Recent Comments by DrJohnEvans

CFL Playoff Pick 'Em, Grey Cup Edition

Hamilton by 12
Evans
Over
680

posted by DrJohnEvans at 09:35 AM on November 22, 2019

CFL Playoff Pick 'Em, Grey Cup Edition

Edmonton's defence has no answer for the Ti-Cats, as Hamilton piles up 13 points before you can even blink. They give up one second-quarter touchdown, but keep Edmonton out of the end zone for the rest of the game. Finally, Hamilton gets its revenge on Trevor Harris.

It's a gritty nailbiter out west: both Winnipeg and Saskatchewan brought a solid team defence (3 sacks each) punctuated by a great long game on offense. Both teams' D put the clamp down in the red zone, but Winnipeg gets the edge: two massive goal-line stands in the final two minutes are enough to turn away the Riders and send the Bombers to the Grey Cup.

EDM @ HAMWPG @ SSKOWC BonusDWC Bonus
ResultHamilton by 20Winnipeg by 7EvansHAM/WPG/SSK
Margin of Error14 to 265 to 9

We had a three-way tie for the DWC Bonus, so everybody gets points! But tommytrump and bender get most of 'em.

SpoFiteEDM @ HAMSWPG @ SSKSOWC BonusDWC BonusPointsTotal Points
benderHamilton18Winnipeg Hamilton48
tommytrumpHamilton19Winnipeg6EvansHamilton68
argoal Winnipeg8 Hamilton35
DrJohnEvansHamilton EvansSaskatchewan34
Howard_THamilton17 Saskatchewan34
jagsnumberoneHamilton17 EvansHamilton44
rcadeHamilton Winnipeg EvansSaskatchewan44
ReeverHamilton Winnipeg EvansHamilton44
ic23bHamilton Saskatchewan23

Here we go!

THE 107th GREY CUP

Hamilton Tiger-Cats (15-3) @ Winnipeg Blue Bombers (11-7) (Sunday, November 24, 6pm ET)

Everything's gone according to plan for Hamilton (despite, you know, multiple quarterback injuries). The league leader in both points scored and points given up, they easily dispatched Edmonton in the final and are cruising as favourites into the Grey Cup. But not an overwhelming favourite: Winnipeg led the West for much of the year, held the West powerhouses Calgary and Saskatchewan to 14 points, and has a resurgent Zach Collaros taking snaps, making them a sexy underdog pick.

CFL.ca Grey Cup Preview »

MVP Bonus

Pick the MVP of the Grey Cup.

Over/Under

The points-scored O/U for the Grey Cup is currently set at 52.5. Will the total points scored be over or under that total?

Tiebreaker

Pick the total yardage thrown by all quarterbacks in the Grey Cup. This is worth no points and will be used only in case of a tie.

Example pick: Hamilton by 21, Evans, Over, 700.

Good luck!

posted by DrJohnEvans at 04:48 PM on November 21, 2019

CFL Playoff Pick 'Em, Division Finals Edition

Hamilton by 12
Saskatchewan by 3
Evans
Saskatchewan

posted by DrJohnEvans at 10:24 PM on November 16, 2019

CFL Playoff Pick 'Em, Division Finals Edition

Who expected an air show, outdoors in Montreal in November? Trevor Harris and Vernon Adams Jr combine for 650 yards in the air. Edmonton jumps out to an early lead, but Montreal's right on their tails the whole game, coming within 5 points with minutes left in the fourth quarter. But with one minute on the clock, Sean Whyte kicks his fifth field goal to send Edmonton to the East finals.

Out west, halftime arrives with Calgary leading 14-8, and their fans booking seats for a fourth straight Grey Cup appearance (at home this year!) But in the second half, it all falls apart. Bo Levi Mitchell throws two interceptions, Justin Medlock kicks three 40+ yard field goals, and all of a sudden Winnipeg's cruising into the West Final.

EDM @ MTLWPG @ CGYKicking BonusLVP Bonus
ResultEdmonton by 8Winnipeg by 21WhyteOver
Margin of Error6 to 1015 to 27

One pick 'em plus one upset make for a tough week for points. But bender hits the Edmonton margin on the way to four points and the lead.

SpoFiteEDM @ MTLSWPG @ CGYSKickingLVPPointsTotal Points
benderEdmonton7 WhyteOver44
argoal WhyteOver22
tommytrump Winnipeg Over22
DrJohnEvansEdmonton 11
Howard_TEdmonton 11
ic23b Over11
jagsnumberone 00
rcade 00

The Argos aren't in the playoffs and yet we're the ones with all the snow. What gives?

DIVISION FINALS

Edmonton (8-10) @ Hamilton Tiger-Cats (15-3) (Sunday, November 17, 1:00pm ET)

The Ti-Cats (the team) have been the class of the East. Jeremiah Masoli goes down with a torn ACL? No problem, here comes Dane "Who?" Evans to save the season. However: if anything can stop them, it's a red-hot (former Argo) Trevor Harris, who has personally dominated the Ti-Cats in his last few appearances. With clear skies and a mild forecast, this one will come down to the quarterbacks.

CFL.ca Eastern Final Preview »

Winnipeg Blue Bombers (11-7) @ Saskatchewan Roughriders (13-5) (Sunday, November 17, 4:30pm ET)

This is the match-up that the Bombers dreamt of all season, although they kinda hoped it would be at home. The division's best offence rolls into Regina to take on the division's best defence, coming off a big upset win thanks for (former Argo) QB Zach Collaros. Saskatchewan's got QB dreams of their own, though: Cody Fajardo, shaking off a mysterious oblique injury, is almost certain to start. The Riders are the favourites, but by how much?

CFL.ca Western Final Preview »

Offence Wins Championships Bonus

Pick the quarterback who will throw for the highest yardage on Sunday.

2019 Passing Stats »

Defence Wins Championships Bonus

Pick the team whose defence will register the most sacks on Sunday.

2019 Defensive Stats »

Example pick: Hamilton by 21, Winnipeg by 14, Harris, Ottawa.

Good luck!

posted by DrJohnEvans at 11:53 PM on November 14, 2019

CFL Playoff Pick 'Em, Semi-Finals Edition

Edmonton by 3
Calgary by 12
Medlock
Under

posted by DrJohnEvans at 10:00 AM on November 08, 2019

CFL Playoff Pick 'Em, Semi-Finals Edition

Edmonton (8-10) @ Montreal (10-8) (Sunday, November 10, 1:00pm ET)

One of the more intriguing crossover matchups in recent history: you could argue that Edmonton has underperformed this year, but in the much tougher division, and (former Argo) Trevor Harris can pile up points in a hurry. But don't count out the Alouettes, who have rebounded from complete disarray to become surprisingly entertaining. Where the heck did Vernon Adams Jr. come from? No snow in the forecast yet, but if that front moves through and the temperature drops, things could get slippery on the Molson turf.

CFL.ca Eastern Semi-Final Preview »

Winnipeg Blue Bombers (11-7) @ Calgary Stampeders (12-6) (Sunday, November 10, 4:30pm ET)

No fresh faces, this will be the third time in four games these two teams match up. Winnipeg slipped out of first place thanks in part to QB chaos, with injuries first to Matty Nichols and then Chris Streveler; but they picked up (former Argo) Zach Collaros at the trade deadline, and he led them to a nailbiting victory over these Stamps two weeks ago in his Bomber debut. Calgary, on the other hand, missed first place by inches, but they've made three straight Grey Cups and you have to believe they're firing on all cylinders. Note the weather forecast: game time high of -10 Celsius in Cowtown.

CFL.ca Western Semi-Final Preview »

Swayze Waters Memorial (Take 2) River Salmon Bonus

Pick the kicker who will score the most points this weekend. That includes place-kick field goals, drop-kick field goals, PATs, singles, fake field goals thrown for touchdowns, and wacky safeties. If the kicker's name is next to it, it counts.

