Well, Hamilton put up some points, but in the end they were just plain overwhelmed by the Prairie boys. Saskatchewan has a record-setting 24 points in the second quarter to make it all but inevitable, aided largely by Kory Sheets' MVP-calibre 197 yards on the ground.
Three-way tie at the top so we go to tiebreaker, and it's a familiar name ending up on top. cixelsyd has a perfect week AND hits the tiebreaker to sweep all 2013 SpoFi CFL Pick 'Ems. Double congratulations to cixelsyd!
At the other end, tommytrump's pick of Hamilton by 21 nets very few points indeed, resulting in a well-deserved Costanza. Congratulations!
Thanks to all for a fantastic 2013, and we'll see you next June on the road to Vancouver!
posted by DrJohnEvans at 08:18 PM on November 27
Saskatchewan by 14
posted by DrJohnEvans at 06:20 PM on November 24
Oh right, the too many men penalty. That was classic.
posted by DrJohnEvans at 09:22 AM on November 21
Toronto comes out strong, but falls apart in the second half as Hamilton books their trip to Regina. Meanwhile, the Team of Destiny runs roughshod over the Stamps, and the 'Riders get to play a Grey Cup at home.
In hot bonus action, Saskatchewan nets 536 yards of combined offence to lead the way. And there were exactly seven fumbles in the two division finals, so the unders squeak out a point.
YYM misses one game but hits both bonus questions to jump into first place.
Here we go!
THE 101st GREY CUP
Hamilton Tiger-Cats (10-8) @ Saskatchewan Roughriders (11-7) (Sunday, November 24)
Hamilton, kicked out of their home stadium and forced to wander in the wilderness, had a wildly inconsistent year, but have managed to pull it together at the right time to charge into the Grey Cup. Saskatchewan, on the other hand, set their sights on this game the moment it was awarded: Grey Cup games at home don't come around all too often, and you'd better be ready for 'em. With the exception of an injury-sparked slump in the September heat, Saskatchewan has been gunning hard for this all year.
TSN.ca Grey Cup Preview
Pick the MVP of the Grey Cup game.
The points-scored O/U is currently set at 53.5. Will the number of points scored be over or under that mark?
Pick the average yardage for all punts in the Grey Cup game. This is a tiebreaker only and will not be worth any points. Remember, it's Saskatchewan in late November.
posted by DrJohnEvans at 08:48 PM on November 20
Toronto by 8
Saskatchewan by 10
posted by DrJohnEvans at 09:16 PM on November 13
Montreal guts it out in the bitter Guelph winds, but Hamilton wins it in overtime to make it to the East final. B.C. comes on strong in Regina, but the Roughriders rides a strong fourth quarter to seal the deal.
Milo kicks a solid seventeen points to easily take the bonus and make the difference in the standings.
The favourites win out the semis, and ride into town as the underdogs.
Hamilton Tiger-Cats (10-8) @ Toronto Argonauts (11-7) (Sunday, November 10)
Lookit this! Henry Burris and Ricky Ray, so long the faces of the Battle of Alberta, are now representing in the Battle of Ontario. Ray's solid year was interrupted by injury, but returned to put up career highs in his last game of the season. Burris led the league in passing yardage, but seemed to struggle in last week's semi. The Argos have lost star RB Chad Kackert to ankle surgery, but Jerious Norwood is ready to fill in once again. Make no mistake: under the closed SkyDome, this one will be all about the offence.
TSN.ca Eastern Final Preview
Saskatchewan Roughriders (11-7) @ Calgary Stampeders (14-4) (Sunday, November 10)
Both these teams feature league-leading running backs: Kory Sheets for the 'Riders and Jon Cornish for the Stamps. And given that the forecast calls for fog (?) and a high of -14 Celsius (!), they'll get plenty of work in. As for the passing game: veteran Kevin Glenn is trying to finally get over the Grey Cup hump, while it may just be the legs and not arm of Darian Durant that take the 'Riders back home.
TSN.ca Western Final Preview
Offence Wins Championships Bonus
Pick the team whose offence will have the greatest combined yardage in Sunday's games.
Turnovers Kill Ya Bonus
Last week there were 7 fumbles in the semi-final games. Given the weather and the teams involved, I'm setting the over/under for this week at 7.5. Pick whether the total number of fumbles this Sunday will be OVER or UNDER that number. All fumbles count, regardless of who recovered the ball.
posted by DrJohnEvans at 09:15 PM on November 13
Five minutes into the third quarter and HAM boots a FG to make it 3-2. The over is not looking good today.
posted by DrJohnEvans at 02:46 PM on November 10
Hamilton by 10
Saskatchewan by 11
Big ol' under
posted by DrJohnEvans at 04:55 PM on November 09
Montreal Alouettes (8-10) @ Hamilton Tiger-Cats (10-8) (Sunday, November 10)
This is a surprisingly intriguing match-up: each of these two teams has had moments of brilliance followed by moments of horror. Montreal has suffered through season-changing injuries, but those injuries have also allowed young stars like QB Troy Smith to shine. Hamilton's veteran corps have struggled to maintain any sort of consistency, grinding out tough games one week and dropping easy matches the next. The record and home field (albeit in Guelph) give Hamilton the edge on paper, but I don't think anybody really knows what this Montreal team is capable of.
