Recent Comments by DrJohnEvans

CFL Pick 'Em, Week Eighteen

Calgary by 12
Winnipeg by 12
Edmonton by 3
Montreal by 12

posted by DrJohnEvans at 08:44 PM on October 19

CFL Pick 'Em, Week Eighteen

jjzucal, I posted corrected standings in last week's thread. The total was correct but the "This Week Points" wasn't - copy/paste error.

posted by DrJohnEvans at 08:22 PM on October 19

CFL Pick 'Em, Week Eighteen

In what was almost the most shocking upset of the season, Calgary almost lost in Hamilton (but didn't). Ottawa finally lands on the right side of the coin, winning a squeaker. Winnipeg gets the edge on the Lions to clinch a playoff spot, while Toronto snatches defeat from the jaws of victory. I promise to use that phrase only once a season.

CGY @ HAMOTT @ SSKBC @ WPGTOR @ EDM
ResultCalgary by 3Ottawa by 1Winnipeg by 6Edmonton by 3
Margin of Error2 to 41 to 14 to 82 to 4

Reever nails the Winnipeg spread to take sole possession of first place, with room to spare.

SpoFiteCGY @ HAMSOTT @ SSKSBC @ WPGSTOR @ EDMSPointsTotal Points
ReeverCalgary Ottawa Winnipeg6 565
ic23bCalgary Winnipeg Edmonton 363
jjzucalCalgary Winnipeg6 Edmonton 562
Howard_TCalgary Ottawa Edmonton 361
jagsnumberoneCalgary Winnipeg Edmonton 360
tahoemojCalgary Winnipeg4Edmonton 460
JPRCalgary4 Winnipeg Edmonton3 658
tommytrumpCalgary Ottawa Winnipeg 354
argoalCalgary Winnipeg4 351
DrJohnEvansCalgary Winnipeg Edmonton 351
rcade Winnipeg 149
cixelsydCalgary Winnipeg Edmonton 348
benderCalgary Edmonton 242

Three weeks left and anything's possible! Except Hamilton crossing over to the west. That seems unlikely.

WEEK 18

Saskatchewan @ Calgary (Friday, October 20)
Calgary's on one heckuva run but they haven't clinched the division yet. Look for them to keep their foot on the gas until they do.

Winnipeg @ Toronto (Saturday, October 21)
Right in Calgary's rear view mirror is Winnipeg, surprise winners of four of their last five. But who knows? Maybe Toronto will decide to be good this week. They've been doing that more often lately.

Edmonton @ B.C. (Saturday, October 21)
A tale of two longshots: Edmonton's gazing wistfully at a home playoff berth, while B.C. still has a mathematical possibility of scraping into the crossover spot. Not what I call compelling drama.

Hamilton @ Montreal (Sunday, October 22)
This game is also being played.

Good luck!

posted by DrJohnEvans at 09:30 PM on October 18

CFL Pick 'Em, Week Seventeen

Sorry tommytrump, I missed your picks in the other thread. Here are the updated standings (with jjzucal's "This week" count corrected as well):

SpoFiteHAM @ WPGSSSK @ TORSOTT @ BCSEDM @ MTLSPointsTotal Points
Reever 3Ottawa6Edmonton 460
ic23b Saskatchewan 3Ottawa6Edmonton 660
Howard_T Edmonton13258
jagsnumberone Edmonton 157
jjzucalHamilton Edmonton18457
tahoemoj Ottawa7Edmonton17456
JPR 3Ottawa Edmonton 352
tommytrump Ottawa Edmonton21351
argoal 5Edmonton 248
DrJohnEvans Saskatchewan Edmonton 248
rcade Saskatchewan Ottawa7Edmonton20548
cixelsyd Edmonton 145
bender Saskatchewan 140

posted by DrJohnEvans at 10:13 PM on October 15

CFL Pick 'Em, Week Seventeen

In an event which proves beyond a doubt that we exist in a computer simulation gone horribly wrong, Hamilton wins, convincingly. In a return to normalcy, Toronto loses. Ottawa keeps the hope alive with a gritty comeback in Vancouver, while Edmonton cruises to a big win in Montreal.

HAM @ WPGSSK @ TOROTT @ BCEDM @ MTL
ResultHamilton by 17Saskatchewan by 3Ottawa by 5Edmonton by 18
Margin of Error12 to 222 to 44 to 713 to 23

Reever fends off last week's challengers, but ic23b nails the Saskatchewan game to slide into their still-warm seat.

SpoFiteHAM @ WPGSSSK @ TORSOTT @ BCSEDM @ MTLSPointsTotal Points
Reever 3Ottawa6Edmonton 460
ic23b Saskatchewan 3Ottawa6Edmonton 660
Howard_T Edmonton13258
jagsnumberone Edmonton 157
jjzucalHamilton Edmonton18257
tahoemoj Ottawa7Edmonton17456
JPR 3Ottawa Edmonton 352
tommytrump 048
argoal 5Edmonton 248
DrJohnEvans Saskatchewan Edmonton 248
rcade Saskatchewan Ottawa7Edmonton20548
cixelsyd Edmonton 145
bender Saskatchewan 140

This week we have three gimmes and a WTF, which is also the name of my '90s sitcom.

WEEK 17

Calgary @ Hamilton (Friday, October 13)
Hamilton is lovely in the fall: the misty mornings, the colours of the leaves on the escarpment, the way the wind shifts so you're no longer downwind from the smelting plant. Also, it's a great place to get your thirteenth win.

Ottawa @ Saskatchewan (Friday, October 13)
Don't look now, but Saskatchewan is within four points of a home playoff spot. But the Redblacks will continue to be a wild card until the last week of the season.

B.C. @ Winnipeg (Saturday, October 14)
Here's a tough trend: B.C. hasn't beat anybody besides Montreal in 10 weeks. That probably explains why they're in last place.

Toronto @ Edmonton (Saturday, October 14)
This is a tougher pick than it looks. The Argos have been gritting their way to more than a few wins as of late, including one against these Edmontons in Week 13. But playing Edmonton at home is a tougher challenge.

Good luck!

posted by DrJohnEvans at 09:27 PM on October 11

CFL Pick 'Em, Week Sixteen

Winnipeg by 12
Saskatchewan by 9
B.C. by 3
Edmonton by 27

posted by DrJohnEvans at 09:20 AM on October 06

CFL Pick 'Em, Week Sixteen

Saskatchewan rides a big fourth quarter to edge the Redblacks at home. Calgary does their thing in a big way. It takes overtime, but Toronto finally puts a stop to Hamilton's little run, while Winnipeg guts out a tough one in Edmonton to solidify their second-place standing.

SSK @ OTTMTL @ CGYTOR @ HAMWPG @ EDM
ResultSaskatchewan by 1Calgary by 48Toronto by 8Winnipeg by 9
Margin of Error1 to 134 to 626 to 106 to 12

That's three, count 'em, three players tied for first place.

SpoFiteEDM @ WPGSCGY @ HAMSOTT @ BCSTOR @ MTLSPointsTotal Points
jagsnumberoneSaskatchewan Calgary Winnipeg 356
Howard_T Calgary Toronto Winnipeg6456
ReeverSaskatchewan Calgary Toronto Winnipeg 456
ic23bSaskatchewan Calgary Winnipeg10454
jjzucalSaskatchewan Calgary Toronto7 453
tahoemoj Calgary Toronto8 Winnipeg10652
JPR Calgary Toronto Winnipeg 349
tommytrump Calgary Toronto 248
argoalSaskatchewan Calgary Winnipeg 346
DrJohnEvansSaskatchewan Calgary 9346
cixelsyd 044
rcade 043
bender Calgary Toronto Winnipeg8439

Grab your iced turkey, folks - it's Canadian Thanksgiving.

WEEK 16

Hamilton @ Winnipeg (Friday, October 6)
Winnipeg's secured themselves a pretty good spot, while Hamilton's playoff odds are a real long shot. But sometimes those who have the least to lose are the most desparate?

Saskatchewan @ Toronto (Saturday, October 7)
Um! I can't figure out either of these teams. But if Toronto can hold down home turf, they'll emerge with a winning record: a true feat in the East.

Ottawa @ B.C. (Saturday, October 7)
I know I keep harping on this, but it's crazy. Ottawa's Pythagorean record is 8-7 and a comfy lead in the East. Their actual record is 5-9-1 and they can't seem to catch a break. Will it ever end?

Edmonton @ Montreal (Monday, October 9)
The Alouettes had a good little run there for a while, but they've been outscord 166-91 over their past 5 games. It was nice while it lasted.