2019 Kicking Stats »

Las Vegas Posse Memorial Bonus

The combined over/under on total points scored for both games is 100.5. Will the actual number of points scored this weekend be OVER or UNDER that total?

Example pick: Edmonton by 1, Winnipeg by 21, Medlock, Over.

Good luck!

posted by DrJohnEvans at 10:45 PM on November 07, 2019

CFL Pick 'Em, Final Standings

Montreal piles on the points to win in Ottawa. Edmonton keeps it close, but Saskatchewan breaks it open in the fourth quarter to clinch the division. Hamilton needs last-minute drama to close out their season with a win, while Calgary hangs on in B.C. to grab that home playoff date.

MTL @ OTTEDM @ SSKTOR @ HAMCGY @ BC
ResultMontreal by 10Saskatchewan by 10Hamilton by 3Calgary by 5
Margin of Error7 to 137 to 132 to 44 to 7

jagsnumberone finishes the season in style, taking the crown by a full fifteen points. I believe that's two new regular season Pick 'Em records: total points scored and margin of victory. Congratulations jags!

At the other end, not even a Costanza Runoff Spreadsheet can stop rcade's march to the Costanza. Congrats, rcade!

SpoFiteMTL @ OTTSEDM @ SSKSTOR @ HAMSCGY @ BCSPointsTotal Points
jagsnumberoneMontreal11Saskatchewan Hamilton Calgary7688
DrJohnEvansMontreal7Saskatchewan12Hamilton Calgary 673
tommytrump 5172
ic23b Saskatchewan 3Calgary 371
argoalMontreal Saskatchewan Calgary 362
JPRMontreal Saskatchewan Hamilton Calgary4561
cixelsyd Saskatchewan10 Hamilton 460
ReeverMontreal Saskatchewan 3Calgary 457
benderMontreal 10 Saskatchewan11Hamilton Calgary 755
Howard_T Saskatchewan Hamilton Calgary 353
rcade Hamilton 146

Thanks to everyone for playing! Stay tuned for the CFL Playoff Pick 'Em!

posted by DrJohnEvans at 09:03 PM on November 05, 2019

CFL Pick 'Em, Week Twenty-One

Montreal by 7
Saskatchewan by 12
Hamilton by 12
Calgary by 16

posted by DrJohnEvans at 01:50 PM on November 01, 2019

CFL Pick 'Em, Week Twenty-One

Winnipeg edges the Stamps with a time-expiring game-winning field goal to stay in the hunt for a home playoff date. Hamilton cruises in Montreal, while Toronto does the same, and Saskatchewan hangs on against Edmonton to hang onto first place.

CGY @ WPGHAM @ MTLOTT @ TORSSK @ EDM
ResultWinnipeg by 1Hamilton by 12Toronto by 30Saskatchewan by 3
Margin of Error1 to 18 to 1621 to 392 to 4

tommytrump's Hail Mary is a good throw, but is intercepted in the end zone and run back for a touchdown. jags has an eleven-point lead heading into the final week.

SpoFite CGY @ WPGS HAM @ MTLS OTT @ TORS SSK @ EDMSPointsTotal Points
jagsnumberone Winnipeg Hamilton10 Toronto Saskatchewan 582
tommytrump 071
ic23b Winnipeg Hamilton Toronto Saskatchewan 468
DrJohnEvans Hamilton Toronto Saskatchewan 367
argoal Hamilton Toronto Saskatchewan4 459
JPR 056
cixelsyd Winnipeg 156
Reever 053
Howard_T 12 Toronto 250
bender Toronto Saskatchewan 248
rcade Toronto Saskatchewan 245

The final week! And we've got a 50% Meaningful Ratio, which is pretty good compared to historical trends.

WEEK 21

Montreal @ Ottawa (Friday, November 1)
Not Meaningful: Montreal rests the starters while Ottawa plays for next year.

Edmonton @ Saskatchewan (Saturday, November 2)
Meaningful: Edmonton has clinched the crossover, but Saskatchewan is still defending first place.

Toronto @ Hamilton (Saturday, November 3)
Not Meaningful: nobody really wants to go to Hamilton anyway.

Calgary @ B.C. (Saturday, October 28)
Meaningful: Calgary's in a tight spot. A win combined with a Saskatchewan loss gives them first place. A loss bumps them down to third. Safe to say they're motivated.

Good luck!

posted by DrJohnEvans at 11:15 PM on October 30, 2019

CFL Pick 'Em, Week Twenty

Calgary by 6
Hamilton by 6
Toronto by 9
Saskatchewan by 6

posted by DrJohnEvans at 12:47 PM on October 25, 2019

CFL Pick 'Em, Week Twenty

Montreal rides a big fourth quarter to guarantee a non-losing record heading into the playoffs. Saskatchewan beats the Lions to stay in the hunt for first. Hamilton cruises over Ottawa, while Calgary wins the back-and-forth over Winnipeg to reclaim first.

TOR @ MTLEDM @ BCOTT @ HAMWPG @ CGY
ResultMontreal by 3Saskatchewn by 8Hamilton by 21Calgary by 4
Margin of Error2 to 46 to 1015 to 273 to 5

jags breaks it open, nailing the Calgary games on the way to a great eight points.

SpoFiteTOR @ MTLSSSK @ BCSOTT @ HAMSWPG @ CGYSPointsTotal Points
jagsnumberoneMontreal Saskatchewan6Hamilton22Calgary 4 877
tommytrumpMontreal Saskatchewan Hamilton 371
DrJohnEvansMontreal Saskatchewan Hamilton16Calgary 564
ic23bMontreal Saskatchewan Hamilton17Calgary3664
JPRMontreal4Saskatchewan Hamilton 456
cixelsyd 055
argoal Saskatchewan Hamilton15Calgary5555
Reever Saskatchewan9Hamilton15Calgary3653
Howard_TMontreal Saskatchewan Hamilton 348
bender 046
rcade 043

Two weeks left and we have tons of unfinished business. Better put on a fresh pot of coffee.

WEEK 20

Calgary @ Winnipeg (Friday, October 25)
This is it: Winnipeg's last chance at first. Maybe their last chance at even hosting a playoff game.

Hamilton @ Montreal (Saturday, October 26)
A possible East Final preview, except with better quality post-game beers.

Ottawa @ Toronto (Saturday, October 26)
All are excited for the annual "Who Can Get More Than Three Wins" bowl.

Saskatchewan @ Edmonton (Saturday, October 26)
Saskatchewan's trying to keep pace with Calgary, while Edmonton plays crossover chicken.

Good luck!

posted by DrJohnEvans at 10:06 PM on October 24, 2019

CFL Pick 'Em, Week Nineteen

Montreal by 9
Saskatchewan by 26
Hamilton by 16
Calgary by 6

posted by DrJohnEvans at 09:24 AM on October 18, 2019

CFL Pick 'Em, Week Nineteen

Toronto holds off the Ottawa comeback to notch a rare win. Calgary hangs on for the win against the Riders to move into first place. Winnipeg solves the Montreal mystery, while Edmonton keeps the Lions out of the end zone.

OTT @ TORSSK @ CGYMTL @ WPGBC @ EDM
ResultToronto by 7Calgary by 2Winnipeg by 11Edmonton by 13
Margin of Error5 to 91 to 38 to 149 to 17

tommy and jags continue to move in lockstep — while Howard_T stays true to his word and scores 7 to move out of the basement.

SpoFiteOTT @ TORSSSK @ CGYSMTL @ WPGSBC @ EDMSPointsTotal Points
jagsnumberoneToronto Calgary Winnipeg Edmonton10569
tommytrumpToronto5Calgary Winnipeg Edmonton 568
DrJohnEvansToronto Calgary3Winnipeg Edmonton 559
ic23bToronto Winnipeg Edmonton 358
cixelsyd Calgary Winnipeg 255
JPR 052
argoalToronto Calgary 250
Reever 047
benderToronto6 Winnipeg10Edmonton 546
Howard_TToronto9Calgary Winnipeg14Edmonton16745
rcadeToronto Edmonton 243

Three! Weeks! Left!

