December 27, 2006

SpoFi Bowl Game Pick'em: You picked it, now show it!

posted by wingnut4life to fantasy at 01:42 PM - 65 comments

Bowl season is upon us! Good luck and hopefully you pick pretty good.

posted by wingnut4life at 01:44 PM on December 27

My mighty Chimps put a hurtin' on Middle Tennessee last night. I now have a whopping 30 points in the pick 'em.

posted by NoMich at 01:44 PM on December 27

That's 30 more points than I got. That's what I get for thinking that losing a coach matters!

posted by bperk at 01:46 PM on December 27

Good thing this wasn't a confidence pool. Only three people have picked both bowl games so far right. As for losing Brian Kelly, well, teams seem to flourish even after he leaves. GVSU, his job before CMU, has won two out of three Division 2 National Championships since he left. I was hoping he'd get/take the MSU job and make that program something decent.

posted by apoch at 02:30 AM on December 28

I meant, Good thing this wasn't a suicide pool. It's too early to be awake.

posted by apoch at 03:37 AM on December 28

FSU, having a dreadful year in the ACC, just made the PAC 10 look absolutely ridiculous.

posted by bperk at 07:36 AM on December 28

Oh-fer-two! I better start clearing space on the cyber-mantle for my next Costanza...

posted by grum@work at 08:21 AM on December 28

FSU, having a dreadful year in the ACC, just made the PAC 10 look absolutely ridiculous. UCLA let that win over USC get to their heads. They were strutting their stuff in the first quarter, and by the fourth they looked like a deer in headlights.

posted by wingnut4life at 08:45 AM on December 28

See, I thought it was going to be the other way around...FSU, coming off the loss to Florida, where they failed to prevent UF from going to the National Championship game, and UCLA, coming off the win over USC, and (possibly) preventing the Trojans from going to said game. I really expected FSU to be down and UCLA to be up for this game. Shows how much I know.

posted by The_Black_Hand at 10:11 AM on December 28

TBH I had that same idea going into that game. I guess neither of us know much.

posted by hawkguy at 11:50 AM on December 28

So you agree that you know that you don't know?

posted by wingnut4life at 03:48 PM on December 28

I know.

posted by The_Black_Hand at 04:35 AM on December 29

Grum, I have to hand it to you. When you set your mind on winning another Costanza, you pull out all of the stops.

posted by wingnut4life at 06:06 AM on December 29

I'd like to give props to Grum and tselson. Grum hasn't picked a game right and tselson had picked 'em all right to this point.

posted by apoch at 06:17 AM on December 29

Took me long enough to get started, but I'm on a roll now. Look out boys!

posted by louisville_slugger at 06:45 AM on December 29

Is Fox marking Alabama as the winner of the Independence Bowl? I though OK State won the game.

posted by NoMich at 07:50 AM on December 29

Yeah, that'll shake up the standings once it gets fixed.

posted by apoch at 07:53 AM on December 29

Alabama covered the spread, -3.5. OSU actually won the game, but only by 3. You're picking against the spread in this pool, not the actual winner in every case.

posted by louisville_slugger at 08:11 AM on December 29

SCORING For each bowl game, points will be earned based on whether you select the winner of the game against the spread, and what confidence point value you’ve assigned to that game. Points for a bowl game are only earned if you select the winner of the game. When applying the spread, the winning pick is the team that has the most points after applying the spread. In some cases this will mean the winning pick is not the team that wins the game. The spread value is subtracted from the points scored by the Favorite team. That value is compared to the points scored by the underdog to determine the winner. In the event a bowl game is cancelled, no points will be awarded for that game. There are two forms of points in this Contest: Correct Pick Points. Points are earned by correctly selecting the winner of the game against the spread. Correct selections earn five (5) points per bowl game for the twenty (20) non-Bowl Championship Series Bowl games and fifteen (15) points per BCS bowl game. The BCS bowl games include the following bowls: Rose Tostitos Fiesta FedEx Orange Allstate Sugar BCS Championship Game Confidence Points. Before the bowl game begins you have the option of applying a confidence value between 1 and 25 to each bowl game. Individual confidence values may not be applied to more than one bowl game. For example, if you are most confident in the outcome of the Rose bowl you would want to apply 25 points to this bowl game. If you select the outcome of the Rose bowl correctly you will earn 25 points. Confidence points are only earned if you select the outcome of the bowl correctly.