Good luck!

posted by DrJohnEvans at 10:26 PM on October 04

CFL Pick 'Em, Week Fifteen

Saskatchewan by 7
Calgary by 12
Hamilton by 3
Edmonton by 9

posted by DrJohnEvans at 01:26 PM on September 28

CFL Pick 'Em, Week Fifteen

Nothing makes sense anymore. Ottawa falls apart. Hamilton beats the Lions at home. Even Toronto looks like a world-beater. And Saskatchewan holds Calgary to fifteen points! (Stamps still win though. I guess things aren't that far gone yet.)

OTT @ WPGHAM @ BCMTL @ TORCGY @ SSK
ResultWinnipeg by 20Hamilton by 1Toronto by 14Calgary by 6
Margin of Error14 to 261 to 110 to 184 to 8

Amid the chaos, jags grabs five points to jump into first place.

SpoFiteOTT @ WPGSHAM @ BCSMTL @ TORSCGY @ SSKSPointsTotal Points
jagsnumberoneWinnipeg Toronto14 Calgary 553
Howard_T Toronto Calgary 252
ReeverWinnipeg Toronto10Calgary 452
ic23bWinnipeg Toronto Calgary 350
jjzucal Toronto Calgary 249
JPR 046
tommytrump Toronto17Calgary 346
tahoemojWinnipeg Toronto10Calgary 446
cixelsydWinnipeg Toronto Calgary 344
argoal 043
DrJohnEvans Calgary 143
rcadeWinnipeg Toronto13Calgary 443
bender Hamilton 14 235

I have no idea what's going to happen.

WEEK 15

Saskatchewan @ Ottawa (Friday, September 29)
I keep saying Ottawa is better than they've shown, but they're running out of time to show it. Meanwhile, Saskatchewan has turned out to be sneakily not-terrible.

Montreal @ Calgary (Friday, September 29)
This one seems safe? Who knows.

Toronto @ Hamilton (Saturday, September 30)
Toronto has a chance to put away Hamilton for good, but Hamilton's learned to balance their offence, and found a new life in doing so. This one could get messy.

Winnipeg @ Edmonton (Saturday, September 30)
Edmonton's last gasp for a home playoff spot? A win keeps them within striking range, while a loss puts them a tough six points back.

Good luck!

posted by DrJohnEvans at 05:30 PM on September 27

CFL Pick 'Em, Week Fourteen

Dr J, I still think you have something wonky in the "Points" column; however, it looks like the "Total Points" column remains accurate. For instance, I got 5 points. The points column shows that I got 3, but my total score did, in fact, increase by 5. Whatevs.

This was a copy/paste error and will be corrected in next week's standings.

posted by DrJohnEvans at 05:27 PM on September 27

CFL Pick 'Em, Week Fourteen

Ottawa by 9
B.C. by 30
Montreal by 3
Calgary by 12

posted by DrJohnEvans at 11:03 AM on September 21

CFL Pick 'Em, Week Fourteen

Last week's scores were updated here.

posted by DrJohnEvans at 11:01 AM on September 21

CFL Pick 'Em, Week Fourteen

Order is restored to the world as the Riders snap the Ti-Cats' two-game winning streak, although maybe not perfect order since the Argos upset Edmonton in a solid victory. Speaking of streaks, Calgary's keeps going in convincing fashion, while Ottawa gets back in the win column in a big way.

SSK @ HAMEDM @ TORBC @ CGYOTT @ MTL
ResultSaskatchewan by 8Toronto by 8Calgary by 14Ottawa by 18
Margin of Error6 to 106 to 1010 to 1813 to 23

This week's hero is Howard_T, who nails the Calgary spread to score seven points and grab first place.

SpoFiteSSK @ HAMSEDM @ TORSBC @ CGYSOTT @ MTLSPointsTotal Points
Howard_TSaskatchewan6 8Calgary14Ottawa 750
Reever Calgary 148
jagsnumberoneSaskatchewan6 Calgary10 448
ic23bSaskatchewan7 Calgary Ottawa 447
jjzucalSaskatchewan Toronto Calgary10 447
JPRSaskatchewan Calgary Ottawa 346
argoal Calgary 143
tommytrumpSaskatchewan Calgary15Ottawa18 343
DrJohnEvansSaskatchewan Calgary Ottawa 342
tahoemojSaskatchewan10 Calgary18Ottawa 342
cixelsydSaskatchewan9 241
rcadeSaskatchewan10 Calgary17 439
bender 8Toronto9 333

Into the final third of the season and nothing is decided. Well, Calgary is good. But apart from that, nothing.

WEEK 14

Ottawa @ Winnipeg (Friday, September 22)
Ottawa's put together a nice little run to regress more closely to their Pythagorean mean. But three of their four recent wins have come against the East, and their next four games are all Western opponents.

Hamilton @ B.C. (Friday, September 22)
B.C. is playing flip-flop with Saskatchewan for fourth place (and a likely crossover) in the division. With the Ti-Cats in town, the Lions will be out for blood.

Montreal @ Toronto (Saturday, September 23)
Honestly I don't even know with these two anymore.

Calgary @ Saskatchewan (Sunday, September 24)
Don't look now, but Saskatchewan's only four points out of a home playoff spot. Of course, they have to beat Calgary to stay there, which seems unlikely.

Good luck!

posted by DrJohnEvans at 11:36 AM on September 20

CFL Pick 'Em, Week Thirteen

Yup, in my original draft, I had Montreal winning by 23 and assigned points accordingly. I noticed my mistake, fixed the game column and the "Totals" column, but forgot to fix the "Points" column.

Corrected standings below:

SpoFiteMTL @ BCSSSK @ WPGSHAM @ OTTSCGY @ EDMSPointsTotal Points
ReeverB.C. Winnipeg Calgary 347
jagsnumberoneB.C. Winnipeg17 Calgary3 644
ic23bB.C. Calgary 243
JPRB.C. Winnipeg 4Calgary4543
jjzucalB.C.18 3343
Howard_TB.C.16Winnipeg Calgary 443
argoal 042
DrJohnEvansB.C. Winnipeg Calgary3 539
cixelsydB.C. Winnipeg Calgary 339
tahoemojB.C. Winnipeg Calgary 337
tommytrumpB.C.2Winnipeg19 Calgary 537
rcadeB.C. Calgary 235
bender 030

posted by DrJohnEvans at 09:11 PM on September 18

CFL Pick 'Em, Week Thirteen

Yeah, I finished the whole standings before I realized that I accidentally had Montreal winning by 23, so I had to redo a bunch of stuff. I probably missed some fixes. I'll double-check and post updated standings.

My picks:

Saskatchewan by 19
Edmonton by 9
Calgary by 3
Ottawa by 12

posted by DrJohnEvans at 01:27 PM on September 15

CFL Pick 'Em, Week Thirteen

The Lions score 41 points in Montreal, which is a bit more what we expected. Winnipeg stabilizes things against Saskatchewan, tucking away a decisive win. Hamilton shocks the Ottawa faithful with their second win of the season, while Calgary shocks nobody to sweep the home-and-home.

MTL @ BCSSK @ WPGHAM @ OTTCGY @ EDM
ResultB.C. by 23Winnipeg by 20Hamilton by 4Calgary by 3
Margin of Error16 to 3014 to 263 to 52 to 4

Reever's hanging on, but jags scores a healthy six points to jump into second place. Beyond that, we have a nice healthy four-way tie for third.

SpoFiteMTL @ BCSSSK @ WPGSHAM @ OTTSCGY @ EDMSPointsTotal Points
ReeverB.C. Winnipeg Calgary 247
jagsnumberoneB.C. Winnipeg17 Calgary3 544
ic23bB.C. Calgary 143
JPRB.C. Winnipeg 4Calgary4443
jjzucalB.C.18 3143
Howard_TB.C.16Winnipeg Calgary 243
argoal 042
DrJohnEvansB.C. Winnipeg Calgary3 439
cixelsydB.C. Winnipeg Calgary 239
tahoemojB.C. Winnipeg Calgary 237
tommytrumpB.C.2Winnipeg19 Calgary 337
rcadeB.C. Calgary 135
bender 130

It's another week, right after the last one!

WEEK 13

Saskatchewan @ Hamilton (Friday, September 15)
Says here that Hamilton's won two games in a row. Huh! That's all well and good against the East, but I'm not quite ready to make them a favourite against the Riders.

Edmonton @ Toronto (Saturday, September 16)
In a similar vein, Edmonton's lost four in a row, but all against tough West Division opponents - including two losses to Calgary. Toronto has been surprisingly okay this year, but probably still decent pickings.