WEEK 19

Toronto @ Montreal (Friday, October 18)
Montreal's locked into second place and a home semi-final. Do they rest the big guns? That would depend on knowing exactly who the big guns are.

Saskatchewan @ B.C. (Friday, October 18)
The Riders got knocked out of first place, but a visit to B.C. might get them right back.

Ottawa @ Hamilton (Saturday, October 19)
Can't we just sim the rest of the East-vs-East games?

Winnipeg @ Calgary (Saturday, October 19)
Uhh if Winnipeg wins and Saskatchewan loses, the Bombers are back in first place. That can't be right, can it?

Good luck!

posted by DrJohnEvans at 10:56 PM on October 17, 2019

CFL Pick 'Em, Week Eighteen

Toronto by 12
Calgary by 3
Winnipeg by 3
Edmonton by 19

posted by DrJohnEvans at 02:37 PM on October 10, 2019

CFL Pick 'Em, Week Eighteen

What Western dominance? Edmonton doesn't even get close in Hamilton, and Montreal locks it down against Calgary. Saskatchewan keeps the Bombers on the skids, and, wow, that's a lot of points.

EDM @ HAMCGY @ MTLWPG @ SSKTOR @ BC
ResultHamilton by 30Montreal by 4Saskatchewan by 15B.C. by 47
Margin of Error21 to 393 to 511 to 2033 to 61

jags and tommy manage to pick almost opposite and still end up neck-and-neck.

SpoFiteEDM @ HAMSCGY @ MTLSWPG @ SSKSTOR @ BCSPointsTotal Points
jagsnumberoneHamilton Saskatchewan B.C. 364
tommytrumpHamilton Montreal3 363
ic23bHamilton 4Saskatchewan B.C. 455
DrJohnEvansHamilton Saskatchewan 254
cixelsydHamilton Saskatchewan B.C. 353
JPR 052
argoalHamilton 4Saskatchewan B.C. 448
ReeverHamilton Saskatchewan B.C. 347
rcade 041
bender Montreal Saskatchewan B.C. 341
Howard_T 038

Given recent trends, the West won't be decided until the last week of the season, and it will be B.C. sneaking up to grab it. (Or not.)

WEEK 18

Ottawa @ Toronto (Friday, October 11)
Getting this game out of the way early. Consider making dinner reservations for Friday night.

Saskatchewan @ Calgary (Friday, October 11)
The fight for first: Calgary currently owns the tiebreaker, so whoever wins claims sole possession of first place in the division.

Montreal @ Winnipeg (Saturday, October 12)
Winnipeg's got their sights set on a home playoff date, but the resurgent Alouettes are making a late-season push.

B.C. @ Edmonton (Saturday, October 12)
Speaking of late-season trends, Edmonton has won one game out of their last six. That said, there's nothing like hosting the Lions for a quick refresher.

Good luck!

posted by DrJohnEvans at 11:47 AM on October 10, 2019

CFL Pick 'Em, Week Seventeen

Hamilton by 3
Calgary by 12
Saskatchewan by 9 (bet the streak)
Toronto by 3

posted by DrJohnEvans at 09:48 AM on October 04, 2019

CFL Pick 'Em, Week Seventeen

Intrigue all around: Hamilton takes down Winnipeg and makes it look easy, Ottawa makes it close against Edmonton, Saskatchewan clinches a playoff berth, and the Lions edge the Als to avoid playoff elimination.

HAM @ WPGEDM @ OTTSSK @ TORMTL @ BC
ResultHamilton by 20Edmonton by 5Saskatchewan by 25B.C. by 2
Margin of Error14 to 264 to 718 to 331 to 3

Intrigue in our little Pick 'Em as well: for the first time in ten weeks, we have a new leader.

SpoFiteHAM @ WPGSEDM @ OTTSSSK @ TORSMTL @ BCSPointsTotal Points
jagsnumberoneHamilton Edmonton7Saskatchewan20 561
tommytrump Edmonton Saskatchewan24B.C. 460
DrJohnEvansHamilton 152
JPR Edmonton5 Saskatchewan B.C.2752
ic23b Edmonton Saskatchewan 251
cixelsyd Edmonton Saskatchewan B.C. 350
Reever Edmonton Saskatchewan B.C. 344
argoal Edmonton Saskatchewan B.C. 344
rcade Edmonton Saskatchewan 241
bender Saskatchewan B.C. 238
Howard_T Edmonton Saskatchewan 238

I haven't seen a three-way virtual tie atop the West since Saskatchewan was in the East.

WEEK 17

Edmonton @ Hamilton (Friday, October 4)
Here's our first opportunity. Hamilton can clinch the division with a win and a Montreal loss. But Edmonton's still fending off a late B.C. rush.

Calgary @ Montreal (Saturday, October 5)
Speaking of late rushes, Montreal will be looking to stay in the hunt. But Calgary's coming off a bye and four straight wins.

Winnipeg @ Saskatchewan (Saturday, October 5)
Trending in the wrong direction, Winnipeg has lost two in a row and has surrended first place to two other teams. One of them is Saskatchewan: everyone's fate is in their own hands.

Toronto @ B.C. (Monday, October 5)
B.C. can still make the playoffs. Toronto cannot.

Good luck!

posted by DrJohnEvans at 10:20 PM on October 03, 2019

CFL Pick 'Em, Week Sixteen

Hamilton by 12

posted by DrJohnEvans at 06:32 PM on September 27, 2019

CFL Pick 'Em, Week Sixteen

Toronto makes a run, but can't complete the comeback against Calgary. Hamilton topples Edmonton at home. The Als score three fourth-quarter touchdowns to complete a stunning comeback against the Bombers, while the Lions leave Ottawa just dreaming of touchdowns.

CGY @ TORHAM @ EDMWPG @ MTLBC @ OTT
ResultCalgary by 7Hamilton by 3Montreal by 1B.C. by 33
Margin of Error5 to 92 to 41 to 123 to 43

How about this? jags nails the Hamilton win on the way to six points and a share of the lead.

SpoFiteCGY @ TORSHAM @ EDMSWPG @ MTLSBC @ OTTSPointsTotal Points
tommytrumpCalgary Montreal 256
jagsnumberoneCalgary Hamilton 3 Montreal B.C. 656
DrJohnEvansCalgary Hamilton 251
ic23bCalgary6 3 B.C. 449
cixelsydCalgary9Hamilton B.C. 447
JPRCalgary6Hamilton4 B.C. 545
Reever Hamilton B.C. 241
argoal Hamilton4 B.C. 341
rcade 039
benderCalgary 1 236
Howard_TCalgary Hamilton Montreal 336

Bloop!

WEEK 16

Hamilton @ Winnipeg (Friday, September 27)
Here's a Fun Fact for this battle of division leaders: Winnipeg hasn't beaten an Eastern team since Week 6.

Edmonton @ Ottawa (Saturday, September 28)
Edmonton's gone cold, losing four straight. Fortunately for them, Ottawa's scored 12 points in its last two games.

Saskatchewan @ Toronto (Saturday, September 28)
A lot on the line in this one: the Riders have a home playoff date in their sights, and Toronto... is a pleasant place to spend a Saturday afternoon in late September.

Montreal @ B.C. (Saturday, September 28)
I definitely missed the point at which Montreal got themselves a winning record.

Good luck!

posted by DrJohnEvans at 10:51 PM on September 26, 2019

CFL Pick 'Em, Week Fifteen

Calgary by 12
Hamilton by 9
Winnipeg by 12
Ottawa by 12

posted by DrJohnEvans at 04:05 PM on September 20, 2019

CFL Pick 'Em, Week Fifteen

The Lions trounce the reeling Redblacks, Calgary blocks a game-winning Hamilton field goal to hang on, and Saskatchewan beats the back-and-forth.

OTT @ BCHAM @ CGYMTL @ SSK
ResultB.C. by 24Calgary by 1Saskatchewan by 2
Margin of Error17 to 311 to 11 to 3

Even with a reduced slate, tommytrump still finds a way to pad the lead.