TSN.ca Eastern Semi-Final Preview
B.C. Lions (11-7) @ Saskatchewan Roughriders (11-7) (Sunday, November 10)
This is the semi that's been destined to happen since bye week. Saskatchewan got off to a hot start and cooled down, B.C. tripped out of the gate but caught up. The Roughriders have been grooming themselves for a Grey Cup run this year, while the Lions have been working through patchwork lineups and quarterback controversies. Yet here they are, with matching records, meeting in the semi-final. Saskatchewan's got a clear edge with home field and RB Kory Sheets healthy again, but B.C. isn't going down without a fight.
TSN.ca Western Semi-Final Preview
Kick 'Em In The Teeth Bonus
Pick the kicker who will score the most points this weekend. That includes place-kick field goals, drop-kick field goals, PATs, singles, and fake field goals thrown for touchdowns.
2013 Kicking Stats
Las Vegas Posse Memorial Bonus
The combined over/under on total points scored for both games is 105.5. Will the actual number of points scored this weekend be OVER or UNDER that total?
Example pick: Montreal by 21, B.C. by 14, McCallum, Over.
posted by DrJohnEvans at 05:51 PM on November 07
Montreal's A-team scratches out a victory against Toronto's scrubs. Calgary fields some regulars but comes up short in Vancouver. Hamilton finally puts Winnipeg's season out of its misery, and Edmonton gets it done in Regina.
Ying Yang Mafia and argoal put up a valiant fight, but cixelsyd makes every one of his points count and hangs on for the victory. Congratulations, cixelsyd!
At the other end, jjzucal was hanging in there with the rest of us until the bottom dropped out a couple weeks ago for a well-deserved Costanza. Congratulations!
Thanks for another fantastic year, folks. Semi-finals are next weekend, so stay tuned for the Playoff Pick 'Em!
posted by DrJohnEvans at 12:47 PM on November 04
Home teams ahoy!
Toronto by 12
B.C. by 10
Winnipeg by 14
Saskatchewan by 14
posted by DrJohnEvans at 10:14 PM on October 31
Clinches all around! Ricky Ray has the game of the year, throwing for 500 yards to clinch the division title for Toronto. B.C. does what it says on the tin against Edmonton. Hamilton completes the comeback against Montreal to clinch second place and a home playoff date, while Calgary finishes on the right end of a back-and-forth to clinch the West division and relegate Saskatchewan to second place.
cixelsyd digs deep and scratches out five points to extend his lead to the same margin. Does YYM have a miracle in store?
It's the last week of the season, and all playoff matchups are set. Get ready for a bunch of 65-49 finals.
Montreal @ Toronto (Friday, November 1)
Toronto's going to be resting Ricky Ray, Chad Owens, and a host of regulars, and Montreal will likely do the same. But I'll take Zach Collaros over Tanner Marsh in the Bowl of Awesome Names any day.
Calgary @ B.C. (Friday, November 1)
Rumour has it that Calgary isn't even making the trip to Vancouver—they've just shipped a few boxes of stuffed teddy bears wearing red shirts.
Hamilton @ Winnipeg (Saturday, November 2)
In what might be the most meaningful game this week, Winnipeg is playing for jobs next year, at home. If you haven't picked Winnipeg yet this year, now's your chance.
Edmonton @ Saskatchewan (Saturday, November 2)
The only winner in this game will be YOU, because you're smart enough not to go to Taylor Field in November.
posted by DrJohnEvans at 07:10 PM on October 30
Toronto by 7
B.C. by 17
Hamilton by 3
Calgary by 6
posted by DrJohnEvans at 10:43 PM on October 23
Also, an update on the surprisingly complete U.S. Broadcast Schedule: looks like NBC Sports is carrying the Toronto game, and ESPN3 has the others. If you can't bear to wait for next week's posts.
posted by DrJohnEvans at 10:31 AM on October 23
The favourites rule the weekend. Calgary gets it done in Edmonton to all but clinch. Despite struggles from Ricky Ray, Toronto scrapes out a win in Winnipeg to mathematically eliminate the Bombers. Saskatchewan puts on a strong show when it counts to consign the Lions to third place, while Hamilton can't come through when it counts, losing in Montreal to dim their division hopes.
Ying Yang Mafia follows up on his seven points last week with five this week, including two spreads nailed, presenting a fresh challenge to cixelsyd.
Nothing but divisional play from here on, which means there are about eight hundred possible outcomes for the season.
Winnipeg @ Toronto (Thursday, October 24)
Toronto needs another win to clinch the division, and Winnipeg would seem to be an easy target. But that's what we thought last week, and the Argos were lucky to escape with a win.