B.C. @ Calgary (Saturday, September 16)
The Lions have been stumbling, and it's a bad time to visit Calgary.

Ottawa @ Montreal (Sunday, September 17)
I had a big long screed written about this being a meanignful game for playoff ranking tiebreakers, but then I remembered that Ottawa has a tie and thus an odd number of points, which makes a head-to-head tiebreaker extremely unlikely. So basically Montreal needs to start winning more if they want to make the playoffs. Which seems unlikely.

Good luck!

posted by DrJohnEvans at 10:32 AM on September 13

CFL Pick 'Em, Week Twelve

What the heck happened there? I posted the standings right after posting the post. Timestamps don't lie.

Anyway, here are my picks:

B.C. by 12
Winnipeg by 7
Ottawa by 19
Calgary by 3

posted by DrJohnEvans at 11:48 AM on September 08

CFL Pick 'Em, Week Twelve

Ottawa's cleaning up nicely and they sure cleaned the mat with the Als. Kevin Glenn continues his renaissance as the Riders poke holes in the Bombers' plans. Calgary's plans remain intact as they solidify their division lead, while Hamilton holds off a late Toronto surge to notch their first win of the season.

OTT @ MTLWPG @ SSKEDM @ CGYTOR @ HAM
ResultOttawa by 28Saskatchewan by 14Calgary by 21Hamilton by 2
Margin of Error20 to 3610 to 1815 to 271 to 3

Reever picks Hamilton, and it pays off: he leapfrogs argoal to grab first place.

SpoFiteOTT @ MTLSWPG @ SSKSEDM @ CGYSTOR @ HAMSPointsTotal Points
ReeverOttawa Calgary Hamilton3444
argoal Saskatchewan Calgary 242
ic23bOttawa Saskatchewan Calgary 341
jjzucal Saskatchewan15Calgary 340
Howard_TOttawa Saskatchewan Calgary 339
jagsnumberoneOttawa Saskatchewan Calgary 338
JPR Saskatchewan Calgary 238
cixelsyd Saskatchewan Calgary 236
DrJohnEvansOttawa Saskatchewan Calgary 334
tahoemojOttawa Calgary20 334
rcadeOttawa 133
tommytrumpOttawa21Saskatchewan18 Hamilton 532
benderOttawa Saskatchewan18Calgary15 530

With our Labour Day hangover behind us, it's full speed ahead into the home stretch.

WEEK 12

Montreal @ B.C. (Friday, September 8)
So this may seem like a cross-country match of bottom-dwellers, but Montreal could be playing for their playoff lives: if the season ended today, they'd lose out on the playoffs with a west crossover.

Saskatchewan @ Winnipeg (Saturday, September 9)
Saskatchewan climbed up out of last place, and has their eye on a divisional playoff spot. If they can sweep this home-and-home they're right in the conversation.

Hamilton @ Ottawa (Saturday, September 9)
Ottawa is good now! Hamilton is probably still bad.

Calgary @ Edmonton (Sunday, September 9)
Remember when Edmonton was a point out of first place? If they can't muster a better show against Calgary this week, that dream will be long gone.

Good luck!

posted by DrJohnEvans at 08:12 PM on September 07

CFL Pick 'Em, Week Eleven

Ottawa by 19
Saskatchewan by 9
Calgary by 3
Toronto by 9

posted by DrJohnEvans at 07:41 PM on August 30

CFL Pick 'Em, Week Eleven

Montreal fights back to send it to overtime, but the Bombers prevail in the extra frame. Once-mighty Edmonton is reeling as they give up 54 points to the Riders. The tide seems to be turning for Ottawa: the spread goes their way in a tough win against the Lions. And in unsurprising news, Calgary remains good.

WPG @ MTLSSK @ EDMBC @ OTTTOR @ CGY
ResultWinnipeg by 3Saskatchewan by 23Ottawa by 7Calgary by 16
Margin of Error2 to 416 to 305 to 911 to 21

Watch out argoal! Reever nails the Ottawa game to jump into a tie for first.

SpoFiteWPG @ MTLSSSK @ EDMSBC @ OTTSTOR @ CGYSPointsTotal Points
argoalWinnipeg Ottawa Calgary 340
ReeverWinnipeg Saskatchewan Ottawa7 Calgary 640
ic23bWinnipeg Ottawa Calgary18438
jjzucal 3 23 Calgary 337
JPRWinnipeg3 Calgary 436
Howard_TWinnipeg Ottawa6Calgary21536
jagsnumberoneWinnipeg Calgary14335
cixelsydWinnipeg Calgary18334
rcadeWinnipeg Ottawa6Calgary18532
DrJohnEvansWinnipeg Ottawa Calgary19431
tahoemojWinnipeg Calgary16431
tommytrumpWinnipeg Ottawa Calgary16427
benderWinnipeg Ottawa 225

Lay down your hammers and pick up your phones - it's time for the Labour Day Classic.

WEEK 11

Ottawa @ Montreal (Thursday, August 31)
Unlucky versus plucky: the pluck stops here. I'm counting on Ottawa's luck continuing to turn around.

Winnipeg @ Saskatchewan (Sunday, September 3)
Saskatchewan's last-place 4-4 record would have them in a tie for first were they in the East. Of course, if Saskatchewan was in the East, entire elements of Canada's national psyche would have to be re-evaluated, starting with the phrase "bunny hugs".

Edmonton @ Calgary (Monday, September 4)
Oof! Edmonton has lost two in a row and has slipped to third place. Fortunately for them, a win this week puts them back up top. Unfortunately for them, that win will have to come against Calgary.

Toronto @ Hamilton (Monday, September 4)
Toronto has been not-great, but Hamilton has been utterly dismal: winless, last in the league in both offence and defence, poor hiring decisions. But it's Labour Day so who knows.

Good luck!

posted by DrJohnEvans at 11:47 AM on August 30

CFL Pick 'Em, Week Ten

Back online and catching up. Here are last week's results and standings. Thanks for your patience, everyone!

Winnipeg puts in the time and hands Edmonton their first loss of the season. Ottawa piles on the points to make sure Hamilton's streak remains intact. B.C.'s defence makes a game of it, keeping Bo Levi Mitchell out of the end zone, but Calgary grinds out the tough win. Back home, Ricky Ray finds a touch of the old magic, airing it out as the Argos wallop the Als.

EDM @ WPGOTT @ HAMCGY @ BCMTL @ TOR
ResultWinnipeg by 7Ottawa by 19Calgary by 4Toronto by 32
Margin of Error5 to 913 to 253 to 522 to 42

argoal grinds out a couple of extra points to widen his lead to three, over a fresh three-way tie for second.

SpoFiteEDM @ WPGSOTT @ HAMSCGY @ BCSMTL @ TORSPointsTotal Points
argoal Ottawa Calgary4 Toronto 537
ic23b 7Ottawa Calgary 334
ReeverWinnipeg Ottawa Calgary Toronto 434
jjzucal Ottawa13Calgary Toronto 434
JPRWinnipeg Ottawa Calgary5 432
jagsnumberoneWinnipeg Ottawa Calgary Toronto 432
cixelsydWinnipeg Ottawa Calgary 331
Howard_TWinnipeg8Ottawa Calgary Toronto 531
DrJohnEvans Ottawa Calgary 227
rcadeWinnipeg Ottawa13Calgary 427
tahoemojWinnipeg Ottawa18Calgary 427
benderWinnipeg9Ottawa Calgary 423
tommytrump Ottawa21 Toronto 322

posted by DrJohnEvans at 09:45 PM on August 27

CFL Pick 'Em, Week Ten

Is that a "cottage" like those once owned by the multi-millionaires in Newport, RI?

No road access; no electricity; no cell signal; no plumbing? No problem!

posted by DrJohnEvans at 08:02 PM on August 27

CFL Pick 'Em, Week Ten

Winnipeg by 12
Edmonton by 12
Ottawa by 12
Calgary by 19

posted by DrJohnEvans at 10:29 AM on August 22

CFL Pick 'Em, Week Ten

I'm headed off the grid to the cottage, so this week's post is a little early. Full standings and updates when I return. Thanks for your patience!

WEEK 10

Winnipeg @ Montreal (Thursday, August 24)
Winnipeg put its division on notice with a convincing win over Edmonton. Montreal has looked stronger as of late, but a true Western contender will dominate its Eastern road trips. Is Winnipeg there yet?