SpoFiteOTT @ BCSHAM @ CGYSMTL @ SSKSPointsTotal Points
tommytrump Calgary Saskatchewan 254
jagsnumberone Saskatchewan 150
DrJohnEvans Calgary Saskatchewan 249
ic23bB.C. Calgary Saskatchewan 345
cixelsydB.C. Saskatchewan 243
JPR Calgary Saskatchewan3340
rcade Calgary 139
ReeverB.C. Calgary Saskatchewan3439
argoalB.C. Calgary 238
bender Saskatchewan1234
Howard_TB.C. Calgary Saskatchewan 333

Seven weeks to go and nothing has been decided. Even B.C. could go on a run and grab a playoff spot. [They won't. — Ed.]

WEEK 15

Calgary @ Toronto (Friday, September 20)
Calgary is still in striking distance of first place, and Toronto has been... uh, playing a bit better lately?

Hamilton @ Edmonton (Friday, September 20)
Jeremiah who? Hamilton's sitting pretty on top of the East and can afford to experiment. Edmonton, meanwhile, still has a very real shot at a home playoff date.

Winnipeg @ Montreal (Saturday, September 21)
Speaking of former backup quarterbacks, Chris Streveler's beard alone could win the West.

B.C. @ Ottawa (Saturday, September 21)
I can't believe they're making these teams play each other again.

Good luck!

posted by DrJohnEvans at 10:34 PM on September 19, 2019

CFL Pick 'Em, Week Fourteen

tommytrump, you're right - I have it correct in my spreadsheet, but missed it when copying to the table.

posted by DrJohnEvans at 11:47 AM on September 13, 2019

CFL Pick 'Em, Week Fourteen

Ottawa by 9
Calgary by 3
Saskatchewan by 9

posted by DrJohnEvans at 11:47 AM on September 13, 2019

CFL Pick 'Em, Week Fourteen

As predicted, Montreal cruises to victory over the visiting Lions. Toronto wins the turnover game for their first blowout win of the year in Ottawa. Winnipeg scores 28 in the first half to handle the Riders and maintain first place, while Calgary makes it two in a row against Edmonton.

BC @ MTLTOR @ OTTSSK @ WPGCGY @ EDM
ResultMontreal by 5Toronto by 29Winnipeg by 25Calgary by 16
Margin of Error4 to 720 to 3818 to 3311 to 21

A nice scattering of margin hits but tommytrump holds serve.

SpoFiteBC @ MTLSTOR @ OTTSSSK @ WPGSCGY @ EDMSPointsTotal Points
tommytrump Winnipeg Calgary11452
jagsnumberoneMontreal4 Winnipeg Calgary 449
DrJohnEvansMontreal6Toronto Winnipeg 447
ic23bMontreal Calgary 242
cixelsydMontreal Toronto Winnipeg Calgary 441
rcade Calgary 138
JPRMontreal4 Winnipeg Calgary 437
argoalMontreal7Toronto Winnipeg 436
ReeverMontreal4Toronto Calgary 435
bender Calgary 132
jjzucal 031
Howard_TMontreal Winnipeg 230

Our last three-pack of the season. Celebrate with a rouge and a safety!

WEEK 14

Ottawa @ B.C. (Friday, September 13)
I don't think either of these teams are destined for the playoffs.

Hamilton @ Calgary (Saturday, September 14)
Hamilton has won four in a row and is coming off a bye, but some tuning may still be required: two of those wins were tight ones against a lousy Lions team, and Calgary is always a tough place to play.

Montreal @ Saskatchewan (Saturday, September 14)
The Intrigue Bowl: Saskatchewan's run was stopped in Winnipeg last week, while Montreal's momentum has carried them into a playoff spot.

Good luck!

posted by DrJohnEvans at 12:13 PM on September 12, 2019

CFL Pick 'Em, Week Thirteen

Montreal by 6
Toronto by 3
Winnipeg by 6
Edmonton by 12 (Trevor Harris Magic)

posted by DrJohnEvans at 03:01 PM on September 06, 2019

CFL Pick 'Em, Week Thirteen

A very productive Labour Day weekend: the Riders win a tight one over Winnipeg, Hamilton completes the comeback over Toronto, and Calgary keeps Edmonton out of the end zone.

Thanks as well to Reever for managing the post last week!

WPG @ SSKTOR @ HAMEDM @ CGY
ResultSaskatchewan by 2Hamilton by 11Calgary by 16
Margin of Error1 to 38 to 1411 to 21

The middle of the pack racks up solid points over the last couple of weeks, but tommytrump keeps pace with a 3-point lead.

SpoFiteWPG @ SSKSTOR @ HAMSEDM @ CGYSPointsTotal Points
tommytrumpSaskatchewan Hamilton Calgary11448
jagsnumberoneSaskatchewan3Hamilton Calgary 445
DrJohnEvansSaskatchewan3Hamilton 343
ic23bSaskatchewan Hamilton12Calgary 440
cixelsydSaskatchewan Hamilton 237
rcadeSaskatchewan Hamilton Calgary 337
JPRSaskatchewan Hamilton 233
argoalSaskatchewan3 Calgary 332
benderSaskatchewan Calgary 231
jjzucal 031
ReeverSaskatchewan Hamilton 231
Howard_TSaskatchewan Hamilton Calgary 328


Breaking a run of slates with heavy favourites, there are a couple of compelling coin tosses this week.

WEEK 13

B.C. @ Montreal (Friday, September 6)
B.C. hasn't been as bad as their record shows. But man, that record is terrible.

Toronto @ Ottawa (Saturday, September 7)
As bad as the Argos have been, they've been competitive in their last couple of games - and a reeling Ottawa team may be their best chance to notch a second win.

Saskatchewan @ Winnipeg (Saturday, September 7)
The Banjo Bowl is the legit game of the week. If Saskatchewan wins, they take over first place in the West. If Winnipeg wins, they're cruisin'.

Calgary @ Edmonton (Saturday, September 7)
Is it too early to call this the Crossover Bowl? (Probably.)

Good luck!

posted by DrJohnEvans at 04:25 PM on September 05, 2019

CFL Pick ‘Em, Week Twelve

Here are the results and standings from last week:

WPG @ EDMOTT @ SSKHAM @ BCMTL @ TOR
ResultWinnipeg by 6Saskatchewan by 22Hamilton by 3Montreal by 6
Margin of Error4 to 815 to 292 to 44 to 8

Shout out to rcade for a nifty NINE points!

SpoFiteEDM @ HAMSTOR @ MTLSWPG @ CGYSSSK @ BCSPointsTotal Points
tommytrump Saskatchewan Hamilton Montreal 344
jagsnumberoneWinnipeg Saskatchewan Hamilton Montreal 441
DrJohnEvansWinnipeg Saskatchewan Hamilton Montreal 440
ic23b Saskatchewan Hamilton4Montreal 436
cixelsyd Saskatchewan Montreal 235
rcadeWinnipeg Saskatchewan16Hamilton3Montreal6 934
jjzucal Saskatchewan Hamilton3 431
JPR Saskatchewan Hamilton3Montreal7631
argoal Saskatchewan B.C. Montreal6 529
benderWinnipeg4Saskatchewan Montreal6 629
Reever Saskatchewan B.C. Montreal8 429
Howard_T Saskatchewan 125

posted by DrJohnEvans at 10:08 PM on September 04, 2019

CFL Pick ‘Em, Week Twelve

[this space intentionally left blank]

posted by DrJohnEvans at 10:08 PM on September 04, 2019

CFL Pick 'Em, Week Eleven

Turns out this week's MTL-TOR game is Touchdown Atlantic!