Edmonton @ B.C. (Friday, October 25)
Welcome to the First Meaningless Bowl of 2013! Edmonton is long eliminated, and B.C. is stuck in third place. If you have a cousin who once played football somewhere for somebody, chances are they'll suit up for this game.
Montreal @ Hamilton (Saturday, October 26)
Here's where the intrigue lies. Hamilton needs to win out to have a chance at winning the division. But a Montreal win pushes them down into third place. Hamilton's been the stronger team, but are they falling apart when they can least afford to?
Saskatchewan @ Calgary (Saturday, October 26)
And here's the highlight of the weekend: Saskatchewan needs to win out in order to keep their division title hopes alive. A Calgary win seals the division for the Stamps. Saskatchewan's three-game win streak versus Calgary's four-gamer. Should be fun!
posted by DrJohnEvans at 10:27 AM on October 23
Calgary by 14
Toronto by 9
Saskatchewan by 3
Hamilton by 18
posted by DrJohnEvans at 12:18 PM on October 18
Calgary reasserts their dominance by taking care of business at home, putting B.C. safely out of the race for the division title. Saskatchewan hangs in there, albeit a little less comfortably than they would've liked. Winnipeg figures if they can't win clean, they might as well win messy. while Hamilton is determined to make the last couple of weeks very interesting in Toronto.
Ying Yang Mafia nails two spreads to present a fresh challenge to cixelsyd. At the other end, we've got a three-way tie in the Costanza race.
Three weeks to go, and boy howdy do we have ourselves some leeeeegit races.
Calgary @ Edmonton (Friday, October 18)
Despite their hot streak, Calgary's fate isn't in their own hands yet. A win against rebuilding Edmonton helps, but they'd still need a Saskatchewan loss to clinch the division.
Toronto @ Winnipeg (Saturday, October 19)
Reeling from back-to-back losses to Hamilton, the Argos are quickly burning through that lead they spent the summer padding. Is a trip to Winnipeg just what the doctor ordered?
B.C. @ Saskatchewan (Saturday, October 19)
Ladder wars: if Saskatchewan wins, they still have a shot at the division title and the first round bye. If they lose, they could end up visiting B.C. for that first round playoff game.
Hamilton @ Montreal (Sunday, October 20)
Montreal is still in striking distance of a home playoff game, and they're hosting the team they need to beat to get there. But Hamilton's also the hottest team in the east, and Montreal just lost to freaking Winnipeg.
posted by DrJohnEvans at 11:03 AM on October 17
Calgary by 8
Saskatchewan by 17
Montreal by 21
Toronto by 10
posted by DrJohnEvans at 10:15 AM on October 11
Well, let's see. The average points per week is 2.5, so let's say cixelsyd ends up with 63 points at the end, which means you'd need 64 to beat him. That's 25 points, which is three 6-points week and one 7-point week. Not impossible, but yes, highly unlikely.
posted by DrJohnEvans at 10:14 AM on October 11
Toronto's magic streak comes to an end as the Ti-Cats keep their division hopes alive. Saskatchewan guts out a tough win in B.C. to climb back into second place. Montreal staves off crossover fears with a big win in Edmonton, and Calgary pads their lead with a win over Winnipeg.
cixelsyd's lead widens to six points, and with four weeks left, that's starting to look pretty insurmountable.
Canadian Thanksgiving traditionally marks the final stretch of the CFL season, as teams quickly find out which players can and can't resist the temptation of poutine turkey.
B.C. @ Calgary (Friday, October 11)
Calgary's been the superior team in the west, but B.C. has the desparation of a team seeking a playoff edge. Then again, Calgary actually has a quarterback.
Edmonton @ Saskatchewan (Saturday, October 12)
Speaking of desparation, Saskatchewan still has a slim chance at the division title and Edmonton's playing out the string. I know where my money is on this one.
Winnipeg @ Montreal (Monday, October 14)
Well, look at this: Montreal's been on a little tear. And Winnipeg's probably not going to put much of a stop to that.
Toronto @ Hamilton (Monday, October 14)
Here we go again: Toronto missed a golden opportunity to all but clinch the division last week, but here they get a second kick at the can. And we're getting awfully close to Ricky Ray's return...
posted by DrJohnEvans at 10:27 PM on October 09
Toronto by 10
B.C. by 5
Montreal by 17
Calgary by 24
posted by DrJohnEvans at 05:41 PM on October 03
B.C. surprises even me at how thoroughly they dominated the Bombers. Calgary does likewise, putting the home team to shame in Guelphilton. Toronto finishes off the best road trip in league history, going 4-4 with four fourth-quarter comeback victories. Back east, Montreal grinds out a much-needed defensive win against the free-falling 'Riders.
cixelsyd keeps pace with the pack, while MrFrisby nails the Montreal spread to jump into contention for second place.
Every single game this week has an impact on the playoff race! (Note that this is not entirely unusual in an eight-team league.)