Saskatchewan @ Edmonton (Friday, August 25)
Saskatchewan is looking to break their lose-one-win-one streak, and coming off a bye week, Kevin Glenn's aching bones will be nicely rested. Unfortunately for them, they're playing Edmonton.

B.C. @ Ottawa (Saturday, August 26)
Ottawa finally booked win #2 and finally has a positive point differential. Still a pretty lousy record, though. They have a tough road ahead, but perhaps it starts with a B.C. team that's gone a little cold lately.

Toronto @ Calgary (Sunday, August 28)
Toronto never seems to do too well in Calgary. This is likely because Calgary is very good, and Toronto is \_(ツ)_/.

Good luck!

posted by DrJohnEvans at 10:39 AM on August 19

CFL Pick 'Em, Week Nine

JPR's picks were emailed to me:

Win 4
Ott 5
Cal 5
Mont 4

posted by DrJohnEvans at 08:35 PM on August 17

CFL Pick 'Em, Week Nine

Edmonton by 12
Ottawa by 12
Calgary by 12
Montreal by 5

posted by DrJohnEvans at 08:34 PM on August 17

CFL Pick 'Em, Week Nine

Ottawa loses another game by a single score as Edmonton stays perfect. Montreal's D keeps the Argos out of the end zone. Hamilton loses again, and holy crap, Kevin Glenn looks like his 2012 self as the Riders destroy the Lions.

EDM @ OTTTOR @ MTLWPG @ HAMBC @ SSK
ResultEdmonton by 7Montreal by 12Winnipeg by 27Saskatchewan by 33
Margin of Error5 to 98 to 1619 to 3523 to 43

Not much movement this week. argoal nearly gives up first place but is rescued by Saskatchewan.

SpoFiteEDM @ OTTSTOR @ MTLSWPG @ HAMSBC @ SSKSPointsTotal Points
argoal Montreal Saskatchewan 232
ic23b Montreal Winnipeg23 331
Reever Montreal Winnipeg 230
jjzucalEdmonton Montreal Winnipeg19 430
JPREdmonton Montreal Winnipeg 328
jagsnumberoneEdmonton Montreal Winnipeg 328
cixelsydEdmonton Montreal9Winnipeg 428
Howard_TEdmonton8Montreal Winnipeg 426
DrJohnEvansEdmonton Montreal Winnipeg19 425
rcade Montreal9Winnipeg 323
tahoemojEdmonton6Montreal Winnipeg24 523
tommytrump Saskatchewan 119
bender 7Montreal Winnipeg 319

Three clear favourites and one big ol' WTF.

WEEK 9

Edmonton @ Winnipeg (Thursday, August 17)
Winnipeg's on a nice little run, with three wins in a row. But Edmonton hasn't lost yet, and it's real tough to bet against that streak.

Ottawa @ Hamilton (Friday, August 18)
I sound like a broken record: Ottawa is a hard-luck 1-6, but has only given up 15 points more than they've scored. That said, a trip to Hamilton is usually good for what ails you.

Calgary @ B.C. (Friday, August 18)
The Lions are trying to carve out position in the busy West, but giving up 41 points to Kevin Glenn is not a confidence builder. Meanwhile, the Stamps continue to be good.

Montreal @ Toronto (Saturday, August 19)
Your guess is as good as mine!

Good luck!

posted by DrJohnEvans at 11:08 PM on August 15

CFL Pick 'Em, Week Eight

Edmonton by 12
Montreal by 3
Winnipeg by 19
B.C. by 19

posted by DrJohnEvans at 10:13 AM on August 09

CFL Pick 'Em, Week Eight

Copying and pasting from the last four years: Argos lose both the game and Ray to injury. Ottawa's snakebitten again, losing by 3 as time expires. Edmonton remains undefeated, which means Hamilton remains winless. Out west, Travis Lulay beats Kevin Glenn handily in the Battle of 2012.

CGY @ TORWPG @ OTTHAM @ EDMSSK @ BC
ResultCalgary by 17Winnipeg by 3Edmonton by 5B.C. by 15
Margin of Error12 to 222 to 44 to 711 to 20

A nice six-point week for Reever to move into a tie for second, only two points behind the leader.

SpoFiteCGY @ TORSWPG @ OTTSHAM @ EDMSSSK @ BCSPointsTotal Points
argoalCalgary 3Edmonton B.C. 430
ic23bCalgary 3Edmonton B.C.12528
ReeverCalgary12Winnipeg4Edmonton B.C. 628
jjzucal 3Edmonton B.C. 326
JPRCalgary Edmonton B.C. 325
jagsnumberoneCalgary20 3Edmonton B.C. 525
cixelsydCalgary Winnipeg Edmonton B.C. 424
Howard_TCalgary18Winnipeg Edmonton B.C.14622
DrJohnEvansCalgary19 Edmonton B.C.12521
rcadeCalgary Edmonton B.C. 320
tommytrump Edmonton 118
tahoemojCalgary17 Edmonton B.C. 518
bender Edmonton 116

[insert witty description of week here]

WEEK 8

Edmonton @ Ottawa (Thursday, August 10)
Tough-luck Ottawa is 1-5 with five close losses. Hosting Edmonton isn't much of an opportunity to change course, either.

Toronto @ Montreal (Friday, August 11)
Eight weeks in and this is the first meeting for these storied rivals. Which is probably for the best, because neither of them have been lighting the world on fire.

Winnipeg @ Hamilton (Saturday, August 12)
Speaking of tough luck, Winnipeg is a respectable 4-2 but stuck in fourth place. Sure, Hamilton seems like an easy target, but this week they fired their defensive coordinator, which should really fire up their last-place-and-not-even-close... uh.... offence. (Okay, so their D is last place too, but it's at least a little close. Also, this is a really long game preview, but I really like talking about how bad Hamilton is.)

B.C. @ Saskatchewan (Saturday, August 13)
Out of all the Grey Cups I've seen in person, Kevin Glenn has started a full two-thirds of them.

Good luck!

posted by DrJohnEvans at 10:33 AM on August 08

CFL Pick 'Em, Week Seven

Calgary by 19
Ottawa by 6
Edmonton by 19
B.C. by 12

posted by DrJohnEvans at 10:00 AM on August 02

CFL Pick 'Em, Week Seven

Drama in the Peg as Montreal squanders a 12-point lead with two minutes to go. B.C. hangs tough in Edmonton, but it's the home side that pulls away for the win. Kevin Glenn fulfils the prophecies, while Hamilton... uh... loses.

MTL @ WPGBC @ EDMTOR @ SSKHAM @ CGY
ResultWinnipeg by 1Edmonton by 11Saskatchewan by 11Calgary by 59
Margin of Error1 to 18 to 148 to 1441 to 77

Points are back to normal, but argoal's widened his lead to three points.

SpoFiteCGY @ WPGSOTT @ SSKSHAM @ EDMSMTL @ TORSPointsTotal Points
argoalWinnipeg Edmonton Calgary 326
ic23bWinnipeg Edmonton Calgary 323
jjzucalWinnipeg Edmonton10 Calgary 423
JPR Calgary 122
ReeverWinnipeg Saskatchewan Calgary 322
cixelsydWinnipeg Edmonton Calgary 320
jagsnumberoneWinnipeg Edmonton Calgary 320
rcade Saskatchewan Calgary 217
tommytrumpWinnipeg Edmonton Calgary 317
DrJohnEvansWinnipeg Calgary 216
Howard_TWinnipeg Edmonton Calgary 316
benderWinnipeg Saskatchewan Calgary 315
tahoemoj Calgary 113

This week, we come dangerously close to using math.

WEEK 7

Calgary @ Toronto (Thursday, August 3)
Trend: Toronto is 3-0 against the East and 0-3 against the West. That is not ideal when playing Calgary.

Winnipeg @ Ottawa (Friday, August 4)
Ottawa's gotta be due, right? They're 1-4-1 but haven't lost any game by more than five points.

Hamilton @ Edmonton (Friday, August 4)
Trend: Edmonton is undefeated! Hamilton is winless! So naturally Hamilton will win this game by 21 points.

Saskatchewan @ B.C. (Saturday, August 5)
I'm going to start calculating Saskatchewan's odds based on the number of games Kevin Glenn played for the opposing team. Glenn played 18 games for the Lions in 2014, so I give B.C. 8-1 odds this week.