Winnipeg by 3
Saskatchewan by 12
Hamilton by 6
Montreal by 12

And picks for Week 12:

Saskatchewan by 3
Hamilton by 21
Edmonton by 6

posted by DrJohnEvans at 12:46 PM on August 21, 2019

CFL Pick 'Em, Week Eleven

The favourites carry the day: Winnipeg coasts over B.C., Edmonton stomps Toronto, and Hamilton stifles Ottawa. The exception is Montreal, who ties the game with regulation time expiring, then outguns the Stamps in OT to shock the Calgary faithful.

BC @ WPGEDM @ TORHAM @ OTTMTL @ CGY
ResultWinnipeg by 16Edmonton by 15Hamilton by 14Montreal by 6
Margin of Error11 to 2111 to 2010 to 184 to 8

tommytrump keeps pace with the pack, but things get interesting at the bottom, with seven players within four points of last place.

SpoFiteBC @ WPGSEDM @ TORSHAM @ OTTSMTL @ CGYSPointsTotal Points
tommytrumpWinnipeg11Edmonton11 441
jagsnumberoneWinnipeg Edmonton16Hamilton 437
DrJohnEvansWinnipeg12Edmonton12Hamilton12 636
cixelsydWinnipeg Edmonton14Hamilton10 533
ic23bWinnipeg17Edmonton Hamilton 432
jjzucal 027
ReeverWinnipeg Hamilton 225
rcadeWinnipeg14 225
JPRWinnipeg Edmonton Hamilton 325
argoalWinnipeg Hamilton 224
Howard_TWinnipeg17Edmonton19Hamilton 524
bender Edmonton Hamilton18 323

Eleven weeks to go!

WEEK 11

Winnipeg @ Edmonton (Friday, August 23)
Two weeks ago, Calgary had a chance to dethrone the Bombers, and couldn't do it. Can Edmonton?

Ottawa @ Saskatchewan (Saturday, August 24)
Saskatchewan has won four straight to rise from the West basement, and will be fresh off a bye. Ottawa... uh, demoted their offensive coordinator.

Hamilton @ B.C. (Saturday, August 24)
The Ti-Cats are on a roll of their own and should be favourites going into this game. But: B.C. played them pretty tough two weeks ago, and Vancouver is never an easy place to play (football).

Montreal @ Toronto (Sunday, August 25)
At a Jays-Expos game in 2001, I saw Vlad Guerrero Sr get thrown out at third base trying to stretch a double into a triple. This game will probably be somewhat less exciting.

Good luck!

posted by DrJohnEvans at 10:47 PM on August 20, 2019

CFL Pick 'Em, Week Ten

Winnipeg by 12
Edmonton by 12
Hamilton by 12
Calgary by 12

posted by DrJohnEvans at 12:14 PM on August 15, 2019

CFL Pick 'Em, Week Ten

Nailbiters across the board! Winnipeg hangs on to edge the Stamps, Saskatchewan wins by a single score in a (rare!) weather-shortened game in Montreal, Edmonton scores a late 6 for the win against Ottawa, and Hamilton needed every single point of their comeback to beat the Lions.

CGY @ WPGSSK @ MTLOTT @ EDMBC @ HAM
ResultWinnipeg by 2Saskatchewan by 7Edmonton by 4Hamilton by 1
Margin of Error1 to 35 to 93 to 51 to 1

tommytrump nets a handy five points, expanding his first place lead to four, while rcade makes up for last week's 0-fer with a nice six points.

SpoFiteCGY @ WPGSSSK @ MTLSOTT @ EDMSBC @ HAMSPointsTotal Points
tommytrumpWinnipeg Saskatchewan8Edmonton Hamilton 537
jagsnumberoneWinnipeg Edmonton Hamilton 333
DrJohnEvans 7Edmonton Hamilton 330
cixelsydWinnipeg 7Edmonton Hamilton 428
ic23bWinnipeg Edmonton3Hamilton 428
jjzucalWinnipeg Saskatchewan Edmonton Hamilton 427
Reever 023
rcadeWinnipeg Saskatchewan6Edmonton3Hamilton 623
JPR 022
argoalWinnipeg Saskatchewan Edmonton Hamilton 422
bender Hamilton 120
Howard_T 019

It's normal for a few teams to be struggling, but unfortunately for them, this week they all play teams who are not.

WEEK 10

BC @ Winnipeg (Thursday, August 15)
B.C. has won one game. By one point. Against the Argos. Not much to build your hopes on.

Edmonton @ Toronto (Friday, August 16)
Zach Collaros rumour watch is in full effect. If you hear anything, let me know.

Hamilton @ Ottawa (Saturday, August 17)
Remember when Ottawa was good? All they had to do was pay Trevor Harris a somewhat reasonable amount of money, and they might not be in danger of crossover.

Montreal @ Calgary (Saturday, August 17)
Montreal's gone 0-2 out of their bye, and things don't get any easier this week.

Good luck!

posted by DrJohnEvans at 10:37 PM on August 14, 2019

CFL Pick 'Em, Week Nine

Calgary by 9
Montreal by 7
Edmonton by 12
Hamilton by 9

posted by DrJohnEvans at 09:54 AM on August 08, 2019

CFL Pick 'Em, Week Nine

Hamilton hangs tough in their first game with the backup squad, but the Riders mount the comeback for the win. Ottawa needs overtime to do it, but they're able to put a stop to Montreal's winning strea. Calgary rides a big third quarter to a solid win over Edmonton. And Toronto ... hang on ... double-checking ... Toronto wins?!

WPG @ TORHAM @ SSKOTT @ MTLEDM @ CGY
ResultToronto by 1Saskatchewan by 5Ottawa by 3Calgary by 6
Margin of Error1 to 14 to 72 to 44 to 8

Lots of churn futher down the rankings, but tommytrump holds off the challengers this week.

SpoFiteWPG @ TORSHAM @ SSKSOTT @ MTLSEDM @ CGYSPointsTotal Points
tommytrump Saskatchewan Calgary7332
jagsnumberone Saskatchewan Calgary4330
DrJohnEvans Saskatchewan Calgary6427
cixelsyd Saskatchewan7 224
ic23b Saskatchewan7 Calgary 324
jjzucal Saskatchewan Ottawa 223
Reever Saskatchewan7 3 323
JPR Saskatchewan 3Calgary 322
Howard_T Saskatchewan Ottawa 219
benderToronto Saskatchewan 3Calgary 419
argoal Saskatchewan4 218
rcade 017
On the line this week: first place in the West. Also third place in the East.

WEEK 9

Calgary @ Winnipeg (Thursday, August 8)
Winnipeg comes home after a disastrous road trip to find themselves tied for first - against the team that's coming to visit.

Saskatchewan @ Montreal (Friday, August 9)
Ah yes, the annual Somewhat More Competitive Than I'd Thought They'd Be Bowl. Book your hotel suites now!

Ottawa @ Edmonton (Friday, August 9)
Ottawa finally broke their losing streak, but their points differential is still -60 over their last five games. I don't have a great feeling about this week.

B.C. @ Hamilton (Saturday, August 10)
Speaking of bad feelings, the Lions are in a deep, deep hole with no sign of light. But Hamilton still needs someone to throw the ball.

Good luck!

posted by DrJohnEvans at 11:13 PM on August 07, 2019

CFL Pick 'Em, Week Eight

Chickening out: Calgary by 6

posted by DrJohnEvans at 04:10 PM on August 03, 2019

CFL Pick 'Em, Week Eight

Winnipeg by 26
Saskatchewan by 9
Montreal by 16
Tie

posted by DrJohnEvans at 12:58 PM on August 01, 2019

CFL Pick 'Em, Week Eight

It's a nailbiter in Ottawa, but Calgary converts the game-winning drive. Less so in Edmonton, where the Argos... uh... don't score. Hamilton comes out strong to stop the Bomber streak, but they lose QB Masoli in the process; while out west, Saskatchewan strongly asserts their claim to 4th place.

CGY @ OTTTOR @ EDMWPG @ HAMSSK @ BC
ResultCalgary by 1Edmonton by 26Hamilton by 8Saskatchewan by 27
Margin of Error1 to 118 to 346 to 1019 to 35

Another week, another lead change: tommytrump bags seven to grab the top spot.