Hamilton @ Toronto (Friday, October 4)
Despite Toronto's hot streak, the Ti-Cats could theoretically catch them for the division lead, but that makes this week's game a must-win for them. If they lose, Guelph may see its first CFL playoff game in approximately 600 years.
Saskatchewan @ B.C. (Friday, October 4)
Speaking of catching, if Saskatchewan still wants a playoff home game, they're going to have to stop their four-game losing streak. In British Columbia. That's not a task for the faint of heart.
Montreal @ Edmonton (Saturday, October 5)
Montreal's season could go either way. A few wins and they're got a home playoff date. A few losses and they're eliminated via crossover to these very same Edmonton Eskimoes. A win this week takes a crossover off the table, and that's a start.
Winnipeg @ Calgary (Saturday, October 5)
Will Winnipeg win another game this year? Probably not.
posted by DrJohnEvans at 09:23 AM on October 03
B.C. by 21
Calgary by 7
Toronto by 11
Saskatchewan by 8
posted by DrJohnEvans at 10:10 AM on September 27
Edmonton narrowly avoids embarrassment by completing the comeback and downing the Bombers. Montreal is not so lucky, losing a wild one to Hamilton out east. Toronto gets it done in Cowtown to run their road record to a league-best 5-1. But the big stunner comes in Regina, as B.C. nails a game-winning field goal with time expiring to push the Riders into third place.
Five spreads nailed in one week? That's a new record. Props to ic23b for a very healthy seven-point week to jump into the middle of the pack.
Vegas bookies are offering excellent odds on snow flurries in at least one of this week's games.
B.C. @ Winnipeg (Friday, September 27)
B.C.'s not entirely sure who their quarterback is, but that hasn't stopped them from winning two in a row. Winnipeg isn't sure who anybody is anymore.
Calgary @ Hamilton (Saturday, September 28)
Calgary's still in first, but not by much, and Hamilton's still trying to lock up that home playoff date. Could be a promising grudge match.
Toronto @ Edmonton (Saturday, September 28)
According to their Pythagorean record, Edmonton should really have a couple more wins to their name. But you can only play Winnipeg so many times in a season.
Saskatchewan @ Montreal (Sunday, September 29)
Two once-proud franchises: one struggling to make it back into the discussion for a home playoff date, one strugging to not fall victim to a crossover. Welcome to the Pity Bowl!
posted by DrJohnEvans at 04:56 PM on September 26
Edmonton by 8
Hamilton by 4
Calgary by 10
B.C. by 5
posted by DrJohnEvans at 01:44 PM on September 20
Hamilton hangs tough out west but can't seal the deal in Calgary. Winnipeg starts up another losing streak in Edmonton. Toronto pulls off another comeback on the road, stunning the Rider faithful. On the other hand, though, Montreal can't repeat their road magic against the Lions.
Three spreads nailed this week, with cixelsyd's five points finally giving him some breathing room in the race.
If past trends hold, Week 13 will be unlucky for roughly half the teams playing.
Edmonton @ Winnipeg (Friday, September 20)
The league rarely makes in-season schedule changes, but we all agree that it's easier if these two teams just play each other for the rest of the year.
Montreal @ Hamilton (Saturday, September 21)
Speaking of scheduling quirks, these two teams open their season series this week. Looks like these three games will be key in deciding a home playoff date.
Toronto @ Calgary (Saturday, September 21)
Toronto's win over the Roughriders last week helped Calgary leapfrog them into first place, so you'd think Calgary owes Toronto a favour. Right?
B.C. @ Saskatchewan (Sunday, September 22)
Remember when Saskatchewan was 5-0 and looked like they couldn't lose? A loss to a hungry Lions squad this week will have them staring into the third-place abyss.
posted by DrJohnEvans at 02:33 PM on September 19
Edmonton by 12
Saskatchewan by 8
B.C. by 2
posted by DrJohnEvans at 09:56 PM on September 13
Calgary handles the 'Skmoes to sweep their home-and-home, but that's the only sweep. Hamilton breaks the seal, Toronto finds their groove, and—wait—this can't be right. Winnipeg WON?!
Weird week for points with some underdog wins. tommytrump nets a nice five points to jump into a tie for second.
I nearly forgot to write something here. Good thing I remembered!
Hamilton @ Calgary (Friday, September 13)
Lookit this! Hamilton's in second place and a win out of first. But lookit that! Calgary's finally closed the gap and tied for first in the west. Who's your money on?
Winnipeg @ Edmonton (Saturday, September 14)
Well, at least one losing streak will get broken this week, as these two basement-dwellers fight it out for—wait, Winnipeg WON last week?!
Toronto @ Saskatchewan (Saturday, September 14)
It's a battle of the division leaders (and a possible Grey Cup preview?). Saskatchewan looks to rebound from a tough loss last week, while Toronto aims to keep afloat on the ol' river injury.