Good luck!

posted by DrJohnEvans at 10:54 PM on August 01

CFL Pick 'Em, Week Six

Winnipeg by 9
B.C. by 3
Toronto by 12
Calgary by 19

posted by DrJohnEvans at 04:16 PM on July 27

CFL Pick 'Em, Week Six

Comebacks all over! Ottawa comes out strong and holds off a late Montreal surge for the win. Hamilton finally puts some points on the board, but their defence lets them down late as Edmonton completes the comeback. The Esks weren't the only team with an 18-point fourth: after giving up 21 in the third, the Lions shock the Bombers with their own big comeback. Calgary wallops the Riders in the only blowout of the week, and Toronto fights off a feisty Redblacks offence to seal the deal with a time-expiring field goal winner.

MTL @ OTTEDM @ HAMWPG @ BCSSK @ CGYOTT @ TOR
ResultOttawa by 5Edmonton by 3B.C. by 3Calgary by 17Toronto by 3
Margin of Error4 to 72 to 42 to 412 to 222 to 4

I know we had an extra game last week, but holy points, Batman! Eight spreads nailed, including three—count 'em, THREE—by argoal to jump into first with points to spare.

SpoFiteMTL @ OTTSEDM @ HAMSWPG @ BCSSSK @ CGYSOTT @ TORSPointsTotal Points
argoalOttawa5Edmonton B.C.3 Calgary Toronto31123
JPROttawa Edmonton4B.C.4Calgary Toronto3921
ic23bOttawa4Edmonton4B.C. Calgary14Toronto31020
jjzucalOttawa6Edmonton Calgary13Toronto 619
ReeverOttawa Edmonton3B.C. Calgary Toronto 719
cixelsydOttawa7Edmonton 3Calgary Toronto 617
jagsnumberoneOttawa5 Edmonton Calgary14Toronto 717
rcade Edmonton B.C. Calgary17Toronto 615
tommytrumpOttawa B.C. Calgary Toronto 414
DrJohnEvansOttawa Edmonton B.C. Calgary16 514
Howard_T Edmonton B.C. Calgary Toronto 413
bender B.C. Toronto 212
tahoemoj Edmonton Calgary14Toronto 412

This week's narratives nearly wrote themselves, but I still had to step in at the last minute.

WEEK 6

Montreal @ Winnipeg (Thursday, July 27)
Battle of the mushy middle! I guess Montreal is a win out of first, but I'm not buying what they're selling just yet.

B.C. @ Edmonton (Friday, July 28)
Battle for the division! League's best offence versus the league's best defence - and neither ranking is particularly close.

Toronto @ Saskatchewan (Saturday, July 29)
This game is also happening! Toronto may be good now? But Saskatchewan is probably still bad. But I never feel comfortable when Kevin Glenn starts against the Argos.

Hamilton @ Calgary (Sunday, July 29)
League's worst offence on the road against a very very good team! Things don't seem to be getting much easier for Hamilton.

Good luck!

posted by DrJohnEvans at 10:42 AM on July 26

CFL Pick 'Em, Week Five

Ottawa by 12
Edmonton by 19
B.C. by 6
Calgary by 16
Ottawa by 2

posted by DrJohnEvans at 04:01 PM on July 19

CFL Pick 'Em, Week Five

Toronto comes out strong but fades in the home stretch as Winnipeg hands them a million dollar loss. A big fourth quarter puts Montreal over the top in a Calgary upset. A nailbiter out west, but Ottawa can't quite seal the deal and Edmonton takes it home. Closer to home, Hamilton loses again.

TOR @ WPGCGY @ WPGOTT @ EDMBC @ HAM
ResultWinnipeg by 8Montreal by 7Edmonton by 2B.C. by 15
Margin of Error6 to 105 to 91 to 311 to 20

Another tough week for points, but jjzucal nabs three to leapfrog into first. Honourable mention for Reever whose 5 points lands him square in the logjam for second.

SpoFiteTOR @ WPGSCGY @ WPGSOTT @ EDMSBC @ HAMSPointsTotal Points
jjzucal Edmonton B.C.14313
argoal Edmonton B.C. 212
JPRWinnipeg Edmonton3B.C. 412
ReeverWinnipeg7 Edmonton3B.C. 512
cixelsyd Edmonton B.C.17311
tommytrumpWinnipeg B.C. 210
jagsnumberone Edmonton3 210
ic23b Edmonton B.C. 210
benderWinnipeg Montreal Edmonton B.C. 410
Howard_T Edmonton B.C. 29
rcadeWinnipeg7 B.C. 39
DrJohnEvansWinnipeg6 B.C. 39
tahoemoj B.C.1228

It's a no-bye week, and Ottawa draws the short straw.

WEEK 5

Montreal @ Ottawa (Wednesday, July 19)
Montreal's been a pleasant surprise, but Ottawa's three tough-luck losses means they're still looking for their first win. I'll take Ottawa's regression over Montreal's.

Edmonton @ Hamilton (Thursday, July 20)
Hamilton's three losses have been anything but tough luck: they're getting smoked. Edmonton's at the top of their division with a perfect 3-0 record, but all their victories have been tight. Still, you gotta take the Esks until Hamilton proves they can play.

Winnipeg @ B.C. (Friday, July 21)
The Lions have looked great to open the season - but their depth may be tested. Do you believe in the second coming of Travis Lulay?

Saskatchewan @ Calgary (Saturday, July 22)
When I'm making these predictions, I look at all the numbers, take injuries into consideration, and weight recent performance more heavily. Then I remember that Kevin Glenn is starting for the Riders and I give up trying to predict anything.

Ottawa @ Toronto (Monday, July 24)
Redblacks take two! Toronto has surprisingly played better than their 2-2 record would suggest. Maybe they're due for an old-fashioned Argo bounce?

Good luck!

posted by DrJohnEvans at 01:01 PM on July 18

CFL Pick 'Em, Week Four

Winnipeg by 6
Calgary by 19
Ottawa by 6
B.C. by 9

posted by DrJohnEvans at 11:39 AM on July 13

CFL Pick 'Em, Week Four

No wonder today's flights to Winnipeg were so cheap.

posted by DrJohnEvans at 05:55 PM on July 12

CFL Pick 'Em, Week Four

B.C. leans on their ground game to notch a solid win in Montreal, while Calgary's big second half ensures they remain undefeated. Speaking of big second halves, Toronto needed one after scoring only a rouge in the first, and boy did they get it. Out west, that Kevin Glenn magic has the Riders sitting pretty.

BC @ MTLCGY @ WPGTOR @ OTTHAM @ SSK
ResultB.C. by 7Calgary by 19Toronto by 1Saskatchewan by 17
Margin of Error5 to 913 to 251 to 112 to 22

A low-scoring week, but jjzucal notches three to move into a tie for first.

SpoFiteBC @ MTLSCGY @ WPGSTOR @ OTTSHAM @ SSKSPointsTotal Points
argoalB.C. 110
jjzucal Toronto Saskatchewan13310
JPR 08
tommytrump Toronto 18
jagsnumberoneB.C. Calgary 28
ic23bB.C. Calgary Saskatchewan 38
cixelsydB.C.7 Saskatchewan 48
Reever Saskatchewan 17
Howard_TB.C. Saskatchewan 27
tahoemoj Saskatchewan 16
rcade Calgary Saskatchewan 26
benderB.C. Saskatchewan1936
DrJohnEvansB.C. Calgary Saskatchewan 36

Three weeks of football in the books, and our narratives are finally beginning to sprout.

WEEK 4

Toronto @ Winnipeg (Wednesday, July 13)
Here are two teams looking to establish a 2017 identity - this could be an opportunity for a big statement game. On the other hand, mosquitoes.

Calgary @ Montreal (Friday, July 14)
Montreal's showing signs of coming out of their multiyear funk, but Calgary's still coasting on last year's excellence. Odds are Calgary makes it to 4-0.

Ottawa @ Edmonton (Friday, July 14)
A tale of two Pythagoreans: Edmonton is 2-0 and +7. Ottawa is 0-2-1 and -5. Maybe this week starts to restore order for these teams.

B.C. @ Hamilton (Saturday, July 15)
It's early, but holy cow has Hamilton's offence been uninspiring. They'll need to be far better to beat the Lions.

Good luck!

posted by DrJohnEvans at 01:29 PM on July 12

What football will look like in the future

I think it's serial - and not finished yet.

posted by DrJohnEvans at 01:43 PM on July 11

CFL Pick 'Em, Week Three

B.C. by 12
Calgary by 9
Ottawa by 9
Saskatchewan by 9

posted by DrJohnEvans at 03:52 PM on July 06

CFL Pick 'Em, Week Three

All the cattle in Cowtown will need to find a new home, as the Stamps won a good ol' fashioned barnburner against the Redblacks. Toronto can't quite keep it together for a whole game, and coughs up eighteen points in the fourth quarter in a tough loss to the Lions. Montreal cruises out to an early lead, but Edmonton piles on for the comeback and the win. The Roughriders storm back to force overtime, but it's Justin Medlock and the Bombers who come away with the win.