SpoFiteEDM @ MTLSTOR @ WPGSOTT @ HAMSCGY @ SSKSPointsTotal Points
tommytrumpCalgary Edmonton18Hamilton8Saskatchewan 729
jagsnumberoneCalgary Edmonton Saskatchewan20427
DrJohnEvansCalgary Edmonton Hamilton6 423
cixelsydCalgary Edmonton Saskatchewan 322
ic23bCalgary Edmonton Saskatchewan 321
jjzucal Edmonton18Hamilton Saskatchewan 421
ReeverCalgary Edmonton Hamilton Saskatchewan 420
JPR 019
rcade Edmonton Saskatchewan 217
Howard_TCalgary Edmonton Hamilton Saskatchewan 417
argoalCalgary Edmonton Saskatchewan 316
bender Edmonton Saskatchewan 215

The CFL continues be allergic to the August long weekend, possibly because BC/Civic/Heritage/Simcoe/Natal/NB/SSK Day has a different name in every province: a marketing nightmare!

WEEK 8

Winnipeg @ Toronto (Thursday, August 1)
Toronto has acquired injured QB Zach Collaros to replace injured QB James Franklin. I'm not entirely sure that's how it's supposed to work.

Hamilton @ Saskatchewan (Thursday, August 1)
Hamilton was just getting on a roll, but have lost Masoli for the season to a torn ACL. They've brought in David Watford, who is definitely a real person and not a fictional 1930s British detective.

Ottawa @ Montreal (Friday, August 2)
So... Montreal is good now? And Ottawa is bad now? Am I reading this right?

Edmonton @ Calgary (Saturday, August 3)
These two teams have very similar stat lines and are currently tied for second place. If you were going to pick a tie this season, now's the time.

Good luck!

posted by DrJohnEvans at 03:38 PM on July 31, 2019

CFL Pick 'Em, Week Seven

Calgary by 12
Edmonton by 12
Hamilton by 6
B.C. by 12

posted by DrJohnEvans at 05:36 PM on July 25, 2019

CFL Pick 'Em, Week Seven

Toronto makes it respectable, but eventually loses the handle for their fifth loss of the season. Winnipeg thumps Ottawa and it definitely wasn't respectable. Montreal keeps surprising all most of us, winning their third straight, while the Riders ride the home momentum to win the barnburner.

TOR @ CGYOTT @ WPGEDM @ MTLBC @ SSK
ResultCalgary by 10Winnipeg by 30Montreal by 10Saskatchewan by 13
Margin of Error7 to 1321 to 397 to 139 to 17

jags scores six points for the second week in a row, and takes sole possession of first place.

SpoFiteTOR @ CGYSOTT @ WPGSEDM @ MTLSBC @ SSKSPointsTotal Points
jagsnumberoneCalgary Winnipeg Montreal Saskatchewan9523
tommytrumpCalgary Winnipeg 10Saskatchewan 422
JPRCalgary7Winnipeg Saskatchewan 419
DrJohnEvansCalgary Winnipeg Saskatchewan 319
cixelsydCalgary Winnipeg Montreal Saskatchewan9519
ic23bCalgary Winnipeg Montreal Saskatchewan14518
jjzucalCalgary Winnipeg Montreal Saskatchewan13617
ReeverCalgary10 Winnipeg Saskatchewan 516
rcadeCalgary 115
Howard_TCalgary 113
argoalCalgary11Winnipeg Montreal 413
benderCalgary Winnipeg Montreal Saskatchewan16513

One tough call, two gimmes, and a classic "why is this happening".

WEEK 7

Calgary @ Ottawa (Thursday, July 25)
Two teams headed in opposite directions: Calgary's won two of three, while Ottawa's lost three straight, including a rouge-only embarrassment last week.

Toronto @ Edmonton (Thursday, July 25)
Edmonton's run hot and cold so far, and I don't quite know what to make of them. I do know what to make of the Argos: they are bad.

Winnipeg @ Hamilton (Friday, July 26)
Battle of the division leaders: Hamilton's fattened up on East division pickings but has been no slouch in their two West match-ups. Winnipeg, however, has turned away all challengers. When does it end?

Saskatchewan @ B.C. (Saturday, July 27)
It feels like these two teams could just play each other every week for the rest of the year, and that would be just fine by me.

Good luck!

posted by DrJohnEvans at 11:22 AM on July 24, 2019

CFL Pick 'Em, Week Six

Calgary by 29
Winnipeg by 6
Edmonton by 9
Saskatchewan by 6

posted by DrJohnEvans at 10:55 AM on July 18, 2019

CFL Pick 'Em, Week Six

Edmonton comes strong out of their bye week, limiting the Lions to field goals only. Out in Winnipeg, Toronto finally puts up some offence, but the defence and special teams let them down again. In the nation's capital, Montreal wins! Again! While Hamilton grits out a gritty win against Calgary.

EDM @ BCTOR @ WPGMTL @ OTTCGY @ HAM
ResultEdmonton by 27Winnipeg by 27Montreal by 17Hamilton by 7
Margin of Error19 to 3519 to 3512 to 225 to 9

jags bets big and nails the Winnipeg spread to jump into a tie for first.

SpoFiteEDM @ BCSTOR @ WPGSMTL @ OTTSCGY @ HAMSPointsTotal Points
tommytrumpEdmonton Winnipeg Hamilton8418
jagsnumberoneEdmonton22Winnipeg27 Hamilton 618
DrJohnEvansEdmonton Winnipeg 216
JPREdmonton Winnipeg 315
cixelsydEdmonton Winnipeg 214
rcadeEdmonton Winnipeg23 Hamilton 414
ic23bEdmonton Winnipeg23 313
Howard_TEdmonton Winnipeg 212
ReeverEdmonton Winnipeg Montreal Hamilton6511
jjzucalEdmonton Winnipeg Montreal Hamilton6511
argoalEdmonton Winnipeg Hamilton 39
bender 08

This week's narratives nearly wrote themselves, but I still had to step in at the last minute.

WEEK 6

Toronto @ Calgary (Thursday, July 18)
Calgary has definitely performed below expectations so far, but I'm gonna go ahead and say this is not the week the Argos get their first win.

Ottawa @ Winnipeg (Friday, July 19)
Speaking of expectations, who expectated Winnipeg to be 4-0 to start the season? With a chance to make it five straight, with a scuffling Ottawa team in town.

Edmonton @ Montreal (Saturday, July 20)
The classic rematch of the 2002-03-05 Grey Cups, with juggernaut Montreal hosting the upstart Edmontoners. What year is it?

B.C. @ Saskatchewan (Saturday, July 20)
Whew, both these teams are pretty bad. But both would probably be in first place if they were in the East.

Good luck!

posted by DrJohnEvans at 11:56 PM on July 17, 2019

CFL Pick 'Em, Week Five

Edmonton by 10
Winnipeg by 12
Ottawa by 3
Calgary by 9

posted by DrJohnEvans at 10:23 AM on July 10, 2019

CFL Pick 'Em, Week Five

Montreal shocks the world and puts a stop to the Hamilton streak. Winnipeg's streak remains intact with a solid all-around win in Ottawa. Unfortunately, Toronto's streak does too, as B.C. wins on a time-expiring rouge. Out west, the Stamps get back in the saddle with a dominant win in Saskatchewan.

HAM @ MTLWPG @ OTTBC @ TORCGY @ SSK
ResultMontreal by 7Winnipeg by 15B.C. by 1Calgary by 27
Margin of Error5 to 911 to 201 to 119 to 35

With the Montreal upset and some weird margins, a tough week for points.

SpoFiteHAM @ MTLSWPG @ OTTSBC @ TORSCGY @ SSKSPointsTotal Points
tommytrump Winnipeg B.C. 214
DrJohnEvans B.C. Calgary 214
JPR 013
jagsnumberone B.C. 112
cixelsyd Winnipeg B.C. 212
rcade 010
Howard_T B.C. 110
ic23b B.C. 110
bender B.C. 18
Reever 06
jjzucal B.C. 16
argoal Winnipeg B.C. Calgary 36

Another week! They just keep on coming.