Montreal @ B.C. (Sunday, September 15)
Rookie QB Tanner Marsh has certainly had his moments, not least of which was leading a comeback victory over the Lions three weeks ago. But B.C. Place is a tough place to have special moments when you're a visiting rookie
posted by DrJohnEvans at 12:04 PM on September 12
Hamilton makes it close but B.C. holds on for the win at home. Winnipeg finally scores some points, but lets in a whole bunch more in Saskatchewan. Edmonton makes a game of it but can't complete the comeback in Calgary, while what Montreal and Toronto played could barely be called a game.
cixelsyd keeps pace with Reever to maintain a one-point lead. argoal nets a very nice seven points to jump back into the pack.
Traditionally, schedulemakers had to work Labour Day but got the following weekend off. That's how we ended up with the annual post-Labour-Day home-and-home!
Calgary @ Edmonton (Friday, September 6)
Edmonton's seven-game losing streak is nearly not as bad as it looks: that's four straight games they've lost by no more than three points. And playing your provincial rival at home isn't a bad place to stop a streak.
B.C. @ Hamilton (Saturday, September 7)
Hamilton actually looked pretty decent last week, but B.C. always plays well on the road, and getting distracted by the bright lights of Guelph is, shall we say, a low risk.
Toronto @ Montreal (Sunday, September 8)
Both teams played terribly last week. Look for maybe one of them to not do quite so horribly this week. Please?
Saskatchewan @ Winnipeg (Sunday, September 8)
Winnipeg's seven-game losing streak, on the other hand, has been every bit as bad as it looks.
posted by DrJohnEvans at 09:13 PM on September 04
B.C. by 10
Saskatchewan by 9
Edmonton by 6
Montreal by 7
posted by DrJohnEvans at 09:14 AM on August 29
Montreal continues their turnaround by nailing a time-expiring, game-winning field goal to beat the Lions. Toronto loses both the game and Ricky Ray to the Stamps. The Ti-Cats continue to feast on the Bombers, and the Riders hold tight against a late Eskimo surge.
Competition is fierce at the bottom: if the season ended today, we've have an unprecedented five-way tie for the Costanza.
It's Labour Day Weekend! Enjoy Canadian traditions such as closed liquor stores, strangely scheduled football games, and the Great Vowel Hunt.
Hamilton @ B.C. (Friday, August 30)
Hamilton has been fattening up on Blue Bomber sandwiches, but Lions are much tougher meal to make.
Winnipeg @ Saskatchewan (Sunday, September 1)
Winnipeg has lost six straight and is badly in need of a break. Saskatchewan is a terrible place to look for one.
Edmonton @ Calgary (Monday, September 2)
Another loser of six straight, Edmonton has lost two consecutive games by three points. That means they're close, right? Guys? Guys?
Montreal @ Toronto (Tuesday, September 3)
Tuesdayriffic! Montreal has been climbing out of their hole and Toronto is hurting. But you've gotta face your division demons sometime.
posted by DrJohnEvans at 09:35 PM on August 28
B.C. by 10
Toronto by 11
Hamilton by 12
Saskatchewan by 3
posted by DrJohnEvans at 01:58 PM on August 21
UPDATE: Anthony Calvillo is out with a concussion and will miss Thursday's game. Yikes.
In related news, an old ultimate buddy of mine published a children's book. Here's a video of Anthony Calvillo reading it.
So many games! Hamilton seems to find itself in Winnipeg. Montreal comes close, but gets no cigar in Saskatchewan. B.C. comes up big at home against the Stamps, while Toronto holds off a late surge by the Esks.
Reever notches five solid points to pull into a tie for first place. How 'bout that?
It's the halfway point of the seasonwell, since the season is an odd number of weeks, the halfway point will be somewhere on Saturday morning. So there's that.
B.C. @ Montreal (Thursday, August 22)
Two teams that got off to a tough start. Montreal looked better last week, but B.C. seemed to find its groove a few weeks ago. Give the Lions an edge, even on the road.
Calgary @ Toronto (Friday, August 23)
This matchup looks dead even: two 5-2 teams with matching Pythangorean records. Calgary may still be haunted by memories of their last visit to the 'Dome, though.
Winnipeg @ Hamilton (Saturday, August 24)
Somehow these two teams have played each other 46 times this year, and still only have four wins between them.
Saskatchewan @ Edmonton (Saturday, August 24)
Will you bet the streak? The Riders are the heavyweight, but Edmonton's gotta be due for some breaks, right?
posted by DrJohnEvans at 01:25 PM on August 21
Calgary makes a nice little statment by ending the Riders' perfect run. And the last time the Argos won by 25 in Montreal, it was still called Dorchester Boulevard.
Bye weeks are tough for points, but cixelsyd scratches out two to eke out a bit of a cushion.
Back to a regular schedule this week, andwaitno Tuesday games?!
Hamilton @ Winnipeg (Friday, August 16)
Battle of the Basements have traditionally had a certain je ne sais quoi, but this year's East's basement has room enough for all of us.