posted by louisville_slugger at 08:17 AM on December 29

The fact that I have the lowest CPR means I'm probably not going to stay on top too much longer, eh?

posted by apoch at 08:34 AM on December 29

I'd like to give props to Grum and tselson. Grum hasn't picked a game right and tselson had picked 'em all right to this point. posted by apoch at 6:17 AM CST on December 29 Not to toot my own horn (well maybe I am) but I have picked them all right too!

posted by skydivemom at 09:46 AM on December 29

Thanks for the props apoch, here's a toot for sdm, nicely done! I must note that I have the most remaining confidence points left. They were given to me and I wanted to keep them for as long as possible. It will be painful for me to watch them disappear. apoch, I think you have the proverbial birds in the hand and I(we) have some birds in the bush. Nicely done as well.

posted by tselson at 10:07 AM on December 29

Grum, I have to hand it to you. When you set your mind on winning another Costanza, you pull out all of the stops. Eventually, I'll have to get one correct. To pick 25 games incorrectly, and assuming the spread given makes each game as close to a 50/50 proposition as you can get, it would happen once out of 33,554,432 times (assuming random guesses). If I pull that off, I want more than a simple Costanza plaque for my user page...I want the award to be renamed the "Grum"!

posted by grum@work at 10:08 AM on December 29

skydivemom, thank you for clarifying that. I was going to, but you beat me to the punch. You are awesome!

posted by wingnut4life at 10:22 AM on December 29

thanks tselson and wingnut

posted by skydivemom at 10:49 AM on December 29

Really sorry about the oversight skydivemom! I hope the rest of your picks turn out so well. Mad props to my gr peep.

posted by apoch at 11:11 AM on December 29

Grum who did you pick in the Rose Bowl?

posted by Ying Yang Mafia at 11:13 AM on December 29

*please say usc, please say usc, please say usc...

posted by wingnut4life at 12:36 PM on December 29

Grum who did you pick in the Rose Bowl? I tried to go look that up, but I can't seem to view my picks any more. Either I've forgotten my login id, or something is very screwy over at FoxSports online. I'm pretty sure I chose Michigan.

posted by grum@work at 12:42 PM on December 29

Someone's streak of perfection is going to break this afternoon. Skydivemom, tselson, and grum all picked OSU.

posted by apoch at 12:57 PM on December 29

Someone's streak of perfection is going to break this afternoon. Skydivemom, tselson, and grum all picked OSU. Sorry about that, sdm and tselson.

posted by grum@work at 01:23 PM on December 29

Darn OSU going for the 2 and not taking it to OT and covering the spread! Oh well it was good while it lasted!

posted by skydivemom at 05:15 PM on December 29

Yeah for Kentucky! I got one right! I got one right! I got one right!

posted by grum@work at 06:56 PM on December 29

skydivemom, you've got the best pick percentage with 9 out of ten games correct and the second higest confidence points remaining. I played with some numbers to see if I could make any predictions about the outcome. (Correct Pick percentage * CPR)+Current Points. The top four are skydivemom (335.6), tselson (301), Soul on a Roll (291.8), and Folkways (251.7). skydivemom and tselson have the most CPR left and Soul on a Roll and Folkways currenlty have the most points. It's a battle against future potential and past performance. This doesn't take into account the five extra points you get for every right pick or the 15 extra you get for the five BCS bowls. You can view a spreadsheet here.

posted by apoch at 08:31 AM on December 30

i've got 6 right, not 4. shouldnt my % right be 60 instead of 40?.....if you're talking about the first 10 games

posted by louisville_slugger at 02:39 PM on December 30

Wow, the Navy-BC ending was the greatest! I love last second game winners after a fumble recovery. Nave looks so crushed right now.

posted by wingnut4life at 03:09 PM on December 30

Sorry about that. It was early. I'll fix it and update it as soon as I the site gets updated with the meinike results.

posted by apoch at 03:12 PM on December 30

that was a hell of an ending....just wish they coulda won by 8!

posted by louisville_slugger at 03:14 PM on December 30

Stupid "Pick Against the Spread" picks! Who's the numbskull who set this contest up! oh, yeah...

posted by wingnut4life at 03:17 PM on December 30

doesn't cpr mean confidence points remaining?