WEEK 5

Edmonton @ B.C. (Thursday, July 11)
B.C.'s a BMO rouge away from being winless. It's early, but they need to start showing up, particularly in their own division, if they're going to challenge for a crossover.

Toronto @ Winnipeg (Friday, July 12)
Usually when two streaks are on the line, I say something's gotta give. But not this time. Nothing needs to give, this time.

Montreal @ Ottawa (Saturday, July 13)
If Montreal can put in a repeat performance, we could have a pretty interesting East division this year.

Calgary @ Hamilton (Saturday, July 13)
Hamilton's 3-1 and haven't really come up against a good team yet. That's going to change.

Good luck!

posted by DrJohnEvans at 11:18 PM on July 09, 2019

CFL Pick 'Em, Week Four

Hamilton by 9
Ottawa by 10
B.C. by 16
Calgary by 9

posted by DrJohnEvans at 09:43 AM on July 04, 2019

CFL Pick 'Em, Week Four

ic23b: fair enough! If there are conflicting picks I usually take the last one, but what you say makes sense. Will update in next week's standings.

posted by DrJohnEvans at 09:42 AM on July 04, 2019

CFL Pick 'Em, Week Four

How about that - Winnipeg scores early and often to hand Edmonton its first loss. Hamilton keeps scoring and rolls over Montreal. The Stamps complete the comeback to hand B.C. their third straight loss. And out in the cold northwest, the Franklin Expedition has gotten stuck in the ice.

EDM @ WPGMTL @ HAMBC @ CGYTOR @ SSK
ResultWinnipeg by 7Hamilton by 31Calgary by 4Saskatchewan by 25
Margin of Error5 to 922 to 403 to 518 to 33

JPR nails the Calgary comeback to slide into first place. And a special welcome back to longtime pick 'em favourite argoal!

SpoFiteEDM @ WPGSMTL @ HAMSBC @ CGYSTOR @ SSKSPointsTotal Points
JPR Hamilton Calgary 4 Saskatchewan 513
DrJohnEvans Hamilton Calgary 3 Saskatchewan 412
tommytrumpWinnipeg 7 Hamilton Calgary 512
jagsnumberoneWinnipeg Hamilton Calgary Saskatchewan 411
rcade Hamilton Calgary Saskatchewan20410
cixelsyd Hamilton Calgary4 Saskatchewan 510
Howard_T Hamilton Calgary Saskatchewan2249
ic23b Calgary Saskatchewan2838
benderWinnipeg Hamilton Saskatchewan 37
Reever Hamilton Calgary Saskatchewan 36
jjzucal Calgary Saskatchewan 25
argoal Hamilton Calgary Saskatchewan 33

We're 14.2% of the way through the season and trends are starting to coalesce into patterns, which will then liquefy into predictions, which will then evaporate into thin air.

WEEK 4

Hamilton @ Montreal (Thursday, July 4)
Strength of schedule, etc. etc. but man, Hamilton could drop 40 points 3 weeks in a row.

Winnipeg @ Ottawa (Friday, July 5)
A good job by the CFL schedule makers to keep pitting undefeated teams against each other. Who'll beat the streak?

B.C. @ Toronto (Saturday, July 6)
Both these teams are bad! One is much worse than the other.

Calgary @ Saskatchewan (Saturday, July 6)
It's early, but neither of these teams has particularly impressed out of the gate. No time like the present for a season turning point.

Good luck!

posted by DrJohnEvans at 02:32 PM on July 03, 2019

CFL Pick 'Em, Week Three

Edmonton by 11
Hamilton by 21
Calgary by 3
Saskatchewan by 9

posted by DrJohnEvans at 01:34 PM on June 26, 2019

CFL Pick 'Em, Week Three

It's a classic Rough/Rider barnburner in Ottawa as the Redblacks hang on for the win. New QB Trevor Harris continues to impress by putting up more big numbers for Edmonton. Less impressive were the Argonauts in their home opener.

SSK @ OTTBC @ EDMHAM @ TOR
ResultOttawa by 3Edmonton by 16Hamilton by 50
Margin of Error2 to 411 to 2135 to 65

Two weeks in, two fresh ties for first.

SpoFiteSSK @ OTTSWPG @ MTLSHAM @ EDMSPointsTotal Points
JPROttawa3 Edmonton Hamilton 58
DrJohnEvansOttawa Edmonton16 Hamilton 58
tommytrumpOttawa Edmonton 27
jagsnumberoneOttawa4Edmonton Hamilton 47
rcadeOttawa 16
cixelsydOttawa Hamilton 25
ic23bOttawa Edmonton Hamilton 35
Howard_TOttawa Edmonton14Hamilton 45
bender Edmonton Hamilton 24
jjzucalOttawa 13
ReeverOttawa Edmonton 23

Back to a four-game slate for the Canada Day weekend.

WEEK 3

Edmonton @ Winnipeg (Thursday, June 27)
The last two teams in the West without a loss! Whose streak are you gona take?

Montreal @ Hamilton (Friday, June 28)
It's early, but Hamlton is leading the league in points scored. It is early.

B.C. @ Calgary (Saturday, June 29)
Don't worry everybody, Mike Reilly has shaved his beard.

Toronto @ Saskatchewan (Monday, July 1)
The defences for these two teams have given up nearly the same number of points. Unfortunately, Saskatchewan's played two games while Toronto's only played one.

Good luck!

posted by DrJohnEvans at 09:13 AM on June 26, 2019

CFL Pick 'Em, Week Two

Ottawa by 11
Edmonton by 16
Hamilton by 9

posted by DrJohnEvans at 12:06 PM on June 20, 2019

CFL Pick 'Em, Week Two

Entertainment across the board! Hamilton hangs on against Saskatchewan to win their home opener; Montreal has a big fourth quarter but it's not enough to beat Edmonton; Ottawa's fourth quarter, on the other hand, does the trick; and Winnipeg's big second half gets the job done against the Lions.

SSK @ HAMMTL @ EDMOTT @ CGYWPG @ BC
ResultHamilton by 6Edmonton by 7Ottawa by 4Winnipeg by 10
Margin of Error4 to 85 to 93 to 57 to 13

tommytrump nails the Winnipeg win, while rcade takes the 4/4 approach, and each grab a share of first place out of the gate.

SpoFiteSSK @ HAMSMTL @ EDMSOTT @ CGYSWPG @ BCSPointsTotal Points
tommytrumpHamilton Edmonton Winnipeg10 55
rcadeHamilton Edmonton Ottawa Winnipeg9 55
cixelsydHamilton Edmonton Winnipeg 33
jagsnumberoneHamilton Edmonton 4 33
DrJohnEvans Edmonton Winnipeg1133
JPR Edmonton8 4 33
jjzucal 6Edmonton 22
benderHamilton Ottawa 22
ic23b Edmonton Winnipeg 22
Howard_T Edmonton 11
Reever Edmonton 11

Too early to look at playoff seeding? Never!

WEEK 2

Saskatchewan @ Ottawa (Thursday, June 20)
These two played each other in Week 2 of last year as well, which saves a lot of wear and tear on my keyboard.

B.C. @ Edmonton (Friday, June 21)
Last year's battle of the basement led to B.C. edging Edmonton in the crossover battle. Edmonton spent the winter plotting their revenge, and they've come up with... Trevor Harris?

Hamilton @ Toronto (Saturday, June 22)
These two teams have a lot of questions to answer. For Hamilton: can they finally get that East division title? For Toronto: who exactly is on the roster this year? At least a home opener bobblehead giveaway is a good way to find out.