Montreal @ Saskatchewan (Saturday, August 17)
Montreal despearately needs to get some mojo back. But out of all the things they grow in Saskatchewan, mojo ain't one of them.
Calgary @ B.C. (Saturday, August 17)
With all the talk of Riders and Stamps, nobody's noticed that the Lions are one win out of a tie for first. Calgary's hot but they'll need to watch their tail.
Edmonton @ Toronto (Sunday, August 18)
Speaking of surging teams, Toronto's eyeing a big fat two points as the rebuilding Eskimoes come to town. But east-to-west never maps cleanly, and Edmonton's not nearly as bad as their 1-5 record suggests.
posted by DrJohnEvans at 04:20 PM on August 12
Calgary by 5
posted by DrJohnEvans at 08:10 PM on August 08
Well, how 'bout that! Hamilton holds off the Esks' last-minute charge for their first win since approximately 1996. But don't worry, the world didn't fall entirely off its axis, because Winnipeg still lost.
Reever and bender make a good job of slim pickings by nailing the B.C. spreadReever jumping ahead enough to make cixelsyd nervous.
After this week, I think 'N Sync put it best when they sang "Bye bye, bye."
Toronto @ Montreal (Thursday, August 8)
Montreal's looked surprisingly bad, and Toronto's looked surprisingly good. Yet Montreal is not as far behind the Argos as they would've liked, and le Stade Molson is always a tough win.
Saskatchewan @ Calgary (Friday, August 9)
This is Calgary's golden chance to hand the 'Riders their first loss and move into a tie for first place. But will they take it?
posted by DrJohnEvans at 10:32 PM on August 07
Yeah, I take it back. That game looked pretty fun.
posted by DrJohnEvans at 08:47 AM on August 03
NBC's game selection is off to a roaring start.
B.C. by 21
posted by DrJohnEvans at 11:07 PM on August 02
Montreal nearly blows it again, but hangs on to finally get a win at home. Calgary does what they does in Winnipeg. Saskatchewan keeps the streak alive in Hamilguelph, and holy crap! Toronto should play on Tuesdays more often.
Big push this week as the favourites take three of four. cixelsyd shores up his lead with a nice six-point week.
It's the Civic Holiday long weekend, so it makes perfect sense to play only half the games.
Hamilton @ Edmonton (Friday, August 2)
Finally, Edmonton heads home with a chance to actually win a game. Meanwhile, Hamilton hits the road convinced that this is their chance to end the drought.
Winnipeg @ B.C. (Monday, August 5)
The Lions looked absolutely terrible in Toronto last week, but it's nothing that a few Simcoe Day beers can't fix. Oh yeah, and a visit from Winnipeg can't hurt.
posted by DrJohnEvans at 08:57 AM on August 01
Montreal by 8
Calgary by 11
Saskatchewan by 14
B.C. by 7
posted by DrJohnEvans at 04:49 PM on July 25
Toronto gets it done in Winnipeg, but losing Ricky Ray and Chad Kackert to injury taints the W. Montreal blows a huge lead as their Cowtown quest for redemption fizzles. B.C. keeps on keepin' on against Edmonton. Meanwhile in Regina ouch!
The favourites win out, so the spreads were key this week. cixelsyd and Reever both nail the B.C. win to lead the way with 6-point weeks.
"But isn't the long weekend NEXT week?" you asked. The CFL gleefully replied, "Not in MY book!"
Edmonton @ Montreal (Thursday, July 25)
Montreal has looked just awful the past three weeks, but hey! So has Edmonton! Given that the Als defence has been solid and the Esks' offence less so, I'll take home cooking for $100.
Calgary @ Winnipeg (Friday, July 26)
Calgary has a tidy two-game win streak, a healthy point differential, and an eye on the west division lead. Winnipeg has... a players-only meeting. Yikes.
Saskatchewan @ Hamilton (Saturday, July 27)
League officials are scrambling for the record books to find out if any team in CFL history has ever engineered back-to-back shutouts against the same opponent.
B.C. @ Toronto (Tuesday, July 30)
B.C. has typically enjoyed its trips to Toronto, which is why the Argos are trying to throw them off by scheduling the game for the wrong day.
posted by DrJohnEvans at 09:54 AM on July 24
Toronto by 11
Montreal by 5
B.C. by 19
Saskatchewan by 14
posted by DrJohnEvans at 04:43 PM on July 19
Saskatchewan takes advantage of a fortuitous call to steal the momentum in Toronto. Calgary keeps Montreal on the defence, handing them their second straight loss at home. Hamilton finally scratches out a win at Guelph, while Edmonton... uhhh... gets a field goal.
MrFrisby rockets into contention with an eight-point week, while some strong 5-point weeks down the rankings bring things closer together.
If the playoffs started today, it wouldn't be so damn hot.
Toronto @ Winnipeg (Friday, July 19)
Toronto finally gets a good match-up against a team it could dominate. On the other hand, so does Winnipeg.