OTT @ CGYBC @ TORMTL @ EDMWPG @ SSK
ResultCalgary by 4B.C. by 13Edmonton by 4Winnipeg by 3
Margin of Error3 to 59 to 173 to 52 to 4

Familiar names at the top: JPR scores seven points to leap into contention, but argoal nails the Winnipeg spread to grab first place.

SpoFiteOTT @ CGYSBC @ TORSMTL @ EDMSWPG @ SSKSPointsTotal Points
argoalCalgary3 Edmonton Winnipeg 3 69
JPRCalgary3 Edmonton 4 Winnipeg478
tommytrumpCalgary Edmonton Winnipeg 37
jjzucalCalgary2 Edmonton 37
jagsnumberoneCalgary Edmonton 336
ReeverCalgary Edmonton Winnipeg246
Howard_T Edmonton Winnipeg 25
ic23bCalgary Edmonton 335
tahoemojCalgary Edmonton Winnipeg245
rcadeCalgary 14
cixelsydCalgary Edmonton Winnipeg 34
benderCalgary Edmonton 23
DrJohnEvans B.C. Edmonton Winnipeg 33

Continuing a grand CFL tradition, the third week of the season is the one that follows the second.

WEEK 3

B.C. @ Montreal (Thursday, July 6)
B.C./Montreal is better than their 1-1 record would suggest, while B.C./Montreal has been overachieving. So this is a toss-up. (But probably pick the Lions.)

Calgary @ Winnipeg (Friday, July 7)
That first-week tie is going to mess me up every time I look at the standings. Anyway, if Winnipeg is serious about contending, an early win over Calgary certainly won't hurt.

Toronto @ Ottawa (Saturday, July 8)
So far my notes on Toronto's 2017 have been: Not bad anymore Still bad? A visit to old friend Trevor Harris and the Redblacks is an excellent opportunity to further clarify what exactly to expect from the new-look Argos.

Hamilton @ Saskatchewan (Saturday, July 8)
Saskatchewan is 0-2 but is only -4 in points differential. Something's gotta give.

Good luck!

posted by DrJohnEvans at 10:22 PM on July 04

CFL Pick 'Em, Week Two

Ottawa by 7
B.C. by 3
Edmonton by 14
Winnipeg by 10

posted by DrJohnEvans at 12:06 PM on June 28

CFL Pick 'Em, Week Two

A tight back-and-forth affair in Montreal ends badly for Saskatchewan as they miss a potential game-winning time-expiring field goal. Edmonton holds off the B.C. comeback to grab a narrow road win. Toronto plays its best game in four years to thump the Ti-Cats. And in what is destined to become an annual tradition, Calgary and Ottawa tie.

SSK @ MTLCGY @ OTTEDM @ BCHAM @ TOR
ResultMontreal by 1TieEdmonton by 3Toronto by 17
Margin of Error1 to 102 to 412 to 22

Tight spreads and a tie make it a tough week for points, but a nod to tommytrump and rcade for the 3-point nail.

SpoFiteSSK @ MTLSCGY @ OTTSEDM @ BCSHAM @ TORSPointsTotal Points
tommytrumpMontreal Toronto 17 44
jjzucalMontreal Edmonton Toronto 13 44
jagsnumberoneMontreal Edmonton 17 33
Howard_TMontreal Edmonton Toronto 33
argoalMontreal 3Toronto 33
rcade Edmonton3 33
ic23bMontreal Edmonton 22
ReeverMontreal 3 22
bender Toronto 11
cixelsyd Edmonton 11
tahoemojMontreal 11
JPR 3 11
DrJohnEvans 00

This year's Canada Day has been cancelled due to rain. But the CFL plays on!

WEEK 2

Ottawa @ Calgary (Thursday, June 29)
As Ottawa heads west to complete the home-and-home, only one question is on everybody's minds: will they tie again?

B.C. @ Toronto (Friday, June 30)
Armed with his new receiving corps, Ricky Ray threw for a career-high 506 years at a gusty BMO Field last week. He must be itching to let loose indoors at B.C. Place.

Montreal @ Edmonton (Friday, June 30)
Edmonton's good now, right? [checks notes, finds only drawings of igloos] Let's call this one a toss-up.

Winnipeg @ Saskatchewan (Saturday, July 1)
Fulfilling an annual tradition, I just said out loud, "Oh, so that's where Kevin Glenn ended up." As always, it will end in tears.

Good luck!

posted by DrJohnEvans at 01:51 PM on June 27

The 13th Annual chicobangs Memorial SpoFi CFL Pick 'Em

On edit after reading all of the previews--is it only 2016 in Canada? Is that a metric system thing?

Yikes, I pulled all those from CFL.ca's "recent news" feed.

posted by DrJohnEvans at 10:32 AM on June 23

The 13th Annual chicobangs Memorial SpoFi CFL Pick 'Em

Saskatchewan by 7
Ottawa by 3
B.C. by 11
Hhhhamilton by 21

posted by DrJohnEvans at 10:03 AM on June 22

The 13th Annual chicobangs Memorial SpoFi CFL Pick 'Em

THE PICK 'EM - What we do

It's a Canadian tradition: every June, we celebrate the reappearance of the sun by drop-kicking a frozen pig through the last remaining pair of icicles. Then we go back inside to watch football until there's more than 6 hours of sunlight each day (July 27 through August 8). We kill time by picking winners and spreads for each game. Why not join us?

THE SEASON - When we do it

The season kicks off this Thursday night and runs for 20 weeks through the summer. There are generally four games per week, mostly running from Thursday to Sunday.

If you're in Canada, you'll find the games on TSN. If you're in the States or elsewhere, there's usually a pretty dependable ESPN and SiriusXM schedule, but it does not appear to have been released yet. Stay tuned!

THE RULES - How we do it

Here's how it works. You pick who you think will win, and by how much. You then get points based on the result:

  • Picked the winner? You get 1 point.
  • Picked the winner, and a spread within the Margin of Error? You get 2 points.
  • Picked the winner, and you nailed the spread right on? You get 3 points.
  • Didn't pick the winner, but nailed the spread right on? You get 1 point.

What's the Margin of Error?

It's a window around the spread that's defined as

spread - round(0.3 * spread) <= Margin of Error <= spread + round(0.3 * spread)

So you can get rewarded for being close to the spread even if you're not spot-on. The bigger the spread, the bigger the margin of error, so you don't have to be as accurate when predicting a blowout as you would when predicting a close game. Here are some examples:

Actual Spread Margin Starts at Margin Ends at
111
435
759
11814
201426

So if you picked Toronto by 15, here's how you'd fare given certain outcomes:

OutcomeYour score
Toronto by 202 points (winner + spread within MoE)
Toronto by 101 point (winner only)
Toronto by 153 points (winner + nailed spread)
Hamilton by 151 point (nailed spread only)
Hamilton by 430 points (and deservedly so)

Any questions?

THE GAMES, WEEK ONE - Where we start

In lieu of attempting to sum up each team's status in a single sentence, for this opening week I'm just linking to season preview pages for each of 'em.

All times are EDT.

Saskatchewan Roughriders (Preview) @ Montreal Alouettes (Preview) - Thursday, June 22, 7:30pm

Calgary Stampeders (Preview) @ Ottawa Redblacks (Preview) - Friday, June 22, 4:00pm

Edmonton Eskimos (Preview) @ B.C. Lions (Preview) - Saturday, June 24, 10:00pm

Hamilton Tiger-Cats (Preview) @ Toronto Argonauts (Preview) - Sunday, June 25, 4:00pm

Good luck!

posted by DrJohnEvans at 03:04 PM on June 16

SportsFilter's 15th Anniversary

SpoFi has given me the ability to quickly and correctly type "Saskatchewan" every single time. 10,000 hours etc. etc.

posted by DrJohnEvans at 10:37 PM on January 29

SportsFilter's 15th Anniversary

Woohoo!

posted by DrJohnEvans at 02:05 PM on January 25

CFL Playoff Pick 'Em, Final Standings

What a glorious mess of a game. 72 points, 852 passing yards, seven turnovers, four and a half quarters. Severe underdog Ottawa scores first, class-of-the-league Calgary matches, but Ottawa responds to slowly carve out a nice lead. They hang onto it until the last minute of the game, when a Calgary field goal ties everything up, setting up Burris v. Mitchell in overtime. Burris scores and the Ottawa D blanks Mitchell, sending Ottawa to their first Grey Cup victory of the modern era.