posted by louisville_slugger at 03:26 PM on December 30

Yup. Sheet updated. Let me know if you see any errors.

posted by apoch at 03:34 PM on December 30

Four in a row! Four in a row! I've passed "Mr. 6-0" tselson!

posted by grum@work at 06:47 PM on December 30

Sheet is updated through Texas Iowa. Weird oddities with the Fox score sheet. I'll fix it with the last game of the night in the morning.

posted by apoch at 07:18 PM on December 30

skydivemom, you continue to blow us away...nice picks. Ive got 1 confident point riding on today's game. Tomorrow all hell breaks loose.

posted by louisville_slugger at 07:54 AM on December 31

3 of the games are worth 15 extra picks each if correct. Lots of possible movement.

posted by apoch at 09:21 AM on December 31

How about that Fiesta bowl? A rollercoaster ride right through the end. Fantastic last five minutes. Sheet updated through Fiesta results. Please let me know of any errors. Fox takes awhile to update their standings. Black Hand Upside Yo Head is officially eliminated from contention, except for the costanza.

posted by apoch at 12:06 AM on January 02

That was one hell of a game apoch, BSU's coach has the biggest balls of 'em all so far I'd say!

posted by jojomfd1 at 12:57 AM on January 02

Black Hand Upside Yo Head is officially eliminated from contention, except for the costanza. Well, gee, thanks for pointing that out. You're too kind.

posted by The_Black_Hand at 06:34 AM on January 02

Let's go LSU! I'd like to see how first feels!

posted by louisville_slugger at 06:44 AM on January 03

OK...I see how it is. I move into first and the damn thread just dies. Well let me be the first to congradulate myself. Don't worry, I'm sure my reign will be over after 1 more game. Then again...could I possibly run the table and take it to the house? Nah. Probably not.

posted by louisville_slugger at 10:20 AM on January 05

Congrats. Well, if you run the table your max score is 301. Which is higher than (my probably flawed) predicted point equation spits out for anyone else. Of course one of the flaws is that the prediction equation doesn't factor in the 25 remaining bonus points.

posted by apoch at 11:11 AM on January 05

Bubba and skydivemom have all 3 opposite picks from mine. You and I share Fla as the only common pick. If I lose 1, I think i'm done.

posted by louisville_slugger at 11:36 AM on January 05

Perhaps. A lot depends on how everyone divided up their confidence points. Of course, ever since I ran the numbers, skydivemom has been on top of the predicted points standings. So we'll have to see how everything shakes out. There has a been a ton of movement in this thing.

posted by apoch at 11:40 AM on January 05

1 more game for all the marbles

posted by louisville_slugger at 04:28 AM on January 08

OSU Wins - Skydivemom is our champion (by quite a margin) Florida Wins - louisville_slugger wins with 292 points, to my 291. I don't know whether to root for Florida and a second place victory or Skydivemom so I can say I predicted it.

posted by apoch at 05:44 AM on January 08

Congratulations, louisville_sluggers. Way to go!

posted by wingnut4life at 04:21 AM on January 09

well, louisville_slugger, I guess you really get to know what first feels like, eh? Congrats.

posted by apoch at 04:51 AM on January 09

thanks, you too. Was a photo finish....and thanks for running it and leting me in guys.

posted by louisville_slugger at 05:04 AM on January 09

Congrats louisville, it was fun. Hey third place really isn't so bad. I am happy I never got two games wrong in a row that for me is an big improvement from last year.

posted by skydivemom at 06:46 AM on January 09

Well, there I am, right smack dab in the middle. That'll teach me to not read the rules before making my picks. grumble grumble stupid spread

posted by NoMich at 07:33 AM on January 09

Thanks skd and you too. you blew us all away on picks, I got lucky and hit all 5 of the bcs games.

posted by louisville_slugger at 07:56 AM on January 09

Costanza winner Dean Wormer to thread.

posted by gspm at 09:40 AM on January 09

how do I get 1 of those pretty lil banners to hang on my profile page?

posted by louisville_slugger at 09:50 AM on January 09

Congrats to both of you.

posted by bperk at 11:04 AM on January 09

Costanza winner Dean Wormer to thread. Shit! Did I win another Costanza? I don't know if I should feel honored or embarassed. Scratch that...definitely embarassed.

posted by willthrill72 at 02:32 PM on January 09

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