shit I can't believe I'm actually going to write this. I really can't. It hurts to think it. But I know I think it's the right call: Ottawa in 6. You can just leave the fucking city right now, traitor-boy.

posted by grum@work at 11:40 PM on May 24

Spoken like a true future Predators fan.

posted by DrJohnEvans at 11:53 PM on May 24

Ottawa in 6. Alfredsson. GPG 6.3 Go Sens Go...

posted by wingnut4life at 12:47 AM on May 25

Dr. J, there are four possible points this round, correct? Two if you get winner and number of games, one each for the two bonus questions?

posted by apoch at 03:51 AM on May 25

Ottawa in 4 Ray Emery 5.3

posted by Ying Yang Mafia at 05:02 AM on May 25

apoch: Correct.

posted by DrJohnEvans at 09:08 AM on May 25

Anaheim in 6 Giguere 5.5 I don't think I could live with an Ottawa win...

posted by rocket88 at 09:46 AM on May 25

Well, hell, I guess if I'm going to have any chance of winning this thing, my answers have to be different than apoch's. So make the gnome change, will ya? No? Lets go with Anaheim in 6, just to give it the old college try. Then make it Emery and a 3.9. Gotta go down swingin'. [Insert your own sport cliche here.]

posted by tahoemoj at 01:02 PM on May 25

Did I say Emery? I meant Giguere!

posted by tahoemoj at 01:13 PM on May 25

Since all the other contenders have weighed in, I can now go ahead with my tahoemoj-like strategy: Anahein in 7 Pronger 5.0 (as per the the famous Vanilla Ice non-hit)

posted by qbert72 at 01:42 PM on May 25

Gnome? Who are you calling a gnome?

posted by apoch at 02:32 PM on May 25

Hey, Ice Ice Baby was TOO a hit. Now take heed, because I'm a lyrical poet.

posted by WeedyMcSmokey at 02:36 PM on May 25

Gnome? Who are you calling a gnome? Sorry. I bothered to read your bio. Chances are, then, that you didn't?

posted by tahoemoj at 03:45 PM on May 25

Geez. Gnomes.

posted by tahoemoj at 03:53 PM on May 25

I have to admit that I forgot that I had written that. Please accept my gnomish apologies.

posted by apoch at 07:34 PM on May 25

Cheers, all in good fun.

posted by tahoemoj at 04:15 AM on May 26

Senators - 6 Heatley 5.3

posted by skydivemom at 04:15 AM on May 26

Ottawa in 7 Emery 3.6

posted by goddam at 08:43 PM on May 26

It's not to late to change my picks, is it? (Just kidding, mostly.)

posted by apoch at 10:30 PM on May 26

And apparently while he was recovering from the appendectomy, he adjusted the grip on a couple of his pitches and actually improved his cutter. This guy is nuts. Who has an appendix removed and comes back a better pitcher? Next thing you know, all young pitchers will immediately go for appendectomies if they falter early. They'll call it "Roy Halladay surgery". And I think its effect on the Stanley Cup final is obvious.

posted by DrJohnEvans at 12:33 PM on May 27

Ducks in 7 S Niedermayer 5.3 gpg

posted by gspm at 11:06 AM on May 28

Ice Ice Baby was TOO a hit. Damn straight. I was talking about Rollin' in my 5.0, though.

posted by qbert72 at 11:22 AM on May 28

4.8 gpg

posted by DrJohnEvans at 12:05 PM on May 28

Ottawa in 6 Dany Heatley 4.5

posted by MrFrisby at 01:04 PM on May 28

BTW, as was reminded on Coach's Corner tonight, Don Cherry picked a Duck/Senators final. Back in October.

posted by grum@work at 08:07 PM on May 28

Who did the monkey pick this year?

posted by NoMich at 08:41 PM on May 28

Columbus Blue Jackets over the Seattle Pilots.

posted by DrJohnEvans at 09:06 PM on May 28

The monkey only goes round-by-round, but picked Ottawa for the finals (and has picked Ottawa every round).

posted by grum@work at 10:05 PM on May 28

Yeah but Halladay is back.

posted by qbert72 at 10:42 PM on May 28

Thinking about the average goal per game bonus... If the series goes 7 games, a single goal will add 0.1428 to the average. Therefore, for each of us there's only one goal total (per series length) that can get us the bonus. So the odds are very slim.

posted by qbert72 at 07:20 AM on May 29

Well there goes my pick for a sweep.

posted by Ying Yang Mafia at 08:40 AM on May 29

This isn't pick'em related or SCF series related, and is Leafs-centric, but definitely worth a read for the league wide analysis.

posted by garfield at 02:29 PM on May 31

So nobody picked Pahlson for the Connie Smythe? I know defensive forwards are rarely recognized by sports writers, but do you think he has a chance?

posted by qbert72 at 02:48 PM on May 31

If he can continue to shut down the pizza line in Kanata, he'll be hard to ignore. But Murray should be able to get his trio away from the Ducks' checkers, so I don't think that will happen.

posted by garfield at 03:01 PM on May 31

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