CGY @ OTTMVP BonusO/U Bonus
ResultOttawa by 6BurrisOver
Margin of Error4 to 8

How about this? bender picks the underdog and roars by everybody with four points to grab the championship. Congrats bender!

And congrats as well to cixelsyd who averaged just 1.33333333 points per week. Tough to beat!

SpoFiteCGY @ OTTSMVPO/UPointsTotal Points
benderOttawa8BurrisOver411
argoal 08
Howard_T 08
JPR Over17
tommytrumpOttawa BurrisOver37
ic23b 07
rcade 07
DrJohnEvansOttawa Burris 27
jagsnumberone Over16
Reever Over16
MrFrisby 05
cixelsyd 14

Thanks again to everyone for playing. See y'all in June!

posted by DrJohnEvans at 07:11 PM on December 01

CFL Playoff Pick 'Em, Grey Cup Edition

Ottawa by 3
Burris
Under
350

posted by DrJohnEvans at 05:23 PM on November 26

CFL Playoff Pick 'Em, Grey Cup Edition

As a child growing up in the Ottawa Valley, I remember regular snowfalls up to my neck — and that was the scene at TD Place. Amidst punishing gusts and a metric tonne of snow, Henry Burris finds his old touch and puts the Redblacks up big early. But Edmonton grinds away and comes within five points with three minutes to play — only to be stymied by a slippery Ottawa ground game. The Redblacks punch in one for good measure and punch their ticket to Toronto.

The West final was a lot less exciting: Lions got beat.

EDM @ OTTBC @ CGYOWC BonusDWC Bonus
ResultOttawa by 12Calgary by 27MitchellCalgary
Margin of Error8 to 1619 to 35

Howard_T racks up five points and we've got a tie heading into the big game.

SpoFiteEDM @ OTTSBC @ CGYSOWC BonusDWC BonusPointsTotal Points
argoal Calgary MitchellCalgary38
Howard_TOttawa11Calgary MitchellCalgary58
ic23b Calgary MitchellCalgary37
benderOttawa15Calgary Calgary47
rcadeOttawa Calgary MitchellCalgary47
JPR Calgary MitchellCalgary36
Reever Calgary 15
DrJohnEvans Calgary Mitchell 25
MrFrisby Calgary Mitchell 25
jagsnumberoneOttawa Calgary MitchellCalgary45
tommytrumpOttawa Calgary 24
cixelsyd Calgary 13

Here we go!

THE 104th GREY CUP

Calgary Stampeders (15-2-1) @ Ottawa Redblacks (8-9-1) (Sunday, November 27)

Calgary's putting together one of the best seasons in recent memory: they've outscored everybody, they've outdefenced everybody, and they've piled up an awful lot of wins doing it. They easily handled a strong B.C. team in the division final. So yeah, they're the favourite. BUT: Ottawa defeated a tough Western division opponent in their final, and the ageless Henry Burris got in done in tough conditions. Does Smiling Hank have one last miracle left in him?

CFL.ca Grey Cup Preview »

MVP Bonus

Pick the MVP of the Grey Cup.

Over/Under

The points-scored O/U for the Grey Cup is currently set at 54.5. Will the total points scored be over or under that total?

Tiebreaker

Pick the total yardage thrown by all quarterbacks in the Grey Cup. This is worth no points and will be used only in case of a tie.

Example pick: Ottawa by 21, Ellingson, Over, 500.

Good luck!

posted by DrJohnEvans at 11:29 AM on November 23

CFL Playoff Pick 'Em, Division Finals Edition

Edmonton by 7
Calgary by 10
B-L M
Edmonton

posted by DrJohnEvans at 12:17 PM on November 18

CFL Playoff Pick 'Em, Division Finals Edition

On a breezy day in Hamilton, Edmonton keeps the ball on the ground and builds up a healthy 18-3 lead going into halftime. But the Ti-Cats pull out all the stops in the second half, and tie the game with four minutes to go until a Zach Collaros interception deep in Hamilton territory gives the game, and the win, right back to the Eskimos.

Under the dome in Vancouver, the Blue Bombers stay true to their name and light up the skies with big throws, building up to a twelve-point lead early in the fourth quarter. But the Lions respond on the ground, and it's Jonathon Jenning's legs that finally give them the lead with a minute remaining. Winnipeg gains some ground but not enough, and a 61-yard field goal attempt falls short to send the Lions to Calgary.

In bonus-land, Justin Medlock piles on 13 points in a losing cause, while we fall four points short of the over/under line.

EDM @ HAMWPG @ BCKicking BonusLVP Bonus
ResultEdmonton by 3B.C. by 1MedlockUnder
Margin of Error2 to 41 to 1

A solid five points put argoal on top, while the nice-guy ghost point keeps jags from registering a shutout.

SpoFiteEDM @ HAMSWPG @ BCSKickingLVPPointsTotal Points
argoalEdmonton2B.C. MedlockUnder55
ic23bEdmonton3 Medlock 44
ReeverEdmonton B.C. MedlockUnder44
benderEdmonton3 33
DrJohnEvansEdmonton B.C. Medlock 33
Howard_TEdmonton B.C. Medlock 33
JPREdmonton B.C. Under33
MrFrisbyEdmonton MedlockUnder33
rcadeEdmonton B.C. Under33
cixelsydEdmonton Medlock 22
tommytrumpEdmonton B.C. 22
jagsnumberone 3 11

The forecast for this weekend: snow in Ottawa, cowboy hats in Calgary.

DIVISION FINALS

Edmonton Eskimos (10-8) @ Ottawa Redblacks (8-9-1) (Sunday, November 20, 1:00pm ET)

Ottawa returns to the Eastern Final with Henry Burris another year older, but Trevor Harris's young arm ready to go behind him. But they're in tough against a battle-hardened Edmonton squad. It'll come down to Mike Reilly: knocked out of last week's semi, he insists he's starting, but if he's not on his game, the Esks offence will resemble the Franklin Expedition.

CFL.ca Eastern Final Preview

B.C. Lions (12-6) @ Calgary Stampeders (15-2-1) (Sunday, November 20, 4:30pm ET)

B.C. has had a very good season, capped off with a resilient come-from-behind win. In another season they might've been hosting this division final. But Calgary has been utterly dominant, and it's their game until they give it away.

CFL.ca Western Final Preview

Offence Wins Championships Bonus

Pick the quarterback who will throw for the highest yardage on Sunday.

2016 Passing Stats

Defence Wins Championships Bonus
On a breezy day in Hamilton, Edmonton keeps the ball on the ground and builds up a healthy 18-3 lead going into halftime. But the Ti-Cats pull out all the stops in the second half, and tie the game with four minutes to go — until a Zach Collaros interception deep in Hamilton territory gives the game, and the win, right back to the Eskimos.

Under the dome in Vancouver, the Blue Bombers stay true to their name and light up the skies with big throws, building up to a twelve-point lead early in the fourth quarter. But the Lions respond on the ground, and it's Jonathon Jenning's legs that finally give them the lead with a minute remaining. Winnipeg gains some ground but not enough, and a 61-yard field goal attempt falls short to send the Lions to Calgary.

In bonus-land, Justin Medlock piles on 13 points in a losing cause, while we fall four points short of the over/under line.

EDM @ HAMWPG @ BCKicking BonusLVP Bonus
ResultEdmonton by 3B.C. by 1MedlockUnder
Margin of Error2 to 41 to 1

A solid five points put argoal on top, while the nice-guy ghost point keeps jags from registering a shutout.

SpoFiteEDM @ HAMSWPG @ BCSKickingLVPPointsTotal Points
argoalEdmonton2B.C. MedlockUnder55
ic23bEdmonton3 Medlock 44
ReeverEdmonton B.C. MedlockUnder44
benderEdmonton3 33
DrJohnEvansEdmonton B.C. Medlock 33
Howard_TEdmonton B.C. Medlock 33
JPREdmonton B.C. Under33
MrFrisbyEdmonton MedlockUnder33
rcadeEdmonton B.C. Under33
cixelsydEdmonton Medlock 22
tommytrumpEdmonton B.C. 22
jagsnumberone 3 11

The forecast for this weekend: snow in Ottawa, cowboy hats in Calgary.