Montreal @ Calgary (Saturday, July 20)
All those of you who thought Montreal would lose its first two home games, raise your hand. Y'all probably own canoes in Calgary, too.
Edmonton @ B.C. (Saturday, July 20)
Things don't get any easier for the poor Eskimoes this week, and let's face it, they probably won't next week either.
Hamilton @ Saskatchewan (Sunday, July 21)
Saskatchewan is still undefeated this season. If I were a betting man, I'd run a no-money CFL Pick 'Em, in which I would pick the Riders over Hamilton.
posted by DrJohnEvans at 10:51 PM on July 18
Saskatchewan by 6
Montreal by 9
Hamilton by 14
B.C. by 25
posted by DrJohnEvans at 06:05 PM on July 10
Winnipeg discovers that the best way to beat Montreal at home is to not let them score. Toronto is kicking themselves for not trying the same strategy as they lose in B.C.. Saskatchewan makes an early statement about their thoughts on the west division, while Hamilton drops their "home" opener although in their defence, half their players got on the wrong GO bus and ended up in Pickering.
bender has a strong five-point week to jump into contention, but YYM's fast start keeps him on top.
Two weeks is a random pattern. Three weeks is a narrative.
Saskatchewan @ Toronto (Thursday, July 11)
It's last year's champs versus this year's hosts. Saskatchewan seems to have taken a page from the Argos' "win the Grey Cup at home" playbook and have started the season on fire. Narrative!
Calgary @ Montreal (Friday, July 12)
Vive le baconateur! The other two teams of destiny look to shake off tough losses. Calgary in particular doesn't want to get into too much of a hole too early.
Winnipeg @ Hamilton (Saturday, July 13)
Winnipeg leaves their brand new stadium to visit... Guelph. Hamilton has a chance to redeem themselves by actually figuring out where their stadium is this week. (Yes, I plan on keeping this up all season.)
B.C. @ Edmonton (Saturday, July 13)
B.C. is still pretty good and I've never heard of Edmonton's quarterback before. Narrative?
posted by DrJohnEvans at 11:19 PM on July 09
Montreal by 12
B.C. by 9
Saskatchewan by 2
Hamilton by 17
posted by DrJohnEvans at 08:54 AM on July 04
Montreal completes the comeback to send the Winnipeg faithful home heartbroken. Toronto barely hangs on to end up on the right side of a see-saw battle. Calgary stomps B.C. early and often to coast to victory, and Saskatchewan comes out firing in a lopsided match.
2013 opens up strong with a three-way tie at the top, and another four tied for fourth. Based on this exhaustive sample size, I predict the season will end in an eight-way tie.
It's week 2, and time to hit the road for the second set of home openers.
Winnipeg @ Montreal (Thursday, July 4)
Winnipeg faces a challenge in the second half of the home-and-home: nobody wants to open the season 0-2, but le Stade Molson is a tough place to scratch out a win.
Toronto @ B.C. (Thursday, July 4)
Toronto takes the fun plane out west, riding the high of a first-week win. But B.C. Place or whatever it's called now is also rude to visitors.
Calgary @ Saskatchewan (Friday, July 5)
With big wins for both these teams last week, I think it's safe to say that the winner of this game is guaranteed the division. Called it.
Edmonton @ Hamilton (Saturday, July 7)
Edmonton should be worried: falling flat in their first game, and now an all-expenses-paid trip to Guelph, Ontario? I know that strikes fear into MY heart.
posted by DrJohnEvans at 04:53 PM on July 03
Well done! I have all this on file somewhere, but I'd have to crack open my old PC to find 2005 and 2004.
posted by DrJohnEvans at 04:32 PM on June 26
Montreal by 11
Toronto by 8
B.C. by 3
Edmonton by 6
posted by DrJohnEvans at 10:39 PM on June 25
THE PICK 'EM - What we do
Neither floods in the west nor mayoral crack scandals in the east shall stay the CFL prognosicator from his (or her, hi Andie!) swiftly appointed rounds! Except this new job of mine is a time suck so that's why this is up so late. But there's football happening, like, THIS WEEK, and what better way to take your mind off your mayor's IQ than picking the outcome of the weekly three-down bash?
THE SEASON - When we do it
The season kicks off this Friday night and runs for 19 weeks through the summer. There are generally four games per week, mostly running from Thursday to Sunday.
If you're in Canada, you'll find the games on TSN. If you're in the States, the occasional game is available on the NFL Network, and in the past all games appeared on ESPN3, but they don't seem to have released a confirmed broadcast sked yet. And if you're somewhere else, you'll have to resort to XM or Sirius on the satellite radio dial.
THE RULES - How we do it
Here's how she works. You pick who you think will win, and by how much. You then get points based on the result:
What's the Margin of Error?