Good luck!

posted by DrJohnEvans at 03:44 PM on June 18, 2019

The 15th Annual chicobangs Memorial SpoFi CFL Pick 'Em

Saskatchewan by 11
Edmonton by 3
Calgary by 9
Winnipeg by 11

posted by DrJohnEvans at 08:58 PM on June 13, 2019

The 15th Annual chicobangs Memorial SpoFi CFL Pick 'Em

THE PICK 'EM - What we do

It's a Canadian tradition: every June, we celebrate the reappearance of the sun by drop-kicking a frozen pig through the last remaining pair of icicles. Then we go back inside to watch football until there's more than 6 hours of sunlight each day (July 27 through August 8). We kill time by picking winners and spreads for each game. Why not join us?

THE SEASON - When we do it

The season kicks off this Thursday night and runs for 20 weeks through the summer. There are generally four games per week, mostly running from Thursday to Sunday.

If you're in Canada, you'll find the games on TSN. If you're in the States or elsewhere, there's some sort of newfangled streaming option, along with occasional games on ESPN when they run out of poker content.

THE RULES - How we do it

Here's how it works. You pick who you think will win, and by how much. You then get points based on the result:

  • Picked the winner? You get 1 point.
  • Picked the winner, and a spread within the Margin of Error? You get 2 points.
  • Picked the winner, and you nailed the spread right on? You get 3 points.
  • Didn't pick the winner, but nailed the spread right on? You get 1 point.

What's the Margin of Error?

It's a window around the spread that's defined as

spread - round(0.3 * spread) <= Margin of Error <= spread + round(0.3 * spread)

So you can get rewarded for being close to the spread even if you're not spot-on. The bigger the spread, the bigger the margin of error, so you don't have to be as accurate when predicting a blowout as you would when predicting a close game. Here are some examples:

Actual Spread Margin Starts at Margin Ends at
111
435
759
11814
201426

So if you picked Toronto by 15, here's how you'd fare given certain outcomes:

OutcomeYour score
Toronto by 202 points (winner + spread within MoE)
Toronto by 101 point (winner only)
Toronto by 153 points (winner + nailed spread)
Hamilton by 151 point (nailed spread only)
Hamilton by 430 points (and deservedly so)

Any questions?

THE GAMES, WEEK ONE - Where we start

In lieu of attempting to sum up each team's status in a single sentence, for this opening week I'm just linking to season preview pages for each of 'em. Some previews are still in the works; will update as they become available.

All times are EDT.

Saskatchewan Roughriders (Preview) @ Hamilton Tiger-Cats (Preview) - Thursday, June 13, 7:30pm

Montreal Alouettes (Preview) @ Edmonton (Preview TBD) - Friday, June 14, 9:00pm

Ottawa Redblacks (Preview TBD) @ Calgary Stampeders (Preview) - Saturday, June 15, 7:00pm

Winnipeg Blue Bombers (Preview) @ B.C. Lions (Preview) - Saturday, June 15, 10:00pm

Good luck!

posted by DrJohnEvans at 10:44 PM on June 10, 2019

NFL May Make Pass Interference a Replay Challenge

Just popping in to say that pass interference is reviewable in the CFL, and all replays are conducted by an off-field official, and it's good stuff.

posted by DrJohnEvans at 10:46 PM on March 24, 2019

How former ref Tim Donaghy conspired to fix NBA games

Yeah this was great. Looking forward to the movie.

posted by DrJohnEvans at 01:09 PM on February 22, 2019

CFL Playoff Pick 'Em, Final Standings

Sorry surfers, no more quality items until next summer!

posted by DrJohnEvans at 09:24 AM on November 30, 2018

CFL Playoff Pick 'Em, Final Standings

A slippery surface and tough turnovers led to a bit of a sloppy game, but Bo Levi Mitchell's arm and Calgary special teams carved out a solid halftime lead. Then the defence took over, shutting down Trevor Harris and preserving the win for the Stamps.

OTT @ CGYMVP BonusO/U BonusTiebreaker
ResultCalgary by 11MitchellUnder541
Margin of Error8 to 14

ic23b gets a point in each column, plus the tiebreaker to edge out tommytrump for the victory. Congrats ic23b!

At the other end, Reever's Hail Mary comes up a bit short. But I'm sure there's some parallel universe where Trevor Harris is celebrating his Grey Cup victory and MVP, and we'll all remember the triple-overtime barn burner of a game it was. Congratulations on your Costanza, Reever!

(In some compelling symmetry, ic23b tied for last year's Costanza, while Reever was last year's champion. Keep it up, team!)

SpoFiteOTT @ CGYSMVPO/UTiebreaker DiffPointsTotal Points
ic23bCalgary MitchellUnder44310
tommytrumpCalgary Mitchell 60210
DrJohnEvansCalgary12 Under4138
JPRCalgary MitchellUnder4838
argoal 7808
jagsnumberoneCalgary10 18228
cixelsydCalgary12 10127
rcade Under7216
Reever 10403

Thanks to everyone for playing. See y'all in June!

posted by DrJohnEvans at 09:17 PM on November 29, 2018

CFL Playoff Pick 'Em, Grey Cup Edition

Calgary by 12
Don Jackson
Under
500

posted by DrJohnEvans at 02:02 PM on November 24, 2018

CFL Playoff Pick 'Em, Grey Cup Edition

No contest in the nation's capital: Trevor Harris throws six touchdowns as the Redblacks thump the Ti-Cats good and hard. Out west, Calgary has to work a bit harder, notching a big second quarter and then hanging on for the win.

HAM @ OTTWPG @ CGYOWC BonusDWC Bonus
ResultOttawa by 19Calgary by 8HarrisCalgary/Winnipeg
Margin of Error13 to 256 to 10

Both argoal and tommytrump gamble and lose on the Winnipeg underdog pick, but the bonus keeps them in first place.

SpoFiteSSK @ TORSEDM @ CGYSOWC BonusDWC BonusPointsTotal Points
argoalOttawa HarrisCalgary38
tommytrumpOttawa21 HarrisWinnipeg48
ic23bOttawa Calgary6HarrisCalgary57
jagsnumberoneOttawa Calgary10 Calgary46
cixelsydOttawa Harris 25
JPROttawa Calgary 25
DrJohnEvansOttawa Calgary Calgary35
rcadeOttawa Calgary Calgary35
Reever Winnipeg13

Here we go!

THE 106th GREY CUP

Ottawa Redblacks (13-5) @ Calgary Stampeders (11-7) (Sunday, November 25, 6pm ET)

This will be Calgary's fifth Grey Cup appearance in seven years, and so far they have only one win to show for it. Year after year of regular season dominance, only to be foiled at the last minute by an upstart opponent on a hot streak. Is this year any difference? Calgary is the clear favourite, but they stumbled through September and October. At the same time Trevor Harris and the Redblacks were at risk of slipping out of contention, but found their footing to coast into the championship game. Conditions in Edmonton are clear and cold, so your guess is as good as mine.

CFL.ca Grey Cup Preview »

MVP Bonus

Pick the MVP of the Grey Cup.

Over/Under

The points-scored O/U for the Grey Cup is currently set at 53.5. Will the total points scored be over or under that total?

Tiebreaker

Pick the total yardage thrown by all quarterbacks in the Grey Cup. This is worth no points and will be used only in case of a tie.

Example pick: Calgary by 21, Ambles, Over, 700.

Good luck!

posted by DrJohnEvans at 04:12 PM on November 23, 2018

SportsFilter Has Moved to a New Server

Woohoo! Thanks rcade.

posted by DrJohnEvans at 04:01 PM on November 23, 2018

CFL Playoff Pick 'Em, Division Finals Edition

Due to some weird site downtime on Sunday, I received picks via text message from the following folks:

Reever
Hamilton by 6, Winnipeg by 3. Masoli. Winnipeg.

argoal
Ottawa by 6
Winnipeg by 3

Harris
Calgary

JPR
Ottawa by 3, Calgary by 3. Mitchell. Ottawa.

DrJohnEvans
Ottawa by 12
Calgary by 12
BLM
Calgary

posted by DrJohnEvans at 02:31 PM on November 21, 2018