DIVISION FINALS

Edmonton Eskimos (10-8) @ Ottawa Redblacks (8-9-1) (Sunday, November 20, 1:00pm ET)

Ottawa returns to the Eastern Final with Henry Burris another year older, but Trevor Harris's young arm ready to go behind him. But they're in tough against a battle-hardened Edmonton squad. It'll come down to Mike Reilly: knocked out of last week's semi, he insists he's starting, but if he's not on his game, the Esks offence will resemble the Franklin Expedition.

CFL.ca Eastern Final Preview »

B.C. Lions (12-6) @ Calgary Stampeders (15-2-1) (Sunday, November 20, 4:30pm ET)

B.C. has had a very good season, capped off with a resilient come-from-behind win. In another season they might've been hosting this division final. But Calgary has been utterly dominant, and it's their game until they give it away.

CFL.ca Western Final Preview »

Offence Wins Championships Bonus

Pick the quarterback who will throw for the highest yardage on Sunday.

2016 Passing Stats »

Defence Wins Championships Bonus

Pick the team whose defence will register the most sacks on Sunday.

2016 Defensive Status »

Example pick: Edmonton by 21, Calgary by 14, Harris, Edmonton.

Good luck!

Pick the team whose defence will register the most sacks on Sunday.

2016 Defensive Status

Example pick: Edmonton by 21, Calgary by 14, Harris, Edmonton.

Good luck!

posted by DrJohnEvans at 11:32 AM on November 17

CFL Playoff Pick 'Em, Division Semi-Finals Edition

111.5 points is not all that huge a number. It works out to about 28 points per team

A lot of people share your opinion (myself included). But these four teams scored an average of 29 points/game this season, and allowed an average of 25 points/game. So even one good defensive game could put us in under territory.

posted by DrJohnEvans at 12:48 PM on November 11

CFL Playoff Pick 'Em, Division Semi-Finals Edition

Edmonton by 10
B.C. by 7
Meeeeeeeeeedlock
Nice weather in Hamilton this weekend - could be a bit breezy - let's say over.

posted by DrJohnEvans at 10:33 AM on November 10

CFL Playoff Pick 'Em, Division Semi-Finals Edition

Even in the darkest of times, when humanity's plight seemed utterly hopeless, and the suffocating blanket of despair was closing in on us all... Canadian football played on.

Edmonton Eskimos (10-8) @ Hamilton Tiger-Cats (7-11) (Sunday, November 13, 1:00pm ET)

Let's get this out of the way: the East division has been just plain awful this year. If Edmonton was in the East they would've won the division with points to spare. Despite being the crossover team, they've got to be the favourites. However: Hamilton's defence matches up, and young Zach Collaros is still capable of pulling off a big game. Just in case you wanted to make it interesting.

CFL.ca Eastern Semi-Final Preview

Winnipeg Blue Bombers (11-7) @ B.C. Lions (12-6) (Sunday, November 15, 4:30pm ET)

Winnipeg's much-vaunted offseason makeover has not gone entirely according to plan in the tough West division. They stabilized over the course of the season, but kept bumping up against a team that was just a little bit better at every turn: the B.C. Lions. They've got the edge in just about every category, plus a tough home field advantage. That said, head-to-head, Winnipeg was 2-0 against B.C. this season - including a Week 17 win in Vancouver.

CFL.ca Western Semi-Final Preview

Swayze Waters is out of the league and didn't survive the NFL cuts, but this picture is still the greatest thing I've ever seen, so I'm keeping it.

Swayze Waters Memorial River Salmon Bonus

Pick the kicker who will score the most points this weekend. That includes place-kick field goals, drop-kick field goals, PATs, singles, and fake field goals thrown for touchdowns.

2016 Kicking Stats

Las Vegas Posse Memorial Bonus

The combined over/under on total points scored for both games is 111.5. Will the actual number of points scored this weekend be OVER or UNDER that total?

Example pick: Hamilton by 21, B.C. by 14, Leone, Over.

Good luck!

posted by DrJohnEvans at 10:37 PM on November 09

CFL Pick 'Em, Final Standings

jags, you and rcade are the only members of the 80-point club. No flukes there.

Of course, we were picking 9 fewer games from 2007-2013 due to a variable number of teams in Ottawa. But still!

posted by DrJohnEvans at 10:30 AM on November 08

CFL Pick 'Em, Final Standings

Winnipeg takes advantages of Ottawa's backups and nails down third place with a win. A bunch of players you've never heard of play each other in Hamilton, and Montreal ends up winning. Edmonton finishes strong with 41 points against the Argos, and B.C. scores 41 of their own to take down the Riders.

WPG @ OTTMTL @ HAMTOR @ EDMSSK @ BC
ResultWinnipeg by 13Montreal by 7Edmonton by 24B.C. by 23
Margin of Error9 to 175 to 917 to 3116 to 30

rcade finishes strong with a five-point week, and a thirteen-point gap between him and second place. He becomes only the second SpoFite to crack 80 points in the Pick 'Em. Congrats, rcade!

At the other end, bender fought off numerous challenges to claim the Costanza with four points to spare. Congrats to bender!

SpoFiteWPG @ TORSHAM @ OTTSCGY @ BCSSSK @ MTLSPointsTotal Points
rcadeWinnipeg2 7Edmonton B.C. 580
ic23b Edmonton B.C.19367
DrJohnEvansWinnipeg Montreal8Edmonton B.C. 566
tahoemojWinnipeg16 Edmonton24 B.C.16766
cixelsydWinnipeg Edmonton24 B.C. 564
argoalWinnipeg Montreal B.C. 361
JPRWinnipeg Edmonton B.C. 360
tommytrumpWinnipeg Montreal6Edmonton B.C.16660
MrFrisbyWinnipeg Edmonton B.C. 358
ReeverWinnipeg Edmonton B.C. 355
Howard_TWinnipeg12 Edmonton18B.C. 355
jagsnumberoneWinnipeg Edmonton B.C.20453
bender Edmonton18B.C. 349

Thanks to everyone for playing along! Stay tuned for the CFL Playoff Pick 'Em, coming soon to a SpoFi post near you!

posted by DrJohnEvans at 09:20 PM on November 07

CFL Pick 'Em, Week Twenty

Winnipeg by 21
Montreal by 8
Edmonton by 14
B.C. by 10

posted by DrJohnEvans at 11:17 AM on November 04

CFL Pick 'Em, Week Twenty

Edmonton holds off a fourth-quarter surge from the Ti-Cats to stay in the race. Ottawa helps them out by keeping the Bombers at ten wins, and - oh yeah - clinches the East Division in the process. Saskatchewan returns to business as usual, only managing six points in a loss to the Lions. Calgary, with the division secured, rests Bo-Levi Mitchell and suffers their first loss since Week 1.

EDM @ HAMOTT @ WPGBC @ SSKCGY @ MTL
ResultEdmonton by 3Ottawa by 13B.C. by 18Montreal by 9
Margin of Error2 to 49 to 1713 to 236 to 12

It's down to bender and jags for the Costanza, and it's going to take a great week from bender to wrestle the trophy away from him.

SpoFiteEDM @ HAMSOTT @ WPGSBC @ SSKSCGY @ MTLSPointsTotal Points
rcadeEdmonton 3 B.C. 475
ic23b B.C.17 264
DrJohnEvansEdmonton B.C.14 361
tahoemoj 13B.C. 259
cixelsydEdmonton B.C. 259
argoalEdmonton 3 B.C. 458
JPREdmonton 3 B.C. 457
MrFrisbyEdmonton Ottawa11B.C.18 655
tommytrump 054
Reever 3Ottawa B.C. 352
Howard_T Ottawa B.C.17 350
jagsnumber 3 B.C. 249
benderEdmonton Ottawa 246

Last week of the season and I've got the CFL Tiebreaker Rules open in a browser tab. The way it should be.

WEEK 20

Winnipeg @ Ottawa (Friday, November 4)
Ottawa's clinched, so look for their starters to get some rest. Meanwhile, Winnipeg still has a shot to grab a home playoff game, but they need to win - preferably by a bunch - to do it.

Montreal @ Hamilton (Saturday, November 5)
Hamilton's in and Montreal's out, so I'm sure some kids will get a chance to deal with the howling November winds at the former Ivor Wynne.

Toronto @ Edmonton (Saturday, November 5)
Edmonton's got the crossover, but could still move up with a win, plus a Winnipeg loss. Meanwhile, the Argos... welp.

Saskatchewan @ B.C. (Sunday, November 5)
This one could go either way. If Winnipeg lose on Friday, B.C. clinches the home playoff spot. If Winnipeg wins, B.C. will be fighting off the challenge. Might want to hold your pick until Saturday.

Good luck!

posted by DrJohnEvans at 09:14 PM on November 02