It's a window around the spread that's defined as
spread - round(0.3 * spread) <= Margin of Error <= spread + round(0.3 * spread)
spread - round(0.3 * spread) <= Margin of Error <= spread + round(0.3 * spread)
So you can get rewarded for being close to the spread even if you're not spot-on. The bigger the spread, the bigger the margin of error, so you don't have to be as accurate when predicting a blowout as you would when predicting a close game. Here are some examples:
So if you picked Toronto by 15, here's how you'd fare given certain outcomes:
THE GAMES, WEEK ONE - Where we start
In lieu of attempting to sum up each team's status in a single sentence, for this opening week I'm just linking to season preview pages for each of 'em.
All times are EDT.
Montreal Alouettes (Preview) @ Winnipeg Blue Bomders (Preview) - Thursday, June 27, 9:00pm
Hamilton Tiger-Cats (Preview) @ Toronto Argonauts (Preview) - Friday, June 28, 7:00pm
B.C. Lions (Preview) @ Calgary Stampeders (Preview) - Friday, June 28, 10:00pm
Saskatchewan Roughriders (Preview) @ Edmonton Eskimos (Preview) - Saturday, Jue 29, 3:30pm
posted by DrJohnEvans at 10:06 PM on June 25
Enjoyed this greatly. Thanks.
posted by DrJohnEvans at 02:42 PM on March 15
Just like they drew it up! Toronto's defence keeps Kevin Glenn and Jon Cornish in check, while Ricky Ray and Chad Kackert put enough points on the board to seal the deal in front of a racous home crowd. I know my throat is still sore, but that might just be the flu.
bender's random number generator gets the only correct MVP pick, but it's not enough to stop tommytrump taking home the (back) bacon. Congratulations tommytrump!
At the other end, jjzucal and ic23b only picked in the Grey Cup round, so it looks like your humble host takes home the Costanza.
Huge thanks to everyone for playing. Have a great winter, and we'll see you next June!
posted by DrJohnEvans at 01:17 PM on December 01
Grrr. That should read 35-22. Sorry. It was a long night.
posted by DrJohnEvans at 10:05 AM on November 26
Here goes nothin'.
Toronto by 8
posted by DrJohnEvans at 12:46 PM on November 25
Double upsets! Toronto overcomes their own early mistakes with a big third quarter to salt away the Alouettes and lay claim to a rare home Grey Cup apperance. They'll be facing Calgary, who surprised everyone with a confident win in Vancouver.
Two upsets mean a tough week for points. Add the fact that defensive stalwart B.C. registered zero sacks, and the bonuses may make the difference in the end.
100th GREY CUP - Toronto, ON (Sunday, November 24)
Calgary Stampeders @ Toronto Argonauts
Like they drew it up: Toronto built their team to challenge for the Grey Cup at home, and here they are. Ricky Ray has rounded into form, the defence has established some consistency, and Chad Owens has managed to not fumble for at least a couple games now. They're playing as good as they've played in years, and it sure is the right time for it.
Overshadowed by the Lions all season, Calgary's quietly put together a very nice year. A league-leading defence and a hard-rushing Jon Cornish has made up for some quarterback inconsistency. But they won four games straight to close out the season, and Kevin Glenn has a chip on his shoulder, so they're peaking at just the right time too.
Pick the player who will be the MVP of the Grey Cup.
The Over/Under is set at 54.5. Will the total number of points scored be over or under that mark?
Pick the total number of kick return yards acquired in the game, by both teams. This is worth no points and will be used only in case of a tie.
posted by DrJohnEvans at 01:22 PM on November 22
Montreal by 3
B.C. by 12
posted by DrJohnEvans at 10:33 AM on November 18
DJE put himself above me even though we have the same number of points.
posted by DrJohnEvans at 12:06 PM on November 15
Drama at both ends of the country. Toronto bursts out with a record-setting 31-point second quarter to put Edmonton to bed, while Calgary ends up on the right side of the seesaw in a thrilling finish.
JPR and tommytrump both nail the Calgary spread to take an early lead.
No upsets here. It's number two versus number one in both divisions.
Toronto Argonauts @ Montreal Alouettes (Sunday, November 18)
Toronto has snapped a years-long futility streak with first a home playoff game, and then a win to boot. They loaded up this year with an eye towards playing the 100th Grey Cup at home. But no amount of loading up can change the fact that the road to the Grey Cup goes through Montreal. Such it has been, such it will always be.
Calgary Stampeders @ B.C. Lions (Sunday, November 18)
Calgary's in similar situation: they're a good team with some nice pieces, but you can't help but shake the feeling that they'll be facing a great team. The Stamps may have a slight edge in defence, but B.C. gets the nod on special teams. In the end it may very well come down to the two young quarterbacks: the emerging Drew Tate versus the emerged Travis Lulay.
Pick the quarterback who will throw for the highest yardarge. 2012 Passing Statistics
Defence Wins Championships Bonus
Pick the team who will have the most quarterback sacks. 2012 Sacks Statistics
posted by DrJohnEvans at 11:14 AM on November 15
Edmonton by 7
Calgary (lead changes) by 12
posted by DrJohnEvans at 10:10 AM on November 